Monday, September 09, 2019

Stocks Reversing Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Profit-Taking, Higher Long-Term Rates, Emerging Market Debt Angst, Tech/Medical Sector Weakness

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.8 +5.4%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 122.99 +.45%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.20 -.61%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 37.20 -1.35%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 89.0 +15.6%
  • Total Put/Call .93 +2.2%
  • NYSE Arms .66 -48.4%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 51.44 -.06%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 418.0 +.12%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 57.72 +1.62%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 152.75 +1.25 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 58.06 -.94%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 198.49 +.48%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 165.30 +.05%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 0.0 -3.75 basis points
  • TED Spread 15.5 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -14.75 -1.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 65.71 -.09%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.95% unch.
  • Yield Curve .03 -1.0 basis point
  • China Iron Ore Spot 88.84 USD/Metric Tonne +2.88%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 7.6 +2.2 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -34.10 +2.8 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -16.2 -1.4 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.57 +2.0 basis points
  • 100.0% chance of Fed rate cut at Oct. 30th meeting, 100.0% chance of cut at Dec. 11th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -108 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +24 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -12 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my retail/industrial sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

No comments: