Wednesday, April 17, 2019

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on "Medicare-For-All" Fears, Technical Selling, Profit-Taking, Biotech/Medical Sector Weakness

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.53 +2.87%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 131.57 +.2%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.23 +.61%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 35.68 +.93%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 99.0 +7.61%
  • Total Put/Call .80 -13.0%
  • NYSE Arms .97 +3.19%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 57.40 +.45%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 501.0 +.22%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 69.12 -1.29%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 253.25 +.5 basis point
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 62.71 -1.61%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 174.58 -1.02%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 161.40 +.04%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 9.75 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 17.5 -2.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -16.25 -1.75 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 67.51 +.13%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 2.43% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 19.25 +1.25 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 89.40 USD/Metric Tonne -.95%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -62.60 +.6 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -41.10 +.7 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 4.90 +9.0 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.95 -1.0 basis point
  • 6.2% chance of Fed rate cut at June 19th meeting, 10.2% chance of cut at July 31st meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +22 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +3 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +49 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my industrial/tech/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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