Weekly Scoreboard*

S&P 500 5,584.0 -1.4%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.

Indices

• DJIA 41,569.0 -.9%

• NASDAQ 17,318.0 -2.6%

• Russell 2000 2,022.1 -1.7%

• NYSE FANG+ 11,560.5 -4.0%

• Goldman 50 Most Shorted 166.2 -4.0%

• Wilshire 5000 55,112.1 -1.6%

• Russell 1000 Growth 3,631.0 -2.5%

• Russell 1000 Value 1,837.6 -.4%

• S&P 500 Consumer Staples 879.3 +1.7%

• Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index(Ex Telecom) 233.7 -1.0%
  

• NYSE Technology 5,080.9 -3.9%

• Transports 14,613.8 unch.

• Utilities 1,013.3 +.4%

• Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 138.57 -1.1%
  

• MSCI Emerging Markets 43.74 -1.9%

• Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 218.9 -.6%

• Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 119.6 +.1%

Sentiment/Internals

• NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 535,653 -.3%
• Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 12.5 +89.4%

• Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -193 -177

• Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -20.6 -3.0%

• CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 166,823 +1.6%

• CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,768,386 -1.4%

• Total Put/Call 1.05 +23.8%

• OEX Put/Call .75 +12.5%

• ISE Sentiment 107.0 -18.0 points
  

• NYSE Arms 1.52 +68.0%
  
• Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 70.9 -5.0%
• Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .31 +3.0 basis points
• Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index 1.42 -1.0 basis point
  

• Volatility(VIX) 22.1 +13.3%
• S&P 500 Intraday % Swing 1.74 +44.2%

• CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 26.2 +11.6%

• G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 8.19 -.5%
  

• Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.49 +1.3%

• Smart Money Flow Index 20,656.9 +2.2%
• NAAIM Exposure Index  57.6 -7.0

• ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $7.014 Trillion +.17%

• ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$7.023 Million

• AAII % Bulls 27.4 +26.9%

• AAII % Bears 52.2 -10.2%
• CNN Fear & Greed Index 23.0 (EXTREME FEAR) +1.0

Futures Spot Prices

• CRB Index 307.1 -.12%

• Crude Oil 69.4/bbl. +1.4%

• Reformulated Gasoline 223.6 +1.8%

• Natural Gas 4.05 +1.6%
• Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 40.6 euros/megawatt-hour -5.3%
  

• Heating Oil 226.6 +.4% 
• Newcastle Coal 103.4 (1,000/metric ton) +2.3%
  

• Gold 3,081.1 +2.1%
• Silver 34.03 +3.1%
  

• S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 465.2 -.9%

• Copper 513.5 +.7%

• US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 376.0 USD/Metric Tonne +.3%

• China Iron Ore Spot 102.3 USD/Metric Tonne +.8%
• China Battery Grade Lithium Carbonate 10,375.0 USD/metric tonne unch.

• CME Lumber  679.5 +.6%

• UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,451.3 -1.0%
• US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 315.0 USD/Short Ton +.8%

Economy

• Atlanta Fed GDPNow 2Q Forecast -2.8% -100.0 basis points

• US Recession Within 6 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 35.9% -.9 percentage point

• NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.07 -10.8%

• US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 484.0 -35.8%
• DOGE Total Taxpayer Dollars Saved $130.0 Billion($849.67 Savings Per Taxpayer) +$15.0 Billion
• S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(16 of 500 reporting) +8.4% unch.

• S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 278.10 +.52:  Growth Rate +13.0% +.3 percentage point, P/E 20.5 +.1
• S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 13.56% unch.
• NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(0 of 10 reporting) n/a
• NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 417.78 +5.47: Growth Rate +20.8% +1.6 percentage points, P/E 28.6 -.5
  

• Citi US Economic Surprise Index -3.1 +2.0 points

• Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 19.1 -3.9 points

• Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 6.6 +.9 point

• Fed Fund Futures imply 13.7%(-.6 percentage point) chance of -25.0 basis point cut to 4.0-4.25%, 86.3%(+.6 percentage point) chance of no change, 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 4.5-4.75% on 5/7

• US Dollar Index 104.1 -.1%

• MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,757.2 -.07%
  

• Bitcoin/USD 83,672.0 -1.7%

• Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 181.8 +.6%
  

• Yield Curve(2s/10s) 34.25 +4.25 basis points
  

• 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.25% unch.

• Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $6.694 Trillion -.23%
  
• Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $2.533 Billion +.6%

• U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 40.0 -1.5%
  

• Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 276.4 +.7%
  

• Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 112.0 +1.0 basis point
• UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 20.1 -.3%

• China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 50.4 -1.5%
  

• Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 186.8 -2.0%
  

• Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 89.4 +3.4%

• South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 37.1 +3.5%

• China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.11 -1.0%
• China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 120.1 +.01%
  

• Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +4.0% unch.
• Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +3.4% unch.
• US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +2.6% unch.
• CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +3.9% unch.
• Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +2.68% +8.0 basis points: CPI YoY +2.47% +1.0 basis point
  
• 1-Year TIPS Spread 3.16% -68.0 basis points

• Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread -4.75 basis points -4.0 basis points
  
• 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -17.0 -1.0 basis point

• 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap .25 +.25 basis point

• N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 61.3 +2.6%
  

• America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 206.0 -1.8% 
• Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 211.0 unch.
  

• European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 68.0 +4.0%
• Deutsche Bank Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 153.4 +4.4%

• Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 183.9 -.4%
  

• MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 141.0 +5.0 basis points
• Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 600.0 -3.0 basis points
• Avg. Auto ABS OAS .59 +1.0 basis point

• M2 Money Supply YoY % Change +3.9% unch.

• Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,391.9B +.5%

• 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 224,000 -2.1%
  

• Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
  
• Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 53.3 -1.2%
  

• Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.75% +2.0 basis points

• Weekly Mortgage Applications 247,500 -2.0%

• Weekly Retail Sales +5.5% unch.
• OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY +1.0% -10.0 percentage points
• Box Office Weekly Gross $79.5M unch.

• Nationwide Gas $3.16/gallon +.03/gallon

• Baltic Dry Index 1,621.0 -1.3%
• Drewry World Container Freight Index $2,263.9/40 ft Box -4.4%
  

• China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,111.7 -3.1%

• Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 30.0 -7.7%
  
• Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 78.0 +4.0%

• Rail Freight Carloads 271,310 -2.2%
• TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,702,597 +8.1%
  

Best Performing Style

• Large-Cap Value -.3%
  

Worst Performing Style

• Large-Cap Growth -2.4%

Leading Sectors

• Education +2.9%

• Foods +2.7%
• Gold & Silver +1.8%
  

• Insurance +1.8%
  

• Healthcare Providers +1.0%
  

Lagging Sectors

• AI/Robotics -4.8%
  

• Computer Hardware -5.4%
  

• Gambling -5.9%

• Semis -6.2%
  

• Alt Energy -6.7%
  

Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (8)

• AGX, HMY, WRB, SLNO, BASE, GFI, BRZE and ZLAB

Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (15)

• WBD, UTI, VRNT, HROW, BROS, EVER, BLCO, MAG, OPRA, HOOD, EH, HSAI, NBIS, AIR and LULU

ETFs

• High-Volume Gainers

• High-Volume Losers

Stocks

• High-Volume Gainers

• High-Volume Losers

*5-Day Change