Monday, April 08, 2019

Stocks Reversing Slightly Higher into Afternoon on Diminishing Global Growth Worries, Oil Gain, Technical Buying, Commodity/Gaming Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.3 +4.0%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 130.46 +.2%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.29 +.12%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 35.27 +1.38%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 63.0 -11.3%
  • Total Put/Call .63 -21.3%
  • NYSE Arms .81 -8.99%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 60.31 +.09%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 509.0 -2.92%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 75.92 +2.13%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 248.0 +.75 basis point
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 67.08 +.73%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 175.47 +2.53%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 161.14 +.08%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 9.25 -1.25 basis points
  • TED Spread 18.0 -.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -17.25 -2.5 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 67.50 +.07%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 2.42% unch.
  • Yield Curve 15.75 unch.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 93.47 USD/Metric Tonne +.24%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -52.90 +.2 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -53.70 +5.4 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -8.40 +2.9 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.92 +1.0 basis point
  • 13.6% chance of Fed rate cut at June 19th meeting, 17.6% chance of cut at July 31st meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +50 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +111 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +15 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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