Friday, February 08, 2019

Stocks Lower into Final Hour on Global Growth Worries, China Trade Deal Concerns, European/Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Healthcare/Energy Sector Weakness

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 16.25 -.73%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 129.22 -.14%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.92 -.34%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 41.97 -3.58%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 108.0 +3.33%
  • Total Put/Call 1.06 +9.28%
  • NYSE Arms 1.10 -5.17%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 68.69 +1.06%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 550.0 -16.30%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 92.73 +1.36%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 287.25 +3.75 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 80.76 +3.53%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 177.11 +2.22%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 156.33 +.04%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 14.5 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 33.75 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -7.75 -1.25 basis points.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 68.34 -.02%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 2.41% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 17.25 unch.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 91.15 USD/Metric Tonne +.07%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 17.10 +.1 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -80.1 -1.0 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -10.4 -.2 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.83 -1.0 basis point
  • 0.0% chance of Fed rate hike at May 1st meeting, 0.0% chance at June 19th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -38 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -43 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +51 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech/medical sector longs and emerging market shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

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