Friday, April 05, 2019

Stocks Higher into Final Hour on Diminished Global Growth Worries, Oil Gain, Short-Covering, Energy/Biotech Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.9 -4.9%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 130.18 +.03%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.31 -1.54%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 35.35 -1.52%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 72.0 -34.6%
  • Total Put/Call .79 -2.47%
  • NYSE Arms 1.04 +49.3%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 60.49 -1.36%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 527.0 +2.71%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 74.32 -4.02%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 247.25 +5.25 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 66.59 +.02%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 171.11 -1.13%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 161.02 +.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 10.5 unch.
  • TED Spread 18.25 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -14.75 -.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 67.48 +.01%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 2.42% unch.
  • Yield Curve 15.75 -1.75 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 92.42 USD/Metric Tonne +1.78%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -53.10 +2.0 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -59.10 +1.8 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -11.30 +.3 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.91 unch.
  • 11.8% chance of Fed rate cut at June 19th meeting, 17.4% chance of cut at July 31st meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +53 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +195 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +11 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my medical/biotech/tech/industrial sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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