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| S&P 500 6,805.2 +2.1% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- DJIA 47,275.2 +2.3%
- NASDAQ 23,255.5 +2.5%
- Russell 2000 2,517.2 +2.7%
- NYSE FANG+ 16,542.0 +2.5%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 279.8 +1.7%
- Wilshire 5000 67,323.4 +2.2%
- Russell 1000 Growth 4,813.8 +2.3%
- Russell 1000 Value 2,033.3 +1.9%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 881.4 -.5%
- Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index(Ex Telecom) 249.9 +1.8%
- NYSE Technology 7,563.1 +3.2%
- Transports 15,505.6 -1.4%
- Utilities 1,145.4 -.6%
- MSCI Europe Banks 97.0 +1.3%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 55.2 +1.7%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 245.05 +1.13%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 126.79 +.35%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 584,998 +.68%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 16.6 +31.4%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 461 -72
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -12.4 n/a
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 102,958 n/a
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,936,690 n/a
- Total Put/Call .78 -14.4%
- OEX Put/Call 1.61 +43.8%
- ISE Sentiment 163.0 -10.0
- NYSE Arms 1.03 +24.1%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 84.1 +10.5%
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .50 +29.0 basis points
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index 1.10 -17.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 16.4 -21.1%
- S&P 500 Intraday % Swing .51 -55.4%
- CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 13.9 -18.9%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.3 -4.7%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 6.5 -4.7%
- Smart Money Flow Index 23,027.8 -2.3%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 90.4 +5.8
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $7.398 Trillion +.41%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows +$3.133 Million
- AAII % Bulls 36.9 +9.5%
- AAII % Bears 42.7 -7.4%
- CNN Fear & Greed Index 33.0 (FEAR from EXTREME FEAR) +4.0
Futures Spot Prices
- CRB Index 305.0 +3.8%
- Crude Oil 61.6/bbl. +6.7%
- Reformulated Gasoline 192.2 +5.1%
- Natural Gas 3.38 +8.7%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 32.0 euros/megawatt-hour +.3%
- Heating Oil 240.3 +10.5%
- Newcastle Coal 108.0 (1,000/metric ton) -1.1%
- Gold 4,112.0 -3.4%
- Silver 48.55 -6.5%
- S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 506.4 +2.7%
- Copper 512.5 +2.5%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 351.0 USD/Metric Tonne +.3%
- China Iron Ore Spot 104.2 USD/Metric Tonne +.4
% China Battery Grade Lithium Carbonate 10,250.0 USD/metric tonne n/a
- CME Lumber 686.5 -6.9%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,337.5 +.6%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 327.5 USD/Short Ton unch.
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q2 Forecast +3.9% unch.
- US Recession Within 6 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 38.4 -2.8 percentage points
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.16 -13.6%
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 417.50 -32.0%
- Bloomberg Global Trade Policy Uncertainty Index 3.0 -35.7%
- DOGE Total Taxpayer Dollars Saved $214.0 Billion($1,329.19 Savings Per Taxpayer) unch.
- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(145 of 500 reporting) +15.1% -.9 percentage point
- S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 297.03 +1.09: Growth Rate +13.4% +.4 percentage point, P/E 22.7 +.3
- S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 13.58% +10.0 basis points
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(1 of 10 reporting) +7.6%
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 480.32 +2.71: Growth Rate +18.9% +.6 percentage point, P/E 33.8 +.4
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 11.0 +1.2 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 7.1 +9.1 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 13.2 +4.5 points
- Fed Fund Futures imply 96.7%(-1.7 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis point cut to 3.75-4.0%, 3.3%(+3.3 percentage points) chance of no change, 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 4.25-4.5% on 10/29
- US Dollar Index 98.96 +.4%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,839.3 -.08%
- Bitcoin/USD 110,618.5 +1.5%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 201.08 +1.3%
- Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.96 -.3%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) 51.25 -2.75 basis points
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 3.99% -1.0 basis point
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $6.542 Trillion -.1%
- Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $6.788 Billion +11.6%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 40.0 -2.3%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 201.0 -5.9%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 79.0 -1.0 basis point
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 21.4 -.7%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 43.7 -3.0%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 141.6 -3.9%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 72.9 -.7%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 24.60 +1.4%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.61 +.22%
- China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 125.27 +.08%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +3.8% unch.
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +2.6% unch.
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +3.1% -10.0 basis points
- CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +3.3% -20.0 basis points
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +2.85% -2.0 basis points: CPI YoY +2.97% -2.0 basis points
- 1-Year TIPS Spread 2.96 +36.0 basis points
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.29 +1.0 basis point
- Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread -35.75 basis points -3.25 basis points
- 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -23.0 +.5 basis point
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -3.5 +.25 basis point
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 51.4 -4.6%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 199.0 -5.6%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 237.0 -6.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 59.3 -5.1%
- Deutsche Bank Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 128.4 -4.9%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 144.9 -5.8%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 123.0 +1.0 basis point
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 606.0 +3.0 basis points
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .57 +1.0 basis point
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change +4.8% unch.
- Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,320.5B +.7%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 237,500 n/a
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.3% n/a
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 54.2 +.4%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.34% -5.0 basis points
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 316,200 -.3%
- Weekly Retail Sales +5.4% -50.0 basis points
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY +7.0% -3.0 percentage points
- Box Office Weekly Gross $98.4M -4.0%
- Nationwide Gas $3.07/gallon +.02/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 2,057.0 -.6%
- Drewry World Container Freight Index $1,746.1/40 ft Box +3.5%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 992.7 +2.0%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 52.5 -4.6%
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 68.2 -4.6%
- Rail Freight Carloads 273,610 -.1%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,780,271 +22.6%
- Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Approval Tacking Poll 47.0% -2.0 percentage points
Best Performing Style
- Small-Cap Value +2.8%
Worst Performing Style
- Large-Cap Cap +1.9%
Leading Sectors
- Oil Service +11.5%
- Computer Services +8.1%
- Computer Hardware +7.2%
- Steel +5.3%
- Electric Vehicles +4.6%
Lagging Sectors
- Foods -1.2%
- Electrification -1.3%
- Nuclear -2.3%
- Coal -4.4%
- Gold & Silver -6.7%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (64)
- NEGG, GRND, WYFI, FLNC, FDMT, FIX, CIFR, UMAC, QS, F, EOSE, MNTN, OPRX, LEU, HTBK, ENVA, GRAL, SNDK, ALB, CRCL, LTBR, COIN, AAL, PATH, WW, PATH, EME, CUBI, IBM, AIRS, LITE, AMD, COHR, NOVT, NRIX, IIIV, CEG, ASPI, KOD, SSNC, ASGN, SLM, SAM, DAL, CRS, GS, FLG, THC, VLY, PZZA, UBSI, CRL, GM, FHB, DAKT, SHLS, SKYT, ADTN, PFSI, ARR, ADTN, NUVL, OSBC and AMKR
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (21)
- EAF, INSP, MBLY, HONE, NEM, EBC, ITW, GSK, DKNG, ZLAB, BYD, OWLS, MHK, ALK, KNSL, GNTX, SAIC, FORD, VRSN, BAH, MXL and DECK
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change
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