Thursday, July 31, 2025

Friday Watch

Night Trading 

  • Asian equity indices are -1.5% to -.5% on average. 
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 68.75 +.25 basis point.
  • China Sovereign CDS 41.25 +.25 basis point.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 100.5 USD/Metric Tonne +.7%. 
  • Polymarket:  Which Countries Will the US Agree to Tariff Agreements with Before August?
  • China 3.0% -17 .0 percentage points
  • Canada 1.0% -12.0 percentage points.
  • Mexico 90.0% +52.0 percentage points. 
  • Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.86 -1.8%.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 36.3 -.04%.
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 77.4 -2.1%.
  • US 10-Year Yield 4.37% unch.
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 18.2 +1.4%.
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures -.3%. 
  • S&P 500 futures -.23%. 
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.33%.
Morning Preview Links

BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are modestly lower, weighed down by real estate and technology shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly lower and to rally into the afternoon, finishing mixed.  The Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the day.

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