Thursday, July 24, 2025

Friday Watch

Night Trading 

  • Asian equity indices are -.5% to +.25% on average. 
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 68.75 unch.
  • China Sovereign CDS 41.0 +.25 basis point.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 103.6 USD/Metric Tonne -1.5%. 
  • Polymarket:  Which Countries Will the US Agree to Tariff Agreements with Before August?
  • EU 59.0% +2.0 percentage points
  • India 25.0% +4.0 percentage points.
  • South Korea  49.0% -12.0 percentage points.
  • Mexico 32.0% +11.0 percentage points. 
  • Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.99 -.04%.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 36.8 +.14%.
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 80.9 -1.2%.
  • US 10-Year Yield 4.39% -1.0 basis point.
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 18.0 -.7%.
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures unch. 
  • S&P 500 futures +.20%. 
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.16%.
Morning Preview Links

BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly lower, weighed down by metals & mining and consumer shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher.  The Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the day.

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