Weekly Scoreboard*

S&P 500 2,878.14 +4.72%

 
























The Weekly Wrap by Briefing.com.

 
Indices

• DJIA 26,011.21 +4.88%

• NASDAQ 7,748.54 +4.08%

• Russell 2000 1,517.24 +3.58%

• S&P 500 High Beta 41.08 +5.28%

• Goldman 50 Most Shorted 148.61 +3.85%

• Wilshire 5000 29,570.17 +4.57%

• Russell 1000 Growth 1,553.05 +4.60%

• Russell 1000 Value 1,227.14 +4.77%

• S&P 500 Consumer Staples 599.94 +5.51%

• MSCI Cyclicals-Defensives Spread 1,082.08 -.21%
  

• NYSE Technology 1,848.06 +4.63%

• Transports 10,177.73 +4.59%

• Utilities 813.79 +4.38%

• Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 71.71 +.21%

• MSCI Emerging Markets 41.34 +1.70%

• HFRX Equity Hedge 1,208.28 +.42%

• HFRX Equity Market Neutral 960.16 -.08%

Sentiment/Internals

• NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 352,727 +.77%

• Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -24 +233

• Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 47.1 +35.3%

• CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 438,938 -8.25%

• CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,102,854 +.85%

• Total Put/Call .72 -40.23%

• OEX Put/Call .30 -21.1%

• ISE Sentiment 108.0 +52.11%

• NYSE Arms 1.25 -1.67%

• Volatility(VIX) 16.4 -12.7%

• S&P 500 Implied Correlation 39.21 -12.4%

• G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 6.34 +2.42%

• Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.70 +2.23%

• Smart Money Flow Index 15,269.90 +2.64%

• ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $3.163 Trillion +.45%

• ICI Domestic Equity Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$4.412 Billion

• AAII % Bulls 22.5 -9.1%

• AAII % Bears 42.6 +6.2%

Futures Spot Prices

• CRB Index 174.14 -.55%

• Crude Oil 53.56 +.49%

• Reformulated Gasoline 172.17 -2.47%

• Natural Gas 2.34 -5.07%

• Heating Oil 181.37 -1.33%

• Gold 1,345.40 +3.25%

• Bloomberg Base Metals Index 171.01 -.59%

• Copper 262.35 -.23%

• US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 299.0 USD/Metric Tonne unch.

• China Iron Ore Spot 95.50 USD/Metric Tonne -2.35%

• Lumber 312.80 +2.33%

• UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 901.53 -.78%

Economy

• Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast +1.47% +30.0 basis points

• ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate -1.3% -100.0 basis points
• Bloomberg US Recession Probability Next 12 Months 25.0% unch.

• Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index -.3486 +5.61%

• US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 469.32 +189.11%

• S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 175.17 +.19%

• Citi US Economic Surprise Index -56.40 -24.1 points

• Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -25.20 -4.9 points

• Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -31.20 -4.7 points

• Fed Fund Futures imply 73.9% chance of no change, 26.1% chance of 25 basis point cut on 6/19

• US Dollar Index 96.54 -1.13%

• MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,621.92 +.27%

• Bitcoin/USD 8,098.72 -4.98%

• Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 127.39 +1.38%

• Yield Curve 23.75 +4.25 basis points
  

• 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.09% -6.0 basis points

• Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $3.808 Trillion -.10%

• U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 16.44 +11.84%

• Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 135.0 +3.77%

• Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 261.5 -25.75 basis points

• China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 54.89 -5.64%
  

• Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 69.97 -8.54%
  

• Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 67.78 -1.72%

• South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 33.79 -9.07%

• Russia Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 126.06 -3.97%

• iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 163.45 +.14%

• 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.74% -1.0 basis point

• TED Spread 18.0 +1.25 basis points

• 2-Year Swap Spread 6.75 +1.75 basis points

• 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -11.0 +4.5 basis points

• N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 62.59 -10.32%
  

• America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 621.0 +3.29%

• European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 80.50 -11.59%
  

• Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 197.85 -6.57%
  

• CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread to Swaps 180.0 unch.
  

• M1 Money Supply $3.808 Trillion +.93%

• Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,100.0 +1.4%

• 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 215,000 -1,750

• Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
  

• Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 3.82% -17.0 basis points

• Weekly Mortgage Applications 417,800 +1.53%

• Bloomberg Consumer Comfort 61.7 +.9 point

• Weekly Retail Sales +5.50% +10.0 basis points

• Nationwide Gas $2.77/gallon -.06/gallon

• Baltic Dry Index 1,138.0 +3.83%

• China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 795.58 -.89%

• Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 17.50 -2.6%

• Rail Freight Carloads 241,167 -10.0%

Best Performing Style

• Mid-Cap Growth +5.1%

Worst Performing Style

• Small-Cap Value +3.4%

Leading Sectors

• Tobacco +6.8%

• Networking +6.6%

• Semis +6.4%

• Gold & Silver +6.4%

• Homebuilding +6.1%

Lagging Sectors

• Internet +2.8% 

• Computer Hardware +2.1%

• Oil Service +1.5%

• Shipping +.6%

• Coal -.2%

Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (13)

• BYND, MDB, MTN, ATNX, DATA, AYX, SFIX, STAA, ERI, CDLX, APO, HGV and FCX

Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (4)

• APPN, GES, DOCU and DOMO

Weekly Charts

ETFs

• High-Volume Gainers

• High-Volume Losers

Stocks

• High-Volume Gainers

• High-Volume Losers

*5-Day Change

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Fed Rate Cut Hopes, Diminished China/Mexico Tariff Worries, Oil Gain, Tech/Homebuilding Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:

• Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  

• Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
  

• Volume: Below Average

• Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line

Equity Investor Angst:

• Volatility(VIX) 16.57 +2.6%

• Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 127.39 +.34%

• Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.70 +.69%

• S&P 500 Implied Correlation 39.1 +2.3%

• ISE Sentiment Index 108.0 +89.5%
  

• Total Put/Call .73 -14.1%

• NYSE Arms 1.24 +44.6%

Credit Investor Angst:

• North American Investment Grade CDS Index 62.87 -.83%
  

• America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 621.0 -.64%

• European Financial Sector CDS Index 79.79 -4.76%

• Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 261.25 -11.5 basis points
  

• Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 75.03 -1.43%
  

• Emerging Market CDS Index 197.85 -1.33%
  

• iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 163.45 +.02%

• 2-Year Swap Spread 6.75 +1.5 basis points

• TED Spread 17.75 +3.0 basis points

• 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -11.0 unch.

Economic Gauges:

• Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 66.61 +.22%
• 3-Month T-Bill Yield 2.26% -5.0 basis points

• Yield Curve 23.5 -1.0 basis point

• China Iron Ore Spot 95.25 USD/Metric Tonne -.26%

• Citi US Economic Surprise Index -56.40 -9.1 points

• Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -25.2 -6.6 points

• Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -31.20 unch.

• 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.75 unch.
• 86.4% chance of Fed rate cut at July 31st meeting, 96.3% chance of cut at Sept. 18th meeting

Overseas Futures:

• Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +171 open in Japan 
• China A50 Futures: Indicating +110 open in China

• DAX Futures: Indicating +7 open in Germany

Portfolio:

• Higher: On gains in my tech/medical/biotech/retail/industrial sector longs

• Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges and some of my emerging market shorts

• Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

Bear Radar

Style Underperformer:

• Small-Cap Value +.5%

Sector Underperformers:

• 1) Banks -.5% 2) I-Banks unch. 3) Telecom +.1%

Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume: 

• DOCU, DOMO, TLND, GES, ANET, NRZ, ICPT, APPN, EOLS, NEWR, SEAS and AVLR

Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:

• 1) AET 2) CLDR 3) RLGY 4) DOCU 5) ANET

Stocks With Most Negative News Mentions:

• 1) NBRV 2) ANET 3) QEP 4) WFC 5) MIK

Charts:

• ETFs Falling on Unusual Volume
• Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume

Bull Radar

Style Outperformer:

• Large-Cap Growth +1.6%

Sector Outperformers:

• 1) Gaming +2.3% 2) Software +2.1% 3) Airlines +1.7%

Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:

• LJPC, DD, USMV, ZUMZ, EFAV, MGY, PAYS, PTGX, SNY, CRSP, MTN, HABT, ALLK, COUP, SFIX, PLAN, NOBL, FANH, CDLX, MESA, UGLD, MDB, AYX, BYND, ZM, PD, SWAV, PRSP, ATNX, APO, HGV, GIII and REVG

Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:

• 1) TPX 2) DOCU 3) XME 4) BX 5) EWW

Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions:

• 1) ZM 2) CRSP 3) MTN 4) VRTX 5) BHGE

Charts:

• ETFs Rising on Unusual Volume
• Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume