Tuesday, April 16, 2019

Stocks Reversing Lower into Final Hour on "Medicare-For-All" Fears, Technical Selling, Profit-Taking, Healthcare/Medical Sector Weakness

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.13 -1.5%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 131.36 -.19%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.13 -.37%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 35.42 +.85%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 98.0 -7.55%
  • Total Put/Call 1.0 +9.89%
  • NYSE Arms .99 -18.85%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 57.23 +1.42%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 502.0 -.1%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 70.03 +.06%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 252.75 +.5 basis point
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 63.68 -.75%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 176.06 -.73%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 161.33 -.04%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 10.0 unch.
  • TED Spread 19.75 +1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -14.5 +1.75 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 67.46 -.05%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 2.42% +2.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 18.0 +2.0 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 91.0 USD/Metric Tonne -3.37%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -63.20 -5.8 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -41.80 +2.2 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -4.10 +1.0 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.96 +1.0 basis point
  • 7.2% chance of Fed rate cut at June 19th meeting, 12.1% chance of cut at July 31st meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +84 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -26 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +31 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my industrial/tech/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

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