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| S&P 500 6,388.6 +1.5% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- DJIA 44,901.9 +1.3%
- NASDAQ 21,108.3 +1.0%
- Russell 2000 2,261.1 +.9%
- NYSE FANG+ 15,109.2 +1.0%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 228.6 +2.2%
- Wilshire 5000 63,196.3 +1.4%
- Russell 1000 Growth 4,426.6 +1.3%
- Russell 1000 Value 1,958.6 +1.6%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 889.3 unch.
- Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index(Ex Telecom) 251.6 +.7%
- NYSE Technology 6,320.6 -.2%
- Transports 16,364.8 +3.2%
- Utilities 1,082.5 +.8%
- Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 145.8 +.14%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 49.53 +.9%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 231.2 +2.4%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 125.9 +.4%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 568,524 +.7%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 10.9 +58.0%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 1,123 +207
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -18.0 +21.8%
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 162,427 -22.4%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,069,099 +3.9%
- Total Put/Call .86 +16.2%
- OEX Put/Call .93 -26.6%
- ISE Sentiment 144.0 -2.0
- NYSE Arms 1.06 +15.2%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 82.5 +5.9%
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .62 +5.0 basis points
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index 1.63 +32.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 14.9 -9.0%
- S&P 500 Intraday % Swing .25 -48.1%
- CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 16.9 -9.0%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 8.3 -2.9%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 7.4 -3.3%
- Smart Money Flow Index 23,294.7 +1.4%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 81.1 -13.0
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $7.075 Trillion +.13%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$298.006 Million
- AAII % Bulls 36.8 -6.4%
- AAII % Bears 34.0 -12.8%
- CNN Fear & Greed Index 74.0 (GREED from EXTREME GREED) -1.0
Futures Spot Prices
- CRB Index 302.25 +.1%
- Crude Oil 65.2/bbl. -3.2%
- Reformulated Gasoline 209.7 -2.4%
- Natural Gas 3.11 -12.8%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 32.5 euros/megawatt-hour -3.6%
- Heating Oil 240.3 -1.9%
- Newcastle Coal 113.1 (1,000/metric ton) +1.9%
- Gold 3,339.3 -.33%
- Silver 38.25 +.2%
- S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 469.3 +.9%
- Copper 579.5 +3.8%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 345.0 USD/Metric Tonne -.6%
- China Iron Ore Spot 101.9 USD/Metric Tonne -1.4
% China Battery Grade Lithium Carbonate 9,150.0 USD/metric tonne +5.5%
- CME Lumber 671.5 +.52%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,381.64 -1.2%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 335.0 USD/Short Ton -.7%
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q2 Forecast +2.4% unch.
- US Recession Within 6 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 41.2 -1.6 percentage points
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.22 -5.1%
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 296.6 -26.7%
- Bloomberg Global Trade Policy Uncertainty Index 6.8 -12.6%
- DOGE Total Taxpayer Dollars Saved $190.0 Billion($1,180.12 Savings Per Taxpayer) unch.
- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(167 of 500 reporting) +.6% n/a
- S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 283.31 +n/a: Growth Rate +10.9% +n/a percentage point, P/E 22.5 +n/a
- S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 13.44% +2.0 basis points
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(3 of 10 reporting) +22.4% +n/a
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 454.56 +n/a: Growth Rate +20.5% +n/a percentage points, P/E 33.3 +n/a
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 3.5 -9.1 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 32.3 -2.1 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 15.2 -5.6 points
- Fed Fund Futures imply 2.6%(-3.6 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis point cut to 4.0-4.25%, 97.4%(+3.6 percentage points) chance of no change, 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 4.5-4.75% on 7/30
- US Dollar Index 97.67 -.78%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,850.3 +.34%
- Bitcoin/USD 116,723.5 -1.4%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 195.24 +.19%
- Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 9.01 -.63%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) 47.0 -7.25 basis points
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.39% -3.0 basis points
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $6.610 Trillion -.03%
- Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $5.176 Billion -13.3%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 39.0 +1.6%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 212.5 -2.0%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 84.0 -2.0 basis points
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 16.6 -.24%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 40.9 -6.8%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 148.3 +.5%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 74.97 -1.1%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 22.75 -3.5%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.24 +.81%
- China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 121.3 -.05%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +3.9% unch.
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +2.9% -20.0 basis points
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +3.0% +10.0 basis points
- CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +3.3% +20.0 basis points
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +2.66% -2.0 basis points: CPI YoY +2.73% +9.0 basis points
- 1-Year TIPS Spread 2.62 -22.0 basis points
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.42 unch.
- Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread 5.75 basis points +2.0 basis points
- 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -25.25 -1.0 basis point
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap 1.75 +.25 basis point
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 49.9 -2.0%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 198.0 -4.4%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 199.0 +13.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 56.1 -2.3%
- Deutsche Bank Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 122.7 -2.8%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 152.0 -1.7%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 148.0 -1.0 basis point
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 589.0 unch.
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .54 +1.0 basis point
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change +4.5% unch.
- Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,394.8B -.7%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 224,500 -2.2%
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.3% unch.
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 54.9 +11.1%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.79% +6.0 basis points
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 255,500 +.8%
- Weekly Retail Sales +5.2% unch.
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY +12.0% +5.0 percentage points
- Box Office Weekly Gross $300.1M +25.6%
- Nationwide Gas $3.16/gallon +.01/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 2,258.0 +10.0%
- Drewry World Container Freight Index $2,517.3/40 ft Box -3.3%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,261.4 -3.2%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 30.0 -7.7%
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 64.3 -10.5%
- Rail Freight Carloads 277,143 +1.8%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,968,619 +14.1%
- Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Approval Tacking Poll 48.0% -1.0 percentage point
Best Performing Style
- Large-Cap Value +1.6%
Worst Performing Style
- Small-Cap Growth +.5%
Leading Sectors
- Oil Service +6.8%
- Gold & Silver +4.2%
- Electric Vehicles +4.1%
- Pharma +4.0%
- Biotech +3.7%
Lagging Sectors
- Semis -1.5%
- Restaurants -1.5%
- Education -1.6%
- Regional Banks -2.1%
- Computer Services -6.4%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (66)
- COUR, FIX, SCHL, MBX, GNTX, DECK, NEGG, RNA, MTX, TNXP, ASPI, PD, ENSG, KN, EME, SEZL, VCYT, TSSI, WW, GEO, NEM, NNE, VRSN, SAIA, PPBI, COLB, AAON, STRL, SAM, LB, COKE, CNC, PRO, SAH, TNET, YETI, STLA, LYB, AON, MOD, OKTA, GTX, VRT, TFII, EW, POR, NWG, USM, PTHL, LSPD, NWG, CADE, USM, OVV, LW, THRM, SXT, AEO, LQDA, BYD, VRNS, ELV, LBRT, SLM, LQDA, WY, RNR and CDNS
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (19)
- SKE, SDM, TECK, BMNR, MBLY, SBET, DOC, FLG, LAND, IMVT, LEA, PRCT, TBBK, XYF, INTC, ASTS, PNFP, SNV, CHTR and LBRDK
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change
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