Friday, April 12, 2019

Stocks Surging into Final Hour on Earnings Optimism, Diminishing Global Growth Fears, Technical Buying, Financial/Transport Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.2 -6.2%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 131.47 +.69%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.22 +1.48%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 34.7 -3.5%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 115.0 +15.0%
  • Total Put/Call .74 -26.0%
  • NYSE Arms 1.09 -23.8%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 56.74 -3.7%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 507.0 -.88%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 67.55 -4.08%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 248.5 +10.75 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 65.31 -1.81%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 177.70 -1.03%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 160.71 -.22%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 10.25 +1.25 basis points
  • TED Spread 20.0 +2.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -13.75 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 67.57 +.11%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 2.42% unch.
  • Yield Curve 16.50 +1.5 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 93.50 USD/Metric Tonne +2.2%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -58.40 -1.3 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -45.90 +1.4 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -4.80 -.3 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.96 +2.0 basis points
  • 10.9% chance of Fed rate cut at June 19th meeting, 12.3% chance of cut at July 31st meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +210 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +260 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +25 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/retail/industrial sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

No comments: