Monday, April 29, 2019

Stocks Higher into Final Hour on Earnings Optimism, China Trade Deal Hopes, Oil Gain, Financial/Tech Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.0 +1.8%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 129.81 +.55%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.132 -.85%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 34.84 -1.3%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 110.0 +10.0%
  • Total Put/Call .85 +2.41%
  • NYSE Arms 1.29 +51.8%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 57.16 -.56%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 451.0 +.94%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 69.04 -4.33%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 258.25 -2.25 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 64.12 -1.55%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 191.22 -1.78%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 162.0 +.10%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 10.75 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 17.75+.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -18.5 -.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 66.51 -.01%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 2.41% unch.
  • Yield Curve 23.75 +2.0 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 92.50 USD/Metric Tonne +1.03%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -57.10 unch.
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -44.40 -5.4 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -3.3 +1.5 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.97 -1.0 basis point
  • 19.7% chance of Fed rate cut at June 19th meeting, 29.7% chance of cut at July 31st meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +197 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -22 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +30 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech/industrial/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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