Thursday, October 03, 2019

Friday Watch

Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -.25% to +.5% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 79.0 -.75 basis point.
  • China Sovereign CDS 49.0 -1.0 basis point.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index  65.51 +.05%.
  • FTSE 100 futures +.54%.
  • S&P 500 futures -.08%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.10%.

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate

Before the Open:
  • None of note
After the Close:
  • None of note
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • The Change in Non-Farm Payrolls for Sept. is estimated to rise to 146K versus 130K in Aug.
  • The Unemployment Rate for Sept. is estimated at 3.7% versus 3.7% in Aug.
  • Average Hourly Earnings MoM for Sept. is estimated to rise +.3% versus a +.4% gain in Aug.
  • The Trade Balance for Aug. is estimated at -$54.5B versus -$54.0B in July.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Fed's Powell speaking, Fed's Brainard speaking, Fed's Quarles speaking, Eurozone Retail Sales report and the (JW/A) investor day could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are slightly higher, boosted by technology and industrial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly lower and to rally into the afternoon, finishing mixed. The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.

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