Wednesday, October 02, 2019

Thursday Watch

Evening Headlines
Bloomberg:           
  • Stocks Slide, Bonds Rise as Slowdown Fears Grow. Asian stocks declined after a fall in U.S. equities following disappointing American data that increased concerns about a global slowdown. Treasuries ticked higher. Japan’s Topix index dropped 1.7% at the open, with Australian shares also lower. Stock markets in China and South Korea are closed. Earlier, the S&P 500 suffered its first back-to-back drops of more than 1% this year as private payrolls fell short of estimates a day after a manufacturing gauge slumped to the lowest in a decade. The hiring numbers pushed the 10-year Treasury yield lower to 1.59%. Gold traded above $1,500 an ounce. Japan’s Topix lost 1.8% as of 9:03 a.m. in Tokyo. Futures on the S&P 500 Index added 0.2%. The underlying gauge fell 1.8% on Wednesday. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index lost 0.8%.  
CNBC:
  • ‘Toxic chemical fumes,’ not oils, may be causing vaping illness, Mayo Clinic researchers find. “It seems to be some kind of direct chemical injury, similar to what one might see with exposures to toxic chemical fumes, poisonous gases and toxic agents,” said Dr. Brandon Larsen, a surgical pathologist at Mayo Clinic Arizona and a lead author of the study. “Based on what we have seen in our study, we suspect that most cases involve chemical contaminants, toxic byproducts or other noxious agents within vape liquids.”
Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -2.0% to -1.0% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 79.75 +2.75 basis points.
  • China Sovereign CDS 50.0 +1.0 basis point.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index  65.16 -.01%.
  • FTSE 100 futures -.16%.
  • S&P 500 futures +.27%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.25%.
Morning Preview Links 

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate

Before the Open:
  • (ANGO)/.04
  • (STZ)/2.62
  • (PEP)/1.51
After the Close:
  • (COST)/2.56
Economic Releases
7:30 am EST
  • Challenger Job Cuts YoY report for Sept.
8:30 am EST
  • Initial Jobless Claims for last week are estimated to rise to 215K versus 213K the prior week.
  • Continuing Claims are estimated to rise to 1654K versus 1650K prior.
10:00 am EST
  • The ISM Non-Manufacturing Index for Sept. is estimated to fall to 55.1 versus 56.4 in Aug.
  • Factory Orders for Aug. is estimated to fall -.2% versus a +1.4% gain in July.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Fed's Clarida speaking, Eurozone PMI report, weekly EIA natural gas inventory report, Berenberg US Stockpicker Conference, (TOT) investor day, (INTU) investor day, (VRA) investor day and the (HPQ) analyst meeting could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are lower, weighed down by commodity and industrial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly higher and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing mixed. The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.

No comments: