 |
| S&P 500 6,848.6 +.8% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- DJIA 47,600.2 +.8%
- NASDAQ 23,758.8 +2.2%
- Russell 2000 2,471.6 -1.6%
- NYSE FANG+ 16,910.0 +2.7%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 272.0 -2.9%
- Wilshire 5000 67,628.4 +.5%
- Russell 1000 Growth 4,887.9 +1.9%
- Russell 1000 Value 2,009.9 -.9%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 848.2 -3.7%
- Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index(Ex Telecom) 259.2 +3.8%
- NYSE Technology 7,663.8 +1.6%
- Transports 15,892.1 +2.7%
- Utilities 1,113.3 -3.0%
- MSCI Europe Banks 100.6 +3.4%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 55.16 +.01%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 245.24 +.08%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 126.82 +.02%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 584,024 -.2%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 14.9 -18.8%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -46 -507
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -12.4 n/a
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 102,958 n/a
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,936,690 n/a
- Total Put/Call .80 -3.7%
- OEX Put/Call 1.53 -4.3%
- ISE Sentiment 138.0 -4.1%
- NYSE Arms .75 -31.8%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 85.1 +1.3%
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .66 +16.0 basis points
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index 1.24 +14.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 17.6 +11.6%
- S&P 500 Intraday % Swing .85 +64.6%
- CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 16.5 +25.2%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 6.99 -2.3%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 6.4 -1.2%
- Smart Money Flow Index 23,414.3 +1.1%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 100.8 +10.4
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $7.418 Trillion +.3%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$1.058 Million
- AAII % Bulls 45.0 +19.2%
- AAII % Bears 36.9 -13.6%
- CNN Fear & Greed Index 36.0 (FEAR) +3.0
Futures Spot Prices
- CRB Index 300.8 -1.4%
- Crude Oil 61.0/bbl. -.8%
- Reformulated Gasoline 199.3 +4.1%
- Natural Gas 4.11 +23.1%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 31.1 euros/megawatt-hour -2.4%
- Heating Oil 243.1 +1.1%
- Newcastle Coal 108.9 (1,000/metric ton) +.19%
- Gold 4,003.3 -2.8%
- Silver 48.7 +.1%
- S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 507.4 -.2%
- Copper 509.7 -.6%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 349.0 USD/Metric Tonne -.6%
- China Iron Ore Spot 106.3 USD/Metric Tonne +1.0
% China Battery Grade Lithium Carbonate 10,925.0 USD/metric tonne +6.6%
- CME Lumber 537.5 -7.9%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,350.5 +.9%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 327.5 USD/Short Ton unch.
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q2 Forecast +3.9% unch.
- US Recession Within 6 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 34.0 -4.4 percentage points
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.0 -.65%
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 270.2 -36.6%
- Bloomberg Global Trade Policy Uncertainty Index 2.7 -5.8%
- DOGE Total Taxpayer Dollars Saved $214.0 Billion($1,329.19 Savings Per Taxpayer) unch.
- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(317 of 500 reporting) +10.3% -4.8 percentage points
- S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 298.62 +1.59: Growth Rate +14.0% +.6 percentage point, P/E 22.9 +.2
- S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 13.55% -3.0 basis points
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(7 of 10 reporting) +10.0% +2.4 percentage points
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 487.35 +7.03: Growth Rate +19.9% +1.0 percentage point, P/E 34.6 +.8
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 13.8 +2.8 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 24.9 +17.8 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 26.7 +13.5 points
- Fed Fund Futures imply 63.0%(-28.7 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis point cut to 3.5-3.75%, 37.0%(+33.4 percentage points) chance of no change, 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 4.0-4.25% on 12/10/25
- US Dollar Index 99.8 +.9%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,841.8 +.1%
- Bitcoin/USD 108,949.5 -3.6%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 201.08 +.02%
- Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.85 -1.1%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) 49.0 -2.25 basis points
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.09% +10.0 basis points
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $6.539 Trillion -.05%
- Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $6.943 Billion +2.3%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 39.6 -1.0%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 192.4 -4.5%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 75.0 -4.0 basis points
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 20.1 -6.1%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 39.6 -9.3%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 139.1 -1.6%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 71.8 -1.6%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 21.5 -12.6%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.46 -.6%
- China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 125.04 -.34%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +3.8% unch.
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +2.6% unch.
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +3.1% unch.
- CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +3.3% unch.
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +2.85% unch.: CPI YoY +2.96% -1.0 basis point
- 1-Year TIPS Spread 2.75 -21.0 basis points
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.31 +2.0 basis points
- Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread -17.5 basis points +18.25 basis points
- 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -21.25 +1.75 basis points
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -2.75 +.75 basis point
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 52.7 +2.4%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 189.0 -4.9%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 210.0 -27.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 58.7 -1.1%
- Deutsche Bank Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 124.0 -3.4%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 135.6 -6.3%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 120.0 -3.0 basis points
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 603.0 -3.0 basis points
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .60 +3.0 basis points
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change +4.5% -30.0 basis points
- Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,328.5B +.6%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 237,500 n/a
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.3% n/a
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 54.4 +.3%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.27% -7.0 basis points
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 338,700 +7.1%
- Weekly Retail Sales +5.4% unch.
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY +16.0% +9.0 percentage points
- Box Office Weekly Gross $92.3M -6.0%
- Nationwide Gas $3.04/gallon -.03/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 1,983.0 -.4%
- Drewry World Container Freight Index $1,821.5/40 ft Box +4.3%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,021.4 +2.9%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 70.0 +33.3%
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 62.4 -8.5%
- Rail Freight Carloads 272,940 -.2%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,531,985 +19.1%
- Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Approval Tacking Poll 45.0% -2.0 percentage points
Best Performing Style
- Large-Cap Growth +1.5%
Worst Performing Style
- Small-Cap Value -3.1%
Leading Sectors
- AI/Innovation +3.8%
- Computer Hardware +3.7%
- Nuclear +3.7%
- Shipping +3.6%
- Semis +3.3%
Lagging Sectors
- Digital Health -4.3%
- Gambling -4.6%
- Retail -4.9%
- Healthcare Providers -5.7%
- Restaurants -5.7%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (84)
- BHF, ILMN, BJRI, TWLO, SPXC, TVTX, ATEC, BFAM, MEOH, SUPV, FSLR, DGNX, DQ, CEPU, TSSI, ALAB, NET, AMPX, AMZN, ACA, LPLA, CSIQ, CRDO, LPLA, GGAL, EDN, GSAT, WIX, SNCY, AMRX, SXT, BBAR, JKS, DXC, NVT, APPF, RYAN, LCII, ROKU, TTMI, SKYW, MMSI, MCS, TEO, CHD, DXYZ, ASX, PAM, CRESY, IRDM, LOMA, RBC, BMA, OMF, EXPO, YPF, DOCN, WDC, MNMD, INGM, OHI, MGA, XPO, MRVL, EYPT, FBIN, GDDY, TGTX, JOE, EVER, CBOE, VIST, MAX, HUBG, CRTO, TER, KEYS, CVX, WHD, AON, SYM, NFLX and VIAV
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (35)
- TEX, SYK, FND, WING, CUBE, WPP, CMG, MSGS, ALHC, PK, SIMO, COLM, SEM, VIV, CG, EXLS, MSI, AJG, MTZ, RGA, ITRI, NPKI, PSMT, ATR, HLI, AAUC, IDCC, ALKT, MPWR, CPS, DXCM, TBBK, SPSC, OSPN and ATGE
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change
No comments:
Post a Comment