Friday, May 18, 2018

Weekly Scoreboard*

S&P 500 2,714.61 -.45%





















The Weekly Wrap by Briefing.com.
 
Indices
  • DJIA 24,733.60 -.39%
  • NASDAQ 7,361.66 -.44%
  • Russell 2000 1,627.04 +1.39%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 44.27 +1.33%
  • Goldman 50 Most Shorted 151.24 +1.09%
  • Wilshire 5000 28,241.0 -.21%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 1,421.11 -.4%
  • Russell 1000 Value 1,199.92 -.35%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 507.40 -.15%
  • Vanda Cyclicals-Defensives 1.6731 +1.87%
  • NYSE Technology 1,854.77 -1.29%
  • Transports 10,747.20 +.43%
  • Utilities 665.57 -3.82%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 95.33 +2.4%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 46.34 -2.2%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,291.41 +.02%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 1,019.74 +.03%
Sentiment/Internals
  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 319,672 +.12%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 270 -32
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 67.44 unch.
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 679.928 -1.56%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,658,229 +1.39%
  • Total Put/Call .98 unch.
  • OEX Put/Call .63 -58.7%
  • ISE Sentiment 94.0 -19.13%
  • NYSE Arms 2.03 +74.55%
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.59 +6.25%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 35.88 +2.99%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.17 +.84% 
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 9.22 +7.71%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 16,902.83 +.01%
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.818 Trillion +.41%
  • ICI Domestic Equity Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows +$1.302 Billion
  • AAII % Bulls 36.7 +9.5%
  • AAII % Bears 20.6 -19.4%
Futures Spot Prices
  • CRB Index 203.93 +.18%
  • Crude Oil 71.40 +1.16%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 224.18 +3.08%
  • Natural Gas 2.85 +1.53%
  • Heating Oil 227.21 +2.62%
  • Gold 1,291.20 -2.09%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 208.19 +.10%
  • Copper 306.30 -1.51%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 343.53 USD/Metric Tonne -2.77%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 65.40 USD/Metric Tonne -4.48%
  • Lumber 624.0 +4.78%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,019.61 +.75%
Economy
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast +4.1%+10.0 basis points
  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate 4.3% -20.0 basis points
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index .3387 -7.0% 
  • US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 64.81 -14.4%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 165.26 +.38%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 12.30 -9.1 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -91.70 +6.2 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -4.8 -4.6 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 0.0% chance of no change, 100.0% chance of 25 basis point hike on 6/13
  • US Dollar Index 93.62 +1.15%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,675.09 -.96%
  • Bitcoin/USD 8,112.82 -3.83%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 135.68 -.21%
  • Yield Curve 51.75 +8.25 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 3.07% +10.0 basis points
  • Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $4.298 Trillion -.47%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 18.93 -4.47%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 223.65 -.03%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 165.0 +33.75 basis points
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 12.97 +7.15%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 60.79 +30.3%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 66.55 +11.29%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 44.27 +9.32%
  • Russia Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 137.0 +4.76%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 149.19 -.14%
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.17% unch.
  • TED Spread 44.25 unch.
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 24.0 +1.75 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -7.0 -5.25 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 61.52 +4.54%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 358.0 -1.31%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 64.78 +10.9%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 170.74 +10.7%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread to Swaps 180.0 unch.
  • M1 Money Supply $3.615 Trillion -1.75%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,068.90 +.9%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 213,250 -2,750
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% -10.0 basis points
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 4.61% +6.0 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 376.50 -2.74%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort 54.60 -1.2 points
  • Weekly Retail Sales +4.90% +160.0 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $2.91/gallon +.05/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,305.0 -11.3%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 785.63 +2.95%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 17.50 unch.
  • Rail Freight Carloads 282,833 +.88%
Best Performing Style
  • Small-Cap Value +1.4%
Worst Performing Style
  • Large-Cap Growth -.4%
Leading Sectors
  • Oil Service +4.8%
  • Retail +2.4%
  • Energy +2.4%
  • Paper +2.2%
  • Healthcare Providers +2.0%
Lagging Sectors
  • Gold & Silver -2.0% 
  • Foods -2.1%
  • Homebuilders -2.2%
  • REITs -2.3%
  • Utilities -3.8%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (27)
  • TTD, EXPI, ARCB, LOXO, CTSO, OMER, BOLD, REGI, ABAX, BOOT, MCFT, IMMR, ALTR, WWE, M, FNHC, EOLS, RCKT, CHDN, CBIO, FARM, OPTN, BCEI, ALBO, CVG, GTXI and LIND
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (16)
  • YELP, AMBA, AYR, FPH, WRD, A, HALO, JACK, AVAV, KELYA, FLO, PSDO, ITRI, SWCH, SYMC and JNCE
Weekly Charts
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Earnings Jitters, European/Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Technical Selling, Financial/Retail Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Around Even
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.44 +.07%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 135.71 -.23%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.22 +2.56%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 35.95 +2.86%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 98.0 -31.47%
  • Total Put/Call .96 +15.7%
  • NYSE Arms 1.87 +92.72%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 61.63 +1.16%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 358.0 -1.26%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 65.50 +6.2%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 165.0 +17.5 basis points
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 12.96 +.54%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 170.69 +3.48%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 149.19 -.11%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 24.0 -1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 44.25 +3.0 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -7.0 -1.75 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 71.01 -.48%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.89% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 52.0 -1.75 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 65.11 USD/Metric Tonne -2.62%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 12.30 -.2 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -91.70 +1.9 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -4.80 +.1 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.17 -3.0 basis points
  • 100.0% chance of Fed rate hike at August 1 meeting, 100.0% chance at September 26 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -79  open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -39 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -3 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my medical/industrial/biotech sector longs and emerging market shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

Bear Radar

Style Underperformer:
  • Large-Cap Value -.3%
Sector Underperformers:
  • 1) Steel -2.6% 2) Foods -1.8% 3) Banks -1.0%
Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume: 
  • MYE, EIGR, CPB, BOOT, JWN, BIDU, ABEO, AMAT, AZUL, COHR, BOLD, SEP, GME, HTZ, VYGR, EDIT and UCTT
Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
  • 1) FOXA 2) CPB 3) CY 4) AMAT 5) GPRO
Stocks With Most Negative News Mentions:
  • 1) AMAT 2) INSY 3) CPRT 4) BIDU 5) CPB
Charts:

Bull Radar

Style Outperformer:
  • Small-Cap Growth +.3%
Sector Outperformers:
  • 1) Homebuilders +.7% 2) Industrials +.5% 3) Agriculture +.5%
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
  • PRMW, PCOM, EOLS, IQV, LGND, CRY, DE, NEWR, LX, GEOS, IGV, DVMT, NXPI, TTD, CVRR, ENV, BZUN, GDS, AMRC, PYPL, MOMO, IRTC, NGG and CERN
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
  • 1) CPB 2) ZNGA 3) FOXA 4) PAGP 5) DE
Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions:
  • 1) VLRX 2) ZEN 3) YELP 4) DE 5) PYPL
Charts: