Weekly Scoreboard*

S&P 500 6,944.0 -.2%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.

Indices

• DJIA 49,471.3 -.1%

• NASDAQ 23,547.9 -.5%

• Russell 2000 2,682.9 +2.5%

• NYSE FANG+ 15,520.7 -1.7%

• Goldman 50 Most Shorted 280.0 +5.9%
• Vaneck Social Sentiment 35.3 +1.8%

• Wilshire 5000 68,855.4 -.01%

• Russell 1000 Growth 4,743.2 -.9%

• Russell 1000 Value 2,156.4 +.8%

• S&P 500 Consumer Staples 909.7 +3.2%

• Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index(Ex Telecom) 265.2 -3.0%
  

• NYSE Technology 7,498.9 -.7%

• Transports 18,210.5 +.4%

• Utilities 1,096.2 +2.6%

• MSCI Europe Banks 117.7 +2.0%
  

• MSCI Emerging Markets 57.7 +1.2%

• Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 252.70 +.3%

• Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 131.1 +.5%

Sentiment/Internals

• NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 600,220 +1.0%
• Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 11.3 -3.4%

• Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 1,732 +1,034

• Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -7.9 +.1%

• CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 57,352 -11.2%

• CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,968,879 +3.7%

• Total Put/Call .75 unch.

• OEX Put/Call .69 +12.3%

• ISE Sentiment 156.0 +2.0%

• NYSE Arms .92 -48.4%
  
• Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 102.7 +1.4%
• Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .82 +1.0 basis point
• Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index 1.68 +2.0 basis points

• Volatility(VIX) 15.4 +6.6%
• S&P 500 Intraday % Swing .61 -30.6%

• CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 13.0 +6.5%

• G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 6.71 +.5%
  

• Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 6.34 +.96%

• Smart Money Flow Index 20,933.8 +.9%
• NAAIM Exposure Index  96.0 -1.7

• ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $7.729 Trillion -.96%

• ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$32.023 Million

• AAII % Bulls 49.5 +16.5%

• AAII % Bears 28.2 -6.0%
• CNN Fear & Greed Index 51.0 (Moved to GREED from NEUTRAL) +9.0

Futures Spot Prices

• CRB Index 301.8 -.2%

• Crude Oil 59.9/bbl. +2.0%

• Reformulated Gasoline 179.3 +1.3%

• Natural Gas 3.1 -1.2%
• US Power PJM Western Hub Peak Forward Y1 66.2 USD/Megawatt -2.7% 
• Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 36.9 euros/megawatt-hour +29.4%
  

• Heating Oil 224.8 +6.2% 
• Newcastle Coal 111.7 (1,000/metric ton) +3.3%

• Gold 4,584.4 +1.9%
• Silver 89.2 +12.1%
  

• Bloomberg Industrial Metals Index 169.1 -.4%

• Copper 583.2 -1.0%

• US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 375.0 USD/Metric Tonne -.3%

• China Iron Ore Spot 105.7 USD/Metric Tonne -3.1%
• China Battery Grade Lithium Carbonate 17,150.0 USD/metric tonne unch.

• CME Lumber 609.5 +8.1%

• UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,312.9 -1.1%
• US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 302.5 USD/Short Ton -.8%

Economy

• Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q2 Forecast +5.3% +.2 percentage point

• US Recession Within 6 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 26.2 -1.9 percentage points

• NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.5 +17.8%

• US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 396.4 +26.5%
• Bloomberg Global Trade Policy Uncertainty Index 2.7 +24.1%
• DOGE Total Taxpayer Dollars Saved $215.0 Billion($1,335.40 Savings Per Taxpayer) unch.
• S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(31 of 500 reporting) +17.5% -13.9 percentage points

• S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 312.66 +1.34:  Growth Rate +16.1% +.5 percentage point, P/E 22.2 unch.
• S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 13.18% -32.0 basis points
• NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(0 of 10 reporting) +17.6% unch.
• NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 486.94 +3.41: Growth Rate +19.3% +.8 percentage point, P/E 31.7 -.6

• Citi US Economic Surprise Index 16.7 +8.9 points

• Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 22.3 -4.6 points

• Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 23.1 -4.9 points

• Fed Fund Futures imply 5.0%(unch.) chance of -25.0 basis point cut to 3.25-3.5%, 95.0%(unch.) chance of no change, 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 3.75-4.0% on 1/28/26

• US Dollar Index 99.4 +.3%

• MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,851.6 +.07%
  

• Bitcoin/USD 94,988 +4.9%

• Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 208.4 -.1%
• Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.68 -.4%

• Yield Curve(2s/10s) 62.25 -1.25 basis points
  

• 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.22% +5.0 basis points
• Japan 30-Year Yield 3.49% +7.0 basis points. 

• Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $6.534 Trillion +.13%
• Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $5.899 Billion -26.5%

• U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 29.4 +3.7%
  

• Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 184.5 +.8%
  

• Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 62.0 -1.0 basis point
• UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 16.2 -2.0%

• China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 43.0 +5.0%
  

• Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 137.0 unch.
  

• Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 71.0 +4.2%

• South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 20.74 +1.2%

• China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.78 +.32%
• China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 117.86 +.25%
  

• Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +3.7% +10.0 basis points
• Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +2.2% -10.0 basis points
• US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +3.1% +50.0 basis points
• CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +2.8% -20.0 basis points
• Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +2.76% unch.: CPI YoY +2.34% -23.0 basis points
• 1-Year TIPS Spread 2.80 +13.0 basis points
• 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.32 +4.0 basis points

• Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread .5 basis points +2.25 basis points
• 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -16.25 unch.

• 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap 3.75 +.5 basis point

• N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 48.7 -.8%
  

• America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 181.0 unch. 
• High-Yield Tech Sector OAS Index 403.5 -4.8% 
• Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 232.0 +1.0 
  

• European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 53.4 +1.0%

• Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 127.3 +1.2%
  

• MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 94.0 -3.0 basis points
• Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 592.0 -2.0 basis points
• Avg. Auto ABS OAS .51 -3.0 basis points

• M2 Money Supply YoY % Change +4.3% unch.

• Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,413.1B -.1%

• 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 205,000 -3.1%

• Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
• Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 48.8 -13.3%
  

• Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.2% -3.0 basis points

• Weekly Mortgage Applications 348,000 +28.5%

• Weekly Retail Sales +5.7% -.9 percentage point
• OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY +9.0% -5.0 percentage points
• Box Office Weekly Gross $179.2M -45.5%

• Nationwide Gas $2.84/gallon +.03/gallon

• Baltic Dry Index 1,532.0 -9.2%
• Drewry World Container Freight Index $2,445.1/40 ft Box -4.4%
  

• China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,209.8 +1.3%

• Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 65.0 +100.0%
• Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 97.2 +62.7%

• Rail Freight Carloads 277,654 +31.2%
• TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,460,511 +24.8% 
• Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Approval Tacking Poll 45.0% unch.

Best Performing Style

• Small-Cap Growth +2.6%

Worst Performing Style

• Large-Cap Growth -.9%

Leading Sectors

• Computer Hardware +6.3%

• Alt Energy +6.2%
• Nuclear +5.5%

• Defense +5.1%
  

• Gold & Silver +5.0%
  

Lagging Sectors

• Medical -2.9%

• Insurance -2.9%
  

• Education -3.2%

• Software -5.6%
  

• Gambling -5.7%
  

Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (37)

• ASTS, VELO, FIGR, AGX, RIOT, LUNR, IREN, SPIR, FLY, RDW, SMCI, DBVT, AMBA, BKD, GLXY, NVO, SVM, AEHR, RKLB, POWL, DSP, GEV, PSNL, AVAV, PL, PFSI, TWO, MU, CEPT, RBLX, UMAC, PNC, OCUL, PWR and RITM

Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (18)

• RPD, MNDY, QXO, FIG, HUBS, APTV, STT, TRMB, NICE, APP, TEAM, WST, AMCR, XOMA, DKNG, BRZE, CEG and SGML

ETFs

• High-Volume Gainers

• High-Volume Losers

Stocks

• High-Volume Gainers

• High-Volume Losers

*5-Day Change