Wednesday, September 25, 2019

Thursday Watch

Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -.25% to +.15% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 75.75 +1.0 basis point.
  • China Sovereign CDS 47.25 -1.0 basis point.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index  65.46 +.01%.
  • FTSE 100 futures +.16%.
  • S&P 500 futures -.05%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.10%.

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate

Before the Open:
  • (ACN)/1.71
  • (ATU)/.18
  • (CAG)/.39
  • (FDS)/2.46
After the Close:
  • (CAMP)/.12
  • (MU)/.48
  • (PRGS)/.68
  • (MTN)/-2.56
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • Advance Goods Trade Balance for Aug. is estimated at -$73.4B versus -$72.3B in July. 
  • Retail Inventories MoM for August is estimated to rise +.1% versus a +.8% gain in July.
  • Wholesale Inventories MoM for Aug. is estimated to rise +.1% versus a +.2% gain in July.
  • Initial Jobless Claims for last week are estimated to rise to 212K versus 208K the prior week.
  • Continuing Claims are estimated to rise to 1666K versus 1661K prior.
10:00 am EST
  • Pending Home Sales MoM for Aug. is estimated to rise +1.0% versus a -2.5% decline in July.
11:00 am EST
  • Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity for Sept. is estimated to rise to -4 versus -6 in Aug.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Fed's Vice Chair Clarida speaking, Japan CPI report, $32B 7Y T-Note auction, weekly Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index, weekly EIA natural gas inventory report, (BAM) investor day and (DELL) business update could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by technology and industrial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher. The Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the day.

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