Friday, April 12, 2019

Weekly Scoreboard*

S&P 500 2,903.14 +.28%
 
























The Weekly Wrap by Briefing.com.
 
Indices
  • DJIA 26,374.61 -.36%
  • NASDAQ 7,974.07 +.31%
  • Russell 2000 1,582.41 -.01%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 43.91 +1.12%
  • Goldman 50 Most Shorted 163.70 -.83%
  • Wilshire 5000 29,938.66 +.24%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 1,563.65 +.37%
  • Russell 1000 Value 1,243.03 +.27%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 578.99 +.82%
  • MSCI Cyclicals-Defensives Spread 1,078.31 +.82%
  • NYSE Technology 1,939.09 +.52%
  • Transports 10,906.15 +1.02%
  • Utilities 782.20 -.29%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 81.13 +2.54%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 44.24 +.81%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,220.16 -.08%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 966.19 -.07%
Sentiment/Internals
  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 351,930 +.65%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 149 +61
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 73.68 +34.35%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 481,361 +7.30%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,975,009 +.33%
  • Total Put/Call .74 -8.75%
  • OEX Put/Call .76 -93.42%
  • ISE Sentiment 117.0 +42.25%
  • NYSE Arms 1.06 -3.37%
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.20 -2.18%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 34.75 +1.12%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 5.60 -11.31%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.22 -2.17%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 14,134.93 +.02%
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $3.098 Trillion +.29%
  • ICI Domestic Equity Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$7.465 Billion
  • AAII % Bulls 40.3 +15.1%
  • AAII % Bears 20.4 -27.9%
Futures Spot Prices
  • CRB Index 188.36 +.34%
  • Crude Oil 63.86 +1.64%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 203.34 +3.56%
  • Natural Gas 2.65 -.90%
  • Heating Oil 206.96 +1.39%
  • Gold 1,294.60 -.06%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 188.63 +.01%
  • Copper 294.0 +1.59%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 310.0 USD/Metric Tonne -1.59%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 93.50 USD/Metric Tonne +.29%
  • Lumber 348.0 -2.64%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 898.52 -.46%
Economy
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast +2.27% +20.0 basis points
  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate .2% +90.0 basis points
  • Bloomberg US Recession Probability Next 12 Months 25.0% unch.
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index .0495 +8.1%
  • US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 55.3 -51.9%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 172.39 +.05%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -58.40 -5.3 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -45.90 +13.2 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -4.80 +6.5 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 99.5% chance of no change, .5% chance of 25 basis point cut on 5/1
  • US Dollar Index 96.95 -.5%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,651.61 +.24%
  • Bitcoin/USD 5,065.33 +1.33%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 131.49 +1.03%
  • Yield Curve 16.50 +.5 basis point
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.56% +6.0 basis points
  • Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $3.898 Trillion +.04%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 13.95 -6.59%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 178.58 -.02%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 248.5 +1.25 basis points
  • China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 42.39 -.09%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 71.07 +14.28%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 64.28 -1.28%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 31.91 -4.02%
  • Russia Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 133.53 -1.63%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 160.72 -.17%
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.96% +5.0 basis points
  • TED Spread 20.0 +1.75 basis points
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 10.25 -.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -13.75 +1.0 basis point
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 56.98 -4.93%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 506.0 -3.42%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 68.12 -9.5%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 177.62 +3.88%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread to Swaps 180.0 unch.
  • M1 Money Supply $3.709 Trillion -.08%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,071.50 -1.3%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 207,000 -6,500
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 4.12% +4.0 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 475.60 -5.56%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort 59.80 +.9 point
  • Weekly Retail Sales +4.7% unch.
  • Nationwide Gas $2.81/gallon +.08/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 728.0 +2.39%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 799.79 +.33%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 20.0 unch.
  • Rail Freight Carloads 258,775 -3.46%
Best Performing Style
  • Mid-Cap Growth +.8%
Worst Performing Style
  • Small-Cap Growth -.1%
Leading Sectors
  • Shipping +3.1%
  • Networking +2.5%
  • Homebuilding +2.0%
  • Computer Hardware +1.9%
  • Software +1.3%
Lagging Sectors
  • Drugs -1.4% 
  • Steel -1.8%
  • Papers -2.0%
  • Biotech -2.9%
  • Healthcare Providers -5.8%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (17)
  • APC, PE, PXD, DIS, NBL, WES, DVN, FANG, WPX, XEC, GH, ALEC, JPM, CONE, PHAS, SMAR and PNC
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (8)
  • MMLP, UNH, NFLX, GRUB, ANTM, FGEN, HIIQ and ICPT
Weekly Charts
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change

Stocks Surging into Final Hour on Earnings Optimism, Diminishing Global Growth Fears, Technical Buying, Financial/Transport Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.2 -6.2%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 131.47 +.69%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.22 +1.48%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 34.7 -3.5%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 115.0 +15.0%
  • Total Put/Call .74 -26.0%
  • NYSE Arms 1.09 -23.8%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 56.74 -3.7%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 507.0 -.88%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 67.55 -4.08%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 248.5 +10.75 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 65.31 -1.81%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 177.70 -1.03%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 160.71 -.22%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 10.25 +1.25 basis points
  • TED Spread 20.0 +2.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -13.75 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 67.57 +.11%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 2.42% unch.
  • Yield Curve 16.50 +1.5 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 93.50 USD/Metric Tonne +2.2%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -58.40 -1.3 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -45.90 +1.4 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -4.80 -.3 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.96 +2.0 basis points
  • 10.9% chance of Fed rate cut at June 19th meeting, 12.3% chance of cut at July 31st meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +210 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +260 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +25 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/retail/industrial sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

Bear Radar

Style Underperformer:
  • Small-Cap Growth +.3%
Sector Underperformers:
  • 1) Healthcare Providers -2.0% 2) Biotech -.5% 3) Drugs -.5%
Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume: 
  • CVX, ANTM, PBR, ATI, LOGM, GRUB, UNH, NFLX, NOV, CNC, CNDT and ICPT
Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
  • 1) IEF 2) IGV 3) AET 4) GRUB 5) OXY
Stocks With Most Negative News Mentions:
  • 1) ATI 2) NOV 3) GRUB 4) SYKE 5) CHK
Charts:

Bull Radar

Style Outperformer:
  • Large-Cap Value +.7%
Sector Outperformers:
  • 1) Banks +1.8% 2) Energy +1.5% 3) Semis +1.3%
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
  • APC, GDS, RBZ, DIS, BHVN, NSSC, SMAR, WES, FTCH, ADNT, BPT, PXD, WPX, PE, CHKP, HLNE, GLPG, FANG, CXO, INSW, TIGR, IGV, COMM, MRVL, SSL, NBL, GH, JPM, CONE, SMAR and PHAS
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
  • 1) OXY 2) FOXA 3) ANTM 4) PXD 5) VFC
Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions:
  • 1) JMIA 2) QD 3) ADNT 4) JPM 5) BBBY
Charts: