Portfolio Manager's Commentary on Investing and Trading in the U.S. Financial Markets
Thursday, February 05, 2009
Links of Interest
Market Performance Summary
Style Performance
Sector Performance
WSJ Data Center
Top 20 Biz Stories
IBD Breaking News
Movers & Shakers
Upgrades/Downgrades
In Play
NYSE Unusual Volume
NASDAQ Unusual Volume
Hot Spots
Option Dragon
NASDAQ 100 Heatmap
Chart Toppers
Real-Time Intraday Quote/Chart
HFR Global Hedge Fund Indices
Wednesday, February 04, 2009
Thursday Watch
Late-Night Headlines
Bloomberg:
Wall Street Journal:
IBD:
MSNBC.com:
Rasmussen:
Reuters:
MoneyToday:
- The Bank of Korea cut its forecast for
Late Buy/Sell Recommendations
Citigroup:
- Upgraded (AKAM) to Buy, target $22.
Night Trading
Asian Indices are unch. to +1.50% on average.
S&P 500 futures -.30%.
NASDAQ 100 futures -1.75%.
Morning Preview
US AM Market Call
NASDAQ 100 Pre-Market Indicator/Heat Map
Pre-market Commentary
Pre-market Stock Quote/Chart
Before the Bell CNBC Video(bottom right)
Global Commentary
WSJ Intl Markets Performance
Commodity Movers
Top 25 Stories
Top 20 Business Stories
Today in IBD
In Play
Bond Ticker
Economic Preview/Calendar
Daily Stock Events
Upgrades/Downgrades
Rasmussen Business/Economy Polling
Earnings of Note
Company/EPS Estimate
- (RX)/.50
- (NCR)/.55
- (BG)/-.89
- (DO)/2.35
- (CAH)/.89
- (EL)/.77
- (MA)/1.62
- (BKC)/.37
- (CI)/.42
- (DUK)/.25
- (K)/.50
- (NWSA)/.19
- (VRSN)/.28
- (RATE)/.34
- (HIG)/1.28
- (PBI)/.74
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
- 4Q Non-farm Productivity is estimated to rise 1.5% versus a 1.3% increase in 3Q.
- 4Q Unit Labor Costs are estimated to rise 2.8% versus a 2.8% increase in 3Q.
- Initial Jobless Claims for last week are estimated to fall to 580K versus 588K the prior week.
- Continuing Claims are expected to rise to 44795K versus 4776k prior.
10:00 am EST
- Factory Orders for December are estimated to fall 3.1% versus a 4.6% decline in November.
Upcoming Splits
- None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
- The weekly EIA natural gas inventory report, ICSC chain store sales data, Cowen and Company Aerospace/Defense Conference, CSFB Energy Summit, CSFB Financial Services Conference, the Fed’s Plosser speaking, Fed’s Bullard speaking, Fed’s Stern speaking, (KMT) financial community meeting, (COV) at Dow Jones Global Ethics Summit, (TEG) World Money Show and (STT) analyst meeting could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by mining and shipping stocks in the region. I expect
Stocks Finish Near Session Lows, Weighed Down by Food, Education, Telecom, HMO, Retail and Airline Shares
Market Summary
Top 20 Biz Stories
Today’s Movers
Market Performance Summary
WSJ Data Center
Sector Performance
ETF Performance
Style Performance
Commodity Movers
Market Wrap CNBC Video(bottom right)
S&P 500 Gallery View
Timely Economic Charts
GuruFocus.com
PM Market Call
After-hours Commentary
After-hours Movers
After-hours Real-Time Stock Bid/Ask
After-hours Stock Quote
After-hours Stock Chart
In Play
Stocks Lower into Final Hour on Political Concerns, Financial Sector Worries
Today's Headlines
Bloomberg:
- A “bubble” in crude oil, natural gas and other commodity prices cost the US more than $110 billion last year and helped drive the nation into economic crisis, according to a report by hedge fund president Michael Masters. “The effect was to take an already weak and frail economy and push it down the stairs,” Masters, head of Masters Capital Management, and Adam White, director of research for White Knight Research & Trading, say in a report at a hearing this morning of the House Agriculture Committee, which is reviewing derivatives legislation proposed by its chairman, Democratic Representative Collin Peterson of Minnesota. If there were rules in place to limit speculative positions in the commodity markets, “there never would have been a commodities bubble in 2008,” Masters and White conclude.
- SPDR Gold Trust, the largest exchange-traded fund backed by bullion, increased its outstanding shares by 39% since Lehman Brothers collapsed, more than double the gain in gold, as investors sought a quick way to safety. “History shows at times of pronounced financial and economic stress, investors disregard traditional pointers such as gold’s price relationship with currencies and physical bullion flows and focus on a safe place to park assets,” analysts including Melbourne-based Malcolm Southwood wrote. “This assertion is well supported by the latest surge in interest in gold ETFs.” Though gold remains one of the few notable beneficiaries of heightened anxiety in financial markets, its attraction may not last as the precious metal “has rarely sustained a rally during periods of deflation,” the report said. The Intl. Energy Agency’s forecast that oil could decline to just above $30 per barrel “could be viewed as an early warning for perpetual gold bulls,” the report said.
- Bank of American’s(BAC) Lewis said January performance was ‘encouraging.”
Wall Street Journal:
- Google’s(GOOG) Latitude, Useful Addition to Maps Applications. (video)
Politico:
The Detroit News:
CNNMoney.com:
Interfax:
Bear Radar
Style Underperformer:
Large-cap Value (+.13%)
Sector Underperformers:
Education (-3.19%), Foods (-2.68%) and Retail (-2.06%)
Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume:
DVN, ADM, KFT, DIS, COST, DLTR, BECN, LFUS, WYNN, SQNM, JKHY, UTI and AJG
Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
1) TXT 2) ADS 3) ENR 4) RTN 5) CCI