Friday, December 11, 2020

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HereIsTheEvidence.com:

Weekly Scoreboard*


S&P 500 3,659.16 -1.69%*

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
The Weekly Wrap by Briefing.com. 
 
Indices
  • DJIA 30,049.44 -.95%
  • NASDAQ 12,362.70 -1.47%
  • Russell 2000 1,911.31 +.28%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 56.98 -2.18%
  • Goldman 50 Most Shorted 229.22 +.73%
  • Wilshire 5000 38,181.25 -1.22%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 2,331.65 -1.76%
  • Russell 1000 Value 1,331.12 -1.29%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 691.54 -.54%
  • MSCI Cyclicals-Defensives Spread 1,340.47 -.64%
  • NYSE Technology 3,540.35 -1.87%
  • Transports 12,689.17 -.95%
  • Utilities 854.30 -.37%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 58.94 -6.1%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 50.76 -.25%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,300.33 +.19%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 915.49 -.23%
Sentiment/Internals
  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 440,135 +.76%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 579 -442
  • Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -46.40 -7.25%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 517,165 -1.05%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,122,605 +1.90%
  • Total Put/Call .98 +37.3%
  • OEX Put/Call 1.79 -33.7%
  • ISE Sentiment 108.0 +21.0 points
  • NYSE Arms 1.45 +103.7
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 1,200.0 -378.0 points
  • Volatility(VIX) 23.40 +19.2%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 48.28 +3.5%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.6 +5.3%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 10.25 -.77%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 13,101.60 +.71%
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $4.343 Trillion +.53%
  • ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows +$.452 Million
  • AAII % Bulls 48.1 -2.1%
  • AAII % Bears 26.9 +18.4%
Futures Spot Prices
  • CRB Index 161.16 +.95%
  • Crude Oil 46.60 +1.1%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 130.85 +3.95%
  • Natural Gas 2.59 +1.5%
  • Heating Oil 143.76 +2.26%
  • Gold 1,843.0 +.22%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 212.30 +.88%
  • Copper 353.05 -.09%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 405.0 USD/Metric Tonne +5.2%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 157.34 USD/Metric Tonne +9.4%
  • Lumber 793.10 +14.5%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 973.42 +1.17%
Economy
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast +11.15% +.06 percentage point
  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate +12.1% +1.1 percentage points
  • Bloomberg US Recession Probability Next 12 Months 20.0% -5.0 percentage points
  • NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index -2.39 -14.9%
  • US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 233.11 +55.6%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 166.52 +.70%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 78.20 +3.9 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 141.20 +4.5 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 66.7 +6.4 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 100.0% chance of no change, 0.0% chance of rate hike on 12/16
  • US Dollar Index 90.96 +.21%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,714.47 +.09%
  • Bitcoin/USD 17,995.81 -4.4%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 130.33 -.34%
  • Yield Curve 77.25 -4.25 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield .89% -8.0 basis points
  • Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $7.203 Trillion +.29%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 15.75 +4.3%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 323.24 -.05%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 119.0 +2.0 basis points
  • China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 29.31 +1.8%
  • Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 154.96 +1.22%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 45.82 -2.95%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 21.5 +6.0%
  • Russia Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 77.82 +3.3%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 181.99 -.02%
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.87% -3.0 basis points
  • TED Spread 15.5 +.5 basis point
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 7.5 -.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -21.75 -1.75 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 54.08 +8.5%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 421.0 -3.93%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 62.83 +14.3%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 166.77 +4.7%
  • MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 70.25 -3.75 basis points
  • Markit CMBX BBB-6 72.56 +1.05%
  • M1 Money Supply $6.543 Trillion +5.0%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 990.10 +2.2%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 776,000 +4.8%
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 3.9% +10.0 basis points
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 2.71% unch.
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 8458,200 -1.15%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort 49.0 -.3 point
  • Weekly Retail Sales +2.1% -160.0 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $2.16/gallon +.03/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,161 -3.01%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,411.98 +6.7%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 17.50 unch.
  • Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 103.45 +28.7%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 297,217 +20.6%
Best Performing Style
  • Small-Cap Growth +1.3%
Worst Performing Style
  • Large-Cap Growth -1.8%
Leading Sectors
  • Tobacco +5.1%
  • Education +2.4%
  • Shipping +1.4%
  • Digital Health +1.2%
  • Biotech +.9%
Lagging Sectors
  • Healthcare Providers -2.4%
  • Gaming -2.4%
  • REITs -3.1%
  • Semis -3.9%
  • Airlines -4.2%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (16)
  • DIS, FIII, NK, QELL, INSG, CNK, EGHT, CLSK, MP, EIDX, SDGR and EXPI
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (28)
  • BIG, HQY, DLTH, CDMO, COLL, BIGC, EHTH, CCL, QRVO, FSR, ACAD, EGAN, RETA, RH, PEN, CRC, TFFP, PLAY, CONN, SPT, ICPT, JBLU, HA, FIZZ, SABR, UNFI and SRG
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change

Stocks Lower into Afternoon on Virus Shutdown Fears, Diminished Stimulus Hopes, Oil Decline, Financial/Energy Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 23.8 +5.7%
  • Bloomberg Global Risk On/Risk Off Index 1,169.0 -137.0 points
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 130.43 -.44%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.3 +.20%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 48.4 +.81%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 146.0 +56.0 points
  • Total Put/Call .98 +40.0%
  • NYSE Arms 1.57 +68.5%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 53.60 +1.44%
  • US Energy High-Yield OAS 592.85 -.08%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 63.80 +7.5%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 119.0 +2.0 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 58.57 +.89%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 165.69 +1.31%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 181.99 +.04%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 7.5 +.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 15.5 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -21.75 -2.25 basis points
  • MBS  5/10 Treasury Spread  72.0 -2.5 basis points
  • IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 72.5 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 62.37 -.12%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .07% unch.
  • Yield Curve 77.25 -.75 basis point
  • China Iron Ore Spot 157.82 USD/Metric Tonne +.67%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 78.20 +9.0 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 141.2 +.4 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 66.70 +5.9 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.87 -3.0 basis points
  • 100.0% chance of no change at Jan. 27th meeting, 100.0% chance of no change at March 17th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -122 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -12 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +15 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech/industrial sector longs, index hedges and emerging market shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

Bear Radar

Style Underperformer:
  • Small-Cap Value -.9%
Sector Underperformers:
  • 1) Airlines -3.3% 2) Steel -2.3% 3) Oil Service -2.2%
Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume: 
  • CPE, BIGC, IPOB, QRVO, BIG, LPRO, SATS, LOVE, SWKS, RH, CCL, MD, CUK, GIII, YETI, IRTC, WES, ASAN, GLW, HA, ATHA, MTN, ECOM, CLF, PIC, ARCH, ICPT, JBLU, X, SPWH, EXPE, THC, WMS, AAL, M, COG, COG, SNOW, FUBO, NTLA, FIZZ, EQT, RAD, YELP, LQDT, SABR, ODT, QCOM, VLDR, LMND, SSPK, IGMS, UNFI, OPCH, SBE, TWST, CRC, EDIT, QS, CIIC, LAZR, SRG, SGMO and GLSI
Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
  • 1) DD 2) QCOM 3) DIS 4) JETS 5) XLF
Stocks With Most Negative News Mentions:
  • 1) PBF 2) SNOW 3) GLW 4) AAL 5) SQBG
Charts: