 |
| S&P 500 6,911.7 -.4% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- DJIA 49,088.8 -.6%
- NASDAQ 23,497.2 +.1%
- Russell 2000 2,668.2 -.1%
- NYSE FANG+ 15,382.7 -.8%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 281.42 +5.1%
- Vaneck Social Sentiment 34.9 +1.4%
- Wilshire 5000 68,477.4 -.3%
- Russell 1000 Growth 4,714.3 -.4%
- Russell 1000 Value 2,149.7 -.4%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 922.7 +.7%
- Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index(Ex Telecom) 266.9 +1.1%
- NYSE Technology 7,486.3 -.2%
- Transports 18,214.0 -.8%
- Utilities 1,071.5 -2.9%
- MSCI Europe Banks 117.9 +.1%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 58.9 +1.5%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 254.27 +.6%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 131.1 +.01%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 601,311 +.2%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 13.1 +8.4%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 1,952 +220
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -7.1 +9.6%
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 58,128 +1.4%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,018,789 +2.5%
- Total Put/Call .84 +9.3%
- OEX Put/Call .90 +29.0%
- ISE Sentiment 149.0 -.7%
- NYSE Arms .89 -40.0%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 102.7 +1.4%
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .85 +3.0 basis points
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index 1.60 -8.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 15.5 -1.9%
- S&P 500 Intraday % Swing .54 -8.2%
- CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 12.4 -2.8%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 6.88 +2.5%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 6.37 +.6%
- Smart Money Flow Index 20,104.8 -1.7%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 88.5 -7.5
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $7.699 Trillion -.4%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows +$20.170 Million
- AAII % Bulls 43.2 -12.7%
- AAII % Bears 32.7 +16.0%
- CNN Fear & Greed Index 55.0 (NEUTRAL) +4.0
Futures Spot Prices
- CRB Index 308.4 +.5%
- Crude Oil 61.1/bbl. +3.1%
- Reformulated Gasoline 185.2 +3.8%
- Natural Gas 5.24 +68.5%
- US Power PJM Western Hub Peak Forward Y1 68.7 USD/Megawatt +3.8%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 40.0 euros/megawatt-hour +8.6%
- Heating Oil 243.3 +10.2%
- Newcastle Coal 112.8 (1,000/metric ton) +1.2%
- Gold 4,980.1 +8.3%
- Silver 101.8 +12.5%
- Bloomberg Industrial Metals Index 172.8 -.6%
- Copper 593.0 -1.0%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 376.0 USD/Metric Tonne +.3%
- China Iron Ore Spot 104.2 USD/Metric Tonne -.8
% China Battery Grade Lithium Carbonate 22,275.0 USD/metric tonne +30.0%
- CME Lumber 594.5 -2.1%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,303.0 +.2%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 300.0 USD/Short Ton -.8%
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q2 Forecast +5.4% +.1 percentage point
- US Recession Within 6 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 24.6 -1.6 percentage points
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.3 -5.7%
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 592.3 +211.1%
- Bloomberg Global Trade Policy Uncertainty Index 5.9 +146.5%
- DOGE Total Taxpayer Dollars Saved $215.0 Billion($1,335.40 Savings Per Taxpayer) unch.
- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(62 of 500 reporting) +17.7% +.2 percentage point
- S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 313.42 +.76: Growth Rate +16.4% +.3 percentage point, P/E 22.1 -.1
- S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 13.12% -6.0 basis points
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(1 of 10 reporting) +40.2% n/a
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 491.33 +4.39: Growth Rate +19.6% +.3 percentage point, P/E 31.0 -.7
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 25.2 +8.5 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 15.8 -6.5 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 19.3 -3.8 points
- Fed Fund Futures imply 2.8%(-1.6 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis point cut to 3.25-3.5%, 97.2%(+1.6 percentage points) chance of no change, 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 3.75-4.0% on 1/28/26
- US Dollar Index 97.7 -1.7%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,852.2 +.2%
- Bitcoin/USD 89,799 -5.6%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 209.06 +.53%
- Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.87 +.48%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) 63.5 +1.25 basis points
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.24% +2.0 basis points
- Japan 30-Year Yield 3.64% +15.0 basis points
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $6.537 Trillion +.04%
- Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $3.642 Billion -38.3%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 31.7 +7.6%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 179.7 -2.5%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 61.0 -1.0 basis point
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 16.2 +.4%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 41.6 -3.1%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 131.4 -3.8%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 70.7 -.4%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 20.79 +.2%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.8 +.24%
- China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 118.6 +.63%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +3.7% unch.
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +2.2% unch.
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +3.1% unch.
- CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +2.8% unch.
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +2.84% +8.0 basis points: CPI YoY +2.35% +1.0 basis point
- 1-Year TIPS Spread 2.99 +19.0 basis points
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.32 unch.
- Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread 4.5 basis points +4.0 basis points
- 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -16.0 +.25 basis point
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap 3.5 -.25 basis point
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 48.9 +.4%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 176.0 -2.6%
- High-Yield Tech Sector OAS Index 420.25 +4.0%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 227.0 -5.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 53.3 -.1%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 125.8 -1.2%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 98.0 +4.0 basis points
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 594.0 +2.0 basis points
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .50 -1.0 basis point
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change +4.3% unch.
- Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,401.6B -.8%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 201,500 -1.8%
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 56.9 +16.7%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.18% -2.0 basis points
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 397,200 +14.1%
- Weekly Retail Sales +5.6% -.1 percentage point
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY +19.0% +10.0 percentage points
- Box Office Weekly Gross $128.1M -28.5%
- Nationwide Gas $2.86/gallon +.02/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 1,761.0 +12.4%
- Drewry World Container Freight Index $2,291.9/40 ft Box -9.5%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,208.8 -.1%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 67.5 +3.9%
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 89.8 -7.7%
- Rail Freight Carloads 280,602 +4.3%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,235,021 +11.6%
- Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Approval Tacking Poll 47.0% +2.0 percentage points
Best Performing Style
- Small-Cap Value +.2%
Worst Performing Style
- Mid-Cap Growth -1.3%
Leading Sectors
- Gold & Silver +9.8%
- Nuclear +5.4%
- Disk Drives +5.0%
- Oil Service +4.8%
- Biotech +3.4%
Lagging Sectors
- Utilities -2.9%
- Medical Equipment -3.3%
- Digital Health -3.3%
- Homebuilding -3.4%
- Gambling -8.5%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (60)
- LIF, SGML, ADUR, DQ, IREN, ENGN, RDW, CLPT, VOYG, UAMY, APLD, ERIC, USAR, METC, CLSK, USAU, QURE, CASH, HYMC, WYFI, SBSW, CORT, BAND, BAH, TME, SCZM, FTNT, CIFR, UUUU, SPIR, ALK, DBVT, RIOT, RSLV, ALM, CMCL, ALM, CMCL, ERO, RKLB, DBVT, SLM, TECK, PBR/A, PAAS, MARA, ORLA, CSX, CIB, MSFT, GILD, SCCO, CSX, CNTA, EQNR, BBAR, WIX, NOW, SVM, SPOT, TEN and CEF
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (15)
- EWBC, SIGI, CVGW, HS, KTB, WST, MMYT, OFG, COF, LPTH, CUBI, STVN, APGE, VELO and INTC
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change
No comments:
Post a Comment