Portfolio Manager's Commentary on Investing and Trading in the U.S. Financial Markets
Friday, February 20, 2009
Links of Interest
Market Performance Summary
Style Performance
Sector Performance
WSJ Data Center
Top 20 Biz Stories
IBD Breaking News
Movers & Shakers
Upgrades/Downgrades
In Play
NYSE Unusual Volume
NASDAQ Unusual Volume
Hot Spots
Option Dragon
NASDAQ 100 Heatmap
Chart Toppers
Real-Time Intraday Quote/Chart
HFR Global Hedge Fund Indices
Thursday, February 19, 2009
Friday Watch
Late-Night Headlines
Bloomberg:
- Russians Retrench as Crisis Evokes Memories of 1998 ‘Nightmare.’
Wall Street Journal:
- Poll: Would You Join Rick Santelli’s “Chicago Tea Party?”
NY Times:
IBD:
- For Inverness Medical Innovations (IMA), it's all about simplicity and speed.
Forbes:
- Where In The US Homes Are Most Affordable.
Reuters:
Economic Daily News:
- Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing executives believe the chip industry has hit bottom. The chipmaker has order visibility until the end of April, with customers not ruling out a replenishment of inventory in May or June. Taiwan Semi, the world’s largest customer chipmaker, on Jan. 22 forecast it would post its first quarterly loss since 1990 as overall chip industry sales are projected to decline 30% this year.
Philstar.com:
Late Buy/Sell Recommendations
Citigroup:
- Upgraded (WBMD) to Buy, target $25.
Night Trading
Asian Indices are -2.50% to -1.0% on average.
S&P 500 futures -.83%.
NASDAQ 100 futures -.66%.
Morning Preview
US AM Market Call
NASDAQ 100 Pre-Market Indicator/Heat Map
Pre-market Commentary
Pre-market Stock Quote/Chart
Global Commentary
WSJ Intl Markets Performance
Commodity Futures
Top 25 Stories
Top 20 Business Stories
Today in IBD
In Play
Bond Ticker
Economic Preview/Calendar
Earnings Calendar
Who’s Speaking?
Upgrades/Downgrades
Rasmussen Business/Economy Polling
Earnings of Note
Company/EPS Estimate
- (ABX)/.30
- (HMSY)/.24
- (JCP)/.92
- (LOW)/.12
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
- The Consumer Price Index for January is estimated to rise .3% versus a -.8% decline in December.
- The CPI Ex Food & Energy for January is estimated to rise .1% versus unch. in December.
Upcoming Splits
- None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
- The (BEAV) Investor Meeting could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are lower, weighed down by automaker and financial stocks in the region. I expect US equities to open modestly lower and to maintain losses into the afternoon. The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.
Stocks Finish Lower, Weighed Down by Financial, Technology, Education, REIT, Homebuilding and Gold Shares
Market Summary
Top 20 Biz Stories
Today’s Movers
Market Performance Summary
WSJ Data Center
Sector Performance
ETF Performance
Style Performance
Commodity Movers
Market Wrap CNBC Video(bottom right)
S&P 500 Gallery View
Timely Economic Charts
GuruFocus.com
PM Market Call
After-hours Commentary
After-hours Movers
After-hours Real-Time Stock Bid/Ask
After-hours Stock Quote
After-hours Stock Chart
In Play
Stocks Lower into Final Hour on Bank Nationalization Fears, Tech Sector Earnings Worries and Higher Energy Prices
Today's Headlines
Bloomberg:
- Eastern European currency hedges gone bad may prove to be the catalyst for a resumption in the euro’s slide, according to Kathy Lien, director of currency research at GFT, an online currency trading firm. “As troubles continue to brew in eastern Europe, additional losses on foreign-exchange derivative contracts will increase the risk of eastern European borrowers defaulting on their loans,” said Lien, who is based in NY. “This would create a domino effect which will most certainly hit Western Europe. That could lead to an exodus out of euros.” The euro will decline to a two-year low of $1.233 as a result of the exposure of western European economies to falling growth and banking losses in eastern Europe, Lien said.
- China’s stock rally this year may falter as a so-called momentum indicator showed the benchmark Shanghai Composite Index crossed a level that some traders use as a trigger to sell shares. The 14-day relative strength index, or RSI, for the Shanghai Composite rose above the 70 threshold this month for the first time since October 2007, when the index peaked. “Getting into the market now is really for the most speculative of investors,” said Fraser Howie, head of structured products at CLSA Singapore Ltd. “People are losing their jobs and export growth is still weak,” he said.
Wall Street Journal:
Detroit Free Press:
- Bottom line: US auto industry says it needs $97.4 billion to live.
paidContent.org:
Rocky Mountain News:
Charlotte Observer:
USAToday:
Reuters:
- China’s Shanghai Stock Exchange may resume allowing initial public share offerings before July, the bourse’s executive vp Zhou Qinye said.
Bear Radar
Style Underperformer:
Small-cap Value (-1.19%)
Sector Underperformers:
Education (-7.0%), Homebuilders (-5.56%) and Banks (-3.33%)
Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume:
CCJ, HPQ, IM, WFC, BMRN, ITRI, NILE, NTRI, POOL, SHPGY, COCO, APOL, WST, HE, STC, TTC, ESI and ORB
Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
1) JWN 2) MCO 3) AMAT 4) ESI 5) LDK