Broad Equity Market Tone:
- Advance/Decline Line: Lower
- Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
- Volume: Above Average
- Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
- Volatility(VIX) 31.9 +15.7%
- Bloomberg Global Risk On/Risk Off Index 2,735.0 -471.0 points
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 132.61 -1.1%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.6 +5.4%
- CBOE S&P 500 Implied Correlation Index 49.0 +6.8%
- ISE Sentiment Index 113.0 +28.0
- Total Put/Call .92 -5.2%
- NYSE Arms 1.21 +59.2%
Credit Investor Angst:
- North American Investment Grade CDS Index 67.65 +1.3%
- US Energy High-Yield OAS 423.28 +2.8%
- European Financial Sector CDS Index 81.49 +5.2%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 157.0 -3.0 basis points
- Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 113.30 +2.6%
- Emerging Market CDS Index 292.90 +18.5%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 30.52 -.78%
- Ukraine Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 2,934.19 +1.6%
- 2-Year Swap Spread 18.5 -.25 basis point
- TED Spread 23.25 +4.5 basis points
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -41.5 -18.0 basis points
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 101.0 -1.0 basis point
- iShares CMBS ETF 51.37 +.38%
Economic Gauges:
- Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 52.35 -2.11%
- 3-Month T-Bill Yield .30% unch.
- Yield Curve 41.5 +3.75 basis points
- China Iron Ore Spot 145.5 USD/Metric Tonne +5.3%
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 40.1 -1.7 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 67.8 -4.8 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 34.4 -2.1 points
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.64 +8.0 basis points
- 0.0%(unch.) chance of no change at May 4th FOMC meeting, 0.0%(unch.) chance of no change at June 15th meeting
US Covid-19:
- 136 new infections/100K people(last 7 days total). 8.0%(-1.0 percentage point) of 1/14 peak -23/100K people from prior report.
- New
Covid-19 patient hospital admissions per 100K population -79.0%(-7.0
percentage points) from peak 7-day avg. of 1/9/21 - 1/15/22
Overseas Futures:
- Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +116 open in Japan
- China A50 Futures: Indicating +59 open in China
- DAX Futures: Indicating -226 open in Germany
Portfolio:
- Higher: On gains in my industrial/commodity sector longs, index hedges and emerging market shorts
- Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
- Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long