Wednesday, April 10, 2019

Thursday Watch

Evening Headlines
Bloomberg:      
  • Asia Stocks Trade Mixed; Bonds Steady After Gains. Asian stocks traded mixed Thursday after the Federal Reserve did little to alter investor expectations that interest rates in the U.S. are likely on hold for the remainder of this year. Treasuries steadied. Shares slipped in Japan and Australia, and were little changed in Seoul. Earlier, the S&P 500 Index posted modest gains as unexpectedly soft inflation boosted the Fed’s wait-and-see approach to rate hikes. Australian bonds climbed, tracking overnight moves higher in sovereign debt as central bankers detailed weakness in the economic outlook. The pound was steady as European Union leaders agreed to extend the date of Britain’s departure from the bloc to Oct. 31. Japan’s Topix index slipped 0.3 percent as of 9:07 a.m. in Tokyo. South Korea’s Kospi added 0.1 percent. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index fell 0.2 percent. The S&P 500 Index gained 0.4 percent. Futures rose 0.1 percent.
Wall St. Journal:
Zero Hedge:
Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -.25% to +.5% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 66.50 -1.25 basis points. 
  • China Sovereign CDS 43.0 -.25 basis point.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 67.76 +.01%.
  • FTSE 100 futures -.01%.
  • S&P 500 futures +.10%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.15%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate

Before the Open:
  • (APOG)/.91
  • (CBSH)/.90
  • (FAST)/.67
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • PPI Final Demand MoM for March is estimated to rise +.3% versus a +.1% gain in Feb. 
  • PPI Ex Food and Energy MoM for March is estimated to rise +.2% versus a +.1% gain in Feb.
  • Initial Jobless Claims for last week are estimated to rise to 210K versus 202K the prior week.
  • Continuing Claims are estimated to rise to 1735K versus 1717K prior.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Fed's Clarida speaking, Fed's Bowman speaking, China CPI report, $16B 30Y T-Note auction, Bloomberg US Economic Survey for April, weekly Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index, weekly EIA natural gas inventory report, (LB)/(BKE)/(CATO) monthly sales releases and the (DIS) investor day could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE:  Asian indices are slightly higher, boosted by technology and consumer shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to strengthen into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher.  The Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the day.

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