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| S&P 500 6,942.5 +.4% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- DJIA 48,824.8 -.5%
- NASDAQ 23,428.2 unch.
- Russell 2000 2,622.1 -1.8%
- NYSE FANG+ 15,338.6 -.14%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 264.0 -5.0%
- Vaneck Social Sentiment 33.1 -4.5%
- Wilshire 5000 68,412.3 +.1%
- Russell 1000 Growth 4,692.8 -.3%
- Russell 1000 Value 2,159.6 +.5%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 927.0 +.3%
- Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index(Ex Telecom) 264.7 -.7%
- NYSE Technology 7,453.5 -.1%
- Transports 18,250.0 +.3%
- Utilities 1,088.2 +1.3%
- MSCI Europe Banks 118.1 +1.2%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 59.1 +.5%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 256.6 +.9%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 131.7 +.4%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 602,611 +.2%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 8.4 +23.0%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 1,011 -941
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -10.6 -48.6%
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 58,128 +35.6%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,964,359 -2.7%
- Total Put/Call .84 -3.4%
- OEX Put/Call .74 -18.4%
- ISE Sentiment 133.0 -8.2%
- NYSE Arms 1.12 +2.8%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 101.2 -1.4%
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .80 -5.0 basis points
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index 1.55 -5.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 17.7 +7.9%
- S&P 500 Intraday % Swing .56 +3.6%
- CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 14.3 +7.3%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 8.10 +17.7%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 7.0 +8.8%
- Smart Money Flow Index 20,107.1 +.2%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 92.6 +4.1
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $7.712 Trillion +.17%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$7.879 Million
- AAII % Bulls 44.4 +2.8%
- AAII % Bears 30.8 -5.8%
- CNN Fear & Greed Index 55.0 (NEUTRAL) unch.
Futures Spot Prices
- CRB Index 323.71 +5.0%
- Crude Oil 65.6/bbl. +5.8%
- Reformulated Gasoline 192.3 +3.6%
- Natural Gas 4.36 -19.6%
- US Power PJM Western Hub Peak Forward Y1 70.4 USD/Megawatt +2.5%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 39.3 euros/megawatt-hour -1.9%
- Heating Oil 273.6 +10.4%
- Newcastle Coal 116.5 (1,000/metric ton) +3.3%
- Gold 4,927.1 -2.0%
- Silver 85.8 -19.2%
- Bloomberg Industrial Metals Index 172.1 -.4%
- Copper 594.5 -.3%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 375.0 USD/Metric Tonne -.3%
- China Iron Ore Spot 103.5 USD/Metric Tonne -.1
% China Battery Grade Lithium Carbonate 22,275.0 USD/metric tonne n/a
- CME Lumber 596.5 +.4%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,288.9 -1.1%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 300.0 USD/Short Ton unch.
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q2 Forecast +4.2% -1.2 percentage points
- US Recession Within 6 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 26.4 +1.8 percentage points
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.49 +15.3%
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 227.4 -44.0%
- Bloomberg Global Trade Policy Uncertainty Index 2.9 -52.0%
- DOGE Total Taxpayer Dollars Saved $215.0 Billion($1,335.40 Savings Per Taxpayer) unch.
- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(165 of 500 reporting) +15.3% -2.4 percentage points
- S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 315.20 +1.78: Growth Rate +17.1% +.5 percentage point, P/E 22.1 unch.
- S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 13.03% -9.0 basis points
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(4 of 10 reporting) +18.6% -21.6 percentage points
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 494.06 +2.73: Growth Rate +20.2% +.6 percentage point, P/E 31.3 +.3
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 40.3 +15.1 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 23.2 +7.4 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 27.1 +8.8 points
- Fed Fund Futures imply 13.4%(-1.5 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis point cut to 3.25-3.5%, 86.6%(+2.0 percentage points) chance of no change, 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 3.75-4.0% on 3/18/26
- US Dollar Index 96.98 -.59%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,869.4 +.87%
- Bitcoin/USD 84,065 -2.7%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 208.43 -.33%
- Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 9.02 +1.24%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) 71.0 +7.75 basis points
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.24% unch.
- Japan 30-Year Yield 3.64% unch.
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $6.539 Trillion +.03%
- Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $3.766 Billion +3.4%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 3 +1.1%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 180.0 +.5%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 61.0 unch.
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 16.16 -.49%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 44.37 +6.6%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 130.26 -.90%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 70.66 -.1%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 21.63 +3.0%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.74 -.4%
- China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 119.5 +.7%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +3.7% unch.
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +2.2% unch.
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +3.1% unch.
- CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +2.8% unch.
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +2.84% unch.: CPI YoY +2.36% +1.0 basis point
- 1-Year TIPS Spread 3.39 +40.0 basis points
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.34 +2.0 basis points
- Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread 2.5 basis points -2.0 basis points
- 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -16.0 unch.
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap 3.25 -.25 basis point
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 49.3 +.7%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 172.0 -2.5%
- High-Yield Tech Sector OAS Index 482.9 +14.4%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 256.0 +29.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 53.7 +.7%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 127.5 +1.5%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 98.0 unch.
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 597.0 +3.0 basis points
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .50 unch.
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change +4.6% +30.0 basis points
- Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,399.8B -.1%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 206,250 +1.1%
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 56.4 -.9%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.21% +3.0 basis points
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 363,300 -8.5%
- Weekly Retail Sales +6.1% +.5 percentage point
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY -4.0% -23.0 percentage points
- Box Office Weekly Gross $128.1M n/a
- Nationwide Gas $2.87/gallon +.01/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 2,002.0 +13.6%
- Drewry World Container Freight Index $2,207.0/40 ft Box -4.7%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,175.6 -2.7%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 50.0 -25.9%
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 86.1 -4.1%
- Rail Freight Carloads 266,924 -4.9%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,235,355 +38.3%
- Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Approval Tacking Poll 46.0% -1.0 percentage point
Best Performing Style
- Large-Cap Value +.5%
Worst Performing Style
- Small-Cap Growth -2.6%
Leading Sectors
- Disk Drives +6.9%
- Shipping +5.0%
- Networking +3.9%
- Computer Hardware +2.6%
- Computer Services +2.3%
Lagging Sectors
- Coal -5.8%
- Software -7.0%
- Gambling -7.1%
- Healthcare Providers -9.0%
- Gold & Silver -11.1%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (29)
- TCGL, RHI, AXTI, DECK, AAOI, VZ, SNDK, MAN, LBRDK, CHTR, MOD, DXYZ, BEPC, APD, LITE, BEP, HSHP, LAND, CL, ELVN, TTMI, HTH, SIMO, TMUS, SYK, SIMO, CHD, T, SKM, PKST and ABT
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (48)
- AI, CORT, FNV, SNDR, TTWO, AEM, PHYS, B, HMY, INOD, AGI, AU, KGC, AUGO, PTRN, PAAS, RMT, APP, SSRM, CGAU, WPM, RBLX, TBBK, ARMN, KLAC, SCZM, RKT, MXL, SVM, OXLC, AG, SBSW, CDE, HYMC, CEF, U and PFSI
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change
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