Monday, May 31, 2021

Tuesday Watch

Today's Headlines
Bloomberg:                
Wall Street Journal:
Fox News:
CNBC:  
Zero Hedge: 
MarketWatch.com:
NewsMax:   
TheGatewayPundit.com:
Night Trading
  • Asian indices are -.25% to +.25% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 86.0 +.25 basis point.
  • China Sovereign CDS 37.0 +.25 basis point.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 61.50 +.01%.
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 3,467.0 -22.0 points.
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 20.9 +.24%. 
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures -.23%.
  • S&P 500 futures -.04%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.03%

Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate

Before the Open:
  • (MIK)/.32
After the Close:
  • (AMBA)/.17
  • (HPE)/.42
  • (ZM)/.98
Economic Releases
10:00 am EST
  • Construction Spending MoM for April is estimated to rise +.5% versus a +.2% gain in March.
  • ISM Manufacturing for May is estimated to rise to 60.9 versus 60.7 in April. 
  • ISM Prices Paid for May is estimated to fall to 89.3 versus 89.6 in April.
10:30 am EST
  • Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity for May is estimated to fall to 36.5 versus 37.3 in April.
Upcoming Splits
  • (NEOG) 2-for-1
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The China Manufacturing PMI report, Eurozone PMI report, RBA minutes, Deutsche Bank Financial Services Conference, Jefferies Healthcare Conference, William Blair Growth Stock Conference, Cowen Tech/Media/Telecom Conference and the KeyBanc Industrials/Basic Materials Conference could also impact trading today.
US Equity Market Hours
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly lower, weighed down by consumer and healthcare shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher.  The Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the week.

Saturday, May 29, 2021

Today's Headlines

Bloomberg:             
Wall Street Journal:
CNBC:
  • Had bullish commentary on (OSK), (XOM), (XPO), (HON), (CAT), (DE), (LRCX), (AMAT) and (ROK).
  • Had bearish commentary on (PLNT).
MarketWatch.com:        
Fox News:
Newsmax:
Zero Hedge:
TheGatewayPundit.com:

Friday, May 28, 2021

Evening Headlines

Bloomberg:         
Wall Street Journal:
CNBC:
IG:
MarketWatch.com:         
Fox News:
Newsmax: 
Zero Hedge:
TheGatewayPundit.com:

Weekly Scoreboard*


S&P 500 4,213.01 +1.39%*


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The Weekly Wrap by Briefing.com. 

Indices
  • DJIA 34,563.18 +1.1%
  • NASDAQ 13,780.40 +2.3%
  • Russell 2000 2,270.93 +2.7%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 76.77 +3.3%
  • Goldman 50 Most Shorted 317.22 +9.7%
  • Wilshire 5000 43,911.58 +1.59%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 2,581.87 +1.99%
  • Russell 1000 Value 1,586.43 +1.0%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 726.60 -.26%
  • MSCI Cyclicals-Defensives Spread 1,401.30 +2.4%
  • NYSE Technology 3,937.54 +3.8%
  • Transports 15,731.50 +1.8%
  • Utilities 897.44 -1.4%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 74.9 +1.4%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 54.88 +3.0%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,414.50 +.55%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 946.45 -.16%
Sentiment/Internals
  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 474,171 +.86%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 592 +323
  • Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -37.4 +4.8%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 475,947 -4.2%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,458,804 +.59%
  • Total Put/Call .67 -21.4%
  • OEX Put/Call 1.88 +6.8%
  • ISE Sentiment 115.0 -17.0 points
  • NYSE Arms .99 +45.9
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 3,559.0 +423.0 points
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.9 -20.2%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 48.5 -11.4%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 6.3 -1.1%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 9.2 +.66%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 14,568.13 -2.67%
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $4.609 Trillion +1.49%
  • ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -3.180 Million
  • AAII % Bulls 36.4 -1.6%
  • AAII % Bears 26.3 +.4%
Futures Spot Prices
  • CRB Index 205.68 +2.8%
  • Crude Oil 66.37 +4.7%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 214.02 +4.1%
  • Natural Gas 2.98 +3.6%
  • Heating Oil 204.5 +3.3%
  • Gold 1,901.71 +1.15%
  • Silver 27.85 +1.2%
  • S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 475.49 +3.8%
  • Copper 466.70 +3.5%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 505.0 USD/Metric Tonne -.39%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 188.5 USD/Metric Tonne -2.5%
  • Lumber 1,323.70 -8.8%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,247.69 +1.4%
  • US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 362.0 USD/Short Ton +4.9%
Economy
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast +9.3% -.8 percentage point
  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate +23.5% -.3 percentage point
  • Bloomberg US Recession Probability Next 12 Months 10.0% unch.
  • NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index +11.4 -.18%
  • US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 16.7 -80.3%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 196.86 +.73%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 4.4 -10.3 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 154.7 +12.6 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 54.0 -2.1 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 89.0% chance of no change, 11.0% chance of rate hike on 6/16
  • US Dollar Index 90.02 -.05%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,749.15 +.70%
  • Bitcoin/USD 36,084.0 +2.9%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 138.39 +.90%
  • Yield Curve 147.0 -1.0 basis point
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 1.59% -3.0 basis points
  • Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $7.864 Trillion -.25%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 9.47 +.11%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 137.97 unch.
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 110.0 -6.0 basis points
  • China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 37.15 -6.9%
  • Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 171.87 -3.95%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 45.10 +.96%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 18.41 -2.7%
  • Russia Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 96.74 +3.9%
  • China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KCCB) 39.40 +.25%
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.45% +1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 12.75 -2.5 basis points
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 8.5 -1.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -1.25 unch.
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 50.72 -3.2%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 317.0 -2.5%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 58.75 -3.8%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 160.07 -2.1%
  • MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 64.0 +.25 basis point
  • Markit CMBX BBB-6 71.75 unch.
  • M2 Money Supply YoY % Change 18.0 unch.
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,189.0 -.8%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 458,750 -9.1%
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 2.6% -10.0 basis points
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 2.95% -5.0 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 693,700 -4.2%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort 53.8 -1.5 points
  • Weekly Retail Sales +13.2% +20.0 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $3.04/gallon unch.
  • Baltic Dry Index 2,688 -6.3%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 2,296.36 +3.6%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 20.0 unch.
  • Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 195.81 -14.0%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 286,547 -1.6%
Best Performing Style
  • Small-Cap Growth +3.1%
Worst Performing Style
  • Large-Cap Value +1.0%
Leading Sectors
  • Gaming +6.3%
  • Homebuilding +5.5%
  • Alt Energy +5.3%
  • Shipping +5.0%
  • Semis +4.5%
Lagging Sectors
  • Papers -.7%
  • Pharma -1.3%
  • Utilities -1.4%
  • Education -2.5%
  • Tobacco -2.9%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (20)
  • WBT, VEEV, BCRX, SVC, OLLI, MOD, BBBY, CRM, BMBL, CRCT, FUV, ULTA, FUV, NVDA, STAA, SNCY, SPCE and BNFT
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (1)
  • CVI
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change