Thursday, April 18, 2019

Stocks Reversing Higher into Final Hour on Diminished US Political Worries, US Economic Data, Technical Buying, Healthcare/Road & Rail Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.2 -3.2%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 130.64 -.71%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.33 +1.22%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 35.52 -1.9%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 84.0 -13.4%
  • Total Put/Call .84 +3.7%
  • NYSE Arms .87 -21.6%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 57.45 -.19%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 453.0 -9.5%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 67.86 -1.96%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 257.75 +4.5 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 63.14 -.25%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 178.26 +1.96%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 161.46 +.04%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 9.75 unch.
  • TED Spread 17.75 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -18.25 -2.0 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 67.33 -.24%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 2.41% -2.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 18.0 -1.25 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 89.18 USD/Metric Tonne +.31%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -59.20 +3.4 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -43.30 -2.2 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 5.60 +.7 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.95 unch.
  • 6.2% chance of Fed rate cut at June 19th meeting, 10.2% chance of cut at July 31st meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +190 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +57 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +60 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my industrial/tech/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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