Weekly Scoreboard*

Indices

• S&P 500 2,056.44 -.42%

• DJIA 17,709.80 -.30%

• NASDAQ 4,725.29 -.99%

• Russell 2000 1,112.01 -1.65%

• S&P 500 High Beta 29.36 -4.27%

• Goldman 50 Most Shorted 100.23 -4.71% 

• Wilshire 5000 21,132.90 -.70%

• Russell 1000 Growth 991.32 -.14%

• Russell 1000 Value 982.82 -.92%

• S&P 500 Consumer Staples 544.32 +1.61%

• Solactive US Cyclical 129.81 -2.0%

• Morgan Stanley Technology 1,018.85 -1.76%

• Transports 7,726.96 -1.78%

• Utilities 658.85 +.61%

• Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 76.56 -6.66%

• MSCI Emerging Markets 33.0 -4.07%

• HFRX Equity Hedge 1,110.75 -1.46%

• HFRX Equity Market Neutral 999.01 +.87%

Sentiment/Internals

• NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 247,330 -.79%

• Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -28 -189

• Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 25.0 -12.5%

• CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 334,265 +.03%

• CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,714,689 +.03%

• Total Put/Call 1.19 +2.59%

• OEX Put/Call .89 -5.97%

• ISE Sentiment 81.0 +23.3%

• NYSE Arms .8 -24.32%

• Volatility(VIX) 14.93 -4.39%

• S&P 500 Implied Correlation 54.88 -2.94%

• G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 11.24 +2.37%

• Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 11.01 +6.58%

• Smart Money Flow Index 19,241.74 +.56%

• ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.711 Trillion +.06%

• ICI US Equity Weekly Net New Cash Flow -$5.485 Billion

• AAII % Bulls 22.3 -18.4%

• AAII % Bears 30.3 +6.1%

Futures Spot Prices

• CRB Index 179.91 -2.55%

• Crude Oil 44.63 -3.13%

• Reformulated Gasoline 149.99 -6.61%

• Natural Gas 2.09 -2.10%

• Heating Oil 133.82 -3.73%

• Gold 1,290.30 -.38%

• Bloomberg Base Metals Index 144.86 -4.17%

• Copper 215.25 -5.45%

• US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 218.33 USD/Ton unch.

• China Iron Ore Spot 58.29 USD/Ton -12.0%

• Lumber 306.20 +3.9%

• UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,117.94 -.51%

Economy

• Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast +1.7% -10.0 basis points
• ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate +5.4% +90.0 basis points

• Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index -.3237 +4.65%

• S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 123.45 +.28%

• Citi US Economic Surprise Index -36.70 -5.5 points

• Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -11.0 +2.0 points

• Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 9.8 -6.9 point

• Fed Fund Futures imply 94.0% chance of no change, 6.0% chance of 25 basis point hike on 6/15

• US Dollar Index 93.84 +.94%
• MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,506.72 -1.35%

• Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 127.74 +.28%

• Yield Curve 104.0 -1.0 basis point

• 10-Year US Treasury Yield 1.78% -4.0 basis points

• Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $4.438 Trillion +.06%

• U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 21.68 +.79%

• Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 339.0 +2.92%

• Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 26.19 +4.85%

• Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 55.23 +1.69%
  

• Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 135.74 +6.72%
  

• Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 70.5 +2.98%

• Iraq Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 983.24 -.01% 

• Russia Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 258.22 +5.02%

• iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 127.06 +.08%

• 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.62% -9.0 basis points

• TED Spread 44.5 +2.0 basis points

• 2-Year Swap Spread 14.25 +.25 basis point

• 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -24.0 -1.5 basis points

• N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 84.89 +8.57%

• America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 997.0 -1.67%

• European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 99.82 +12.2%
  

• Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 290.60 +2.63%
  

• CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread to Swaps 145.0 -10.0 basis points
  

• M1 Money Supply $3.188 Trillion +1.35%

• Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,120.30 +1.0%

• 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 258,000 +2,000

• Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.5% -10 basis points

• Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 3.61% -5.0 basis points

• Weekly Mortgage Applications 488.40 -3.36%

• Bloomberg Consumer Comfort 42.0 -1.4 points

• Weekly Retail Sales +.80% unch.

• Nationwide Gas $2.20/gallon +.08/gallon

• Baltic Dry Index 642.0 -9.58%

• China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 643.60 +1.78%

• Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 37.50 +15.38%

• Rail Freight Carloads 258,441 -1.11%

Best Performing Style

• Large-Cap Growth -.2%

Worst Performing Style

• Small-Cap Growth -2.3%

Leading Sectors

• REITs +4.2%

• Gaming +2.0%

• Restaurants +1.5%

• Foods +1.5%

• Computer Services +1.1%

Lagging Sectors

• Biotech -4.3% 

• Alt Energy -5.6%

• Disk Drives -4.7%

• Oil Service -5.9%

• Steel -6.7%

Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (32)

• OPWR, RYAM, BGS, GKOS, NSP, QUAD, TPC, AAWW, NTRI, CENT, CEVA, NCBS, KRA, MTCH, CIR, HMSY, Z, CGNX, ZG, PKY, PLT, PGND, SRDX, ROG, ADC, FIS, POR, SAFT, PZZA, MB, IILG and ICE

Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (46)

• UNVR, ONB, ARW, OPB, PCLN, PRAH, HYH, GRUB, SERV, HSNI, SEAS, BNK, Q, NSR, GMED, SFM, MCRN, HRC, CTL, IMS, PODD, CHDN, HW, OZRK, ROVI, RLGY, PBI, ELLI, CPSI, HAE, NSIT, MBUU, HTWR, EPAY, NPO, TCAP, CFX, SRCL, CRAY, RUBI, MDCA, MTRX, AMAG, MOH, KTWO and PKOH

Weekly Charts

ETFs

• High-Volume Gainers

• High-Volume Losers

Stocks

• High-Volume Gainers

• High-Volume Losers

*5-Day Change

Stocks Reversing Slightly Higher into Afternoon on Central Bank Hopes, Less Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Oil Gain, Metals & Mining/Gaming Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:

• Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  

• Sector Performance: Mixed
  

• Volume: Slightly Below Average

• Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
  

Equity Investor Angst:

• Volatility(VIX) 15.43 -3.02%

• Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 127.41 -.32%

• Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.01 +.27%

• S&P 500 Implied Correlation 54.50 -3.66%

• ISE Sentiment Index 70.0 +16.67%

• Total Put/Call 1.21 +2.54%

• NYSE Arms .81 -36.2% 

Credit Investor Angst:

• North American Investment Grade CDS Index 84.86 +.47%
  

• America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 993.0 +7.49%

• European Financial Sector CDS Index 100.12 +2.19%

• Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 26.19 -.10%

• Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 55.18 +1.16%

• Emerging Market CDS Index 293.76 -.66%
  

• iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 127.06 -.11%

• 2-Year Swap Spread 14.25 +.25 basis point
  

• TED Spread 44.5 unch.

• 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -24.0 -.25 basis point
  

Economic Gauges:

• Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.22 +.11%
• 3-Month T-Bill Yield .19% unch.
  

• Yield Curve 105.0 +1.0 basis point
  

• China Import Iron Ore Spot $58.29/Metric Tonne -3.25%

• Citi US Economic Surprise Index -36.70 -6.0 points

• Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -11.0 +.7 point

• Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 9.80 -1.9 point

• 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.62% -1.0 basis point
  
• 19.2% chance of Fed rate hike at July 27 meeting, 32.1% chance at September 21 meeting

Overseas Futures:

• Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -52 open in Japan 
• China A50 Futures: Indicating -84 open in China

• DAX Futures: Indicating +23 open in Germany

Portfolio: 

• Slightly Higher: On gains in my medical/tech sector longs
  

• Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges

• Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

Bear Radar

Style Underperformer:

• Small-Cap Growth -.5%

Sector Underperformers:

• 1) Airlines -2.5% 2) Biotech -2.0% 3) Drugs -1.5%

Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume:

• XENT, IMPV, BANC, PCTY, SSNC, ENDP, SQ, CPA, SO, SGRY, FEYE, YY, WLTW, DATA, TEVA, MSI, LOCO, NSTG, BNFT, HDP, WEB, IEP, AAWW, ABTL, TARO, ABC, WBA, CERN, PII, AGN, BLDR, BKE, AAWW, PDCE, MYL, GRPO, FLR, XLRN, IPXL, PPC, BETR, TDS, HRTX and DATA

Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:

• 1) NBR 2) EWC 3) CI 4) M 5) JCP

Stocks With Most Negative News Mentions:

• 1) ENDP 2) JCP 3) ZTS 4) M 5) HON

Charts:

• ETFs Falling on Unusual Volume
• Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume

Bull Radar

Style Outperformer: 

• Small-Cap Growth +.1%

Sector Outperformers:

• 1) Gold & Silver +4.3% 2) Steel +1.6% 3) Oil Service +1.4% 

Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume: 

• SWIR, YELP, POST, TDC, DV, SNCR, LXU, UBNT, QLGC, HLF, ATW, FOE, ATVI, DK, ABCO, EVHC, AXL, PKI, POST, CENTA and CAA

Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity: 

• 1) YELP 2) ASNA 3) CERN 4) LC 5) HLF

Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions: 

• 1) AXL 2) ATVI 3) ATW 4) UBNT 5) CTSH

Charts:

• ETFs Rising on Unusual Volume
• Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume

Morning Market Internals

NYSE Composite Index:

• Volume Running +4.0% Above 100-Day Average
• 1 Sector Rising, 9 Sectors Declining
• 45.8% of Issues Advancing, 50.8% Declining
• 70 New 52-Week Highs, 30 New Lows
• 51.9% of Issues Above 200-day Moving Average
• Average 14-Day RSI 41.1%
• Vix 15.6 -1.7%
• Total Put/Call 1.22 +3.4%
• TRIN/Arms .5 -60.8%