Saturday, May 09, 2026

Today's Headlines

Around X:

  • @Zerohedge 
  • @BarronsOnline
  • Had bullish commentary on (GE) and (MELI).
  • @IGSquawk 
  • @redpillb0t
  • @MJTruthUltra
  • @SternDrewCrypto
  • @bennyjohnson
  • @MattWallace888
  • @GrageDustin
  • @Panchenko_X
  • Corruption in Ukraine. Daughter of the mayor of a ukrainian village bought a villa in Miami for $1,870,000. IN CASH. When journalists asked the mayor, he replied: “I’m glad my kids achieve everything through their own hard work.” Pattern - kids of ukrainian officials always more successful in the US than americans. During the war, the daughter of Ternopil mayor Serhiy Nadal - Anastasia - bought a villa in Miami at Hidden Palms, 7300 SW 77th Ave, for $1,870,000. Her father, a Ukrainian official, has been accused of corruption, shady land-sale schemes, garbage-export rackets, racketeering 50% of businesses, and multiple criminal cases. This is Zelensky’s mafia. They steal money from ordinary Ukrainians and buy luxury real estate all over the world.
  • @JonMFleetwood
  • @ElectionTime_
  • @SenseReceptor
  • @RedactedNews
  • @TaraBull
OpenVAERS:  
SKirsch.com:

Friday, May 08, 2026

Weekly Scoreboard*


S&P 500 7,401.1 +2.3%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.

Indices

  • DJIA 49,564.5 +.2%
  • NASDAQ 26,190.7 +4.3%
  • Russell 2000 2,864.6 +1.8%
  • NYSE FANG+ 17,245.7 +5.0%
  • Goldman 50 Most Shorted 296.9 +2.9%
  • Vaneck Social Sentiment 37.1 +8.2%
  • Wilshire 5000 73,064.1 +2.2%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 4,976.2 +2.9%
  • Russell 1000 Value 2,300.1 +1.3%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 952.5 +.1%
  • Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index(Ex Telecom) 258.13 +1.0%
  • NYSE Technology 8,939.0 +7.2%
  • Transports 20,203.8 -1.8%
  • Utilities 1,117.5 -3.4%
  • MSCI Europe Banks 117.9 +1.3%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 68.1 +6.6%
  • Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 254.6 -.3%
  • Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 132.9 +.3%
Sentiment/Internals
  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 613,891 +.24%
  • Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 14.4 +8.7%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 1,121 -3
  • Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -19.8 +4.0%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 191,911 -.2%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,017,038 +1.6%
  • Total Put/Call .75 +1.3%
  • OEX Put/Call .13 -30.0%
  • ISE Sentiment 146.0 -12.7%
  • NYSE Arms 1.55 +9.2%
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 117.6 +.7%
  • Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index 1.06 +16.0 basis points
  • Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index 1.16 +11.0 basis points
  • Volatility(VIX) 17.5 +3.2%
  • S&P 500 Intraday % Swing .50 -15.6%
  • CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 13.4 -11.9%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 6.75 -4.4%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 7.0 -1.3%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 19,928.7 -1.0%
  • NAAIM Exposure Index  96.7 +2.5
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $7.749 Trillion +1.6%
  • ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$7.803 Million
  • AAII % Bulls 38.3 +.5%
  • AAII % Bears 33.0 -16.9%
  • CNN Fear & Greed Index 67.0 (GREED) unch.
Futures Spot Prices
  • CRB Index 387.72 -1.9%
  • Crude Oil 95.10/bbl. -6.9%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 351.4 -3.1%
  • Natural Gas 2.75 -1.3%
  • US Power PJM Western Hub Peak Forward Y1 76.2 USD/Megawatt -.9% 
  • Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 43.9 euros/megawatt-hour -3.6%
  • Heating Oil 388.4 -2.5% 
  • Newcastle Coal 135.2 (1,000/metric ton) -1.9%
  • Gold 4,725.4 +2.4%
  • Silver 80.6 +7.1%
  • Bloomberg Industrial Metals Index 181.1 +1.9%
  • Copper 630.1 +5.5%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 413.0 USD/Metric Tonne +2.0%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 110.4 USD/Metric Tonne +1.9%
  • China Battery Grade Lithium Carbonate 25,450.0 USD/metric tonne unch.
  • inSpectrum Tech Inc. DRAM Spot DDR4 16Gb 2048Mx8 58.0 -2.4%  
  • CME Lumber 580.5 -.9%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,418.2 +1.1%
  • US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 337.5 USD/Short Ton unch.
  • US Gulf NOLA Urea Granular Spot 602.5 USD/Short Ton -6.1% 
Economy
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q2 Forecast +3.7% +.2 percentage point
  • US Recession Within 6 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 17.3 -.2 percentage point
  • NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.7 -8.8%
  • Caldara Iacoviello Geopolitical Risk Index 178.7 +5.9% 
  • Global Monitor Iran Instability Index 100.0 unch.
  • Strait of Hormuz Oil Tanker Traffic Curtailed 99.0% +4.0 percentage points
  • US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 273.2 -74.4%
  • Bloomberg Global Trade Policy Uncertainty Index 1.0 +.4
  • DOGE Total Taxpayer Dollars Saved $215.0 Billion($1,335.40 Savings Per Taxpayer) unch.
  • S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(443 of 500 reporting) +25.3% -3.1 percentage points
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 352.67 +5.20:  Growth Rate +27.3% +1.9 percentage points, P/E 20.8 unch.
  • S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 15.38% +15.0 basis points
  • NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(8 of 10 reporting) +62.1% +.2 percentage point
  • NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 851.66 +14.71: Growth Rate +115.1% +3.7 percentage points, P/E 19.8 +.4
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 36.7 +16.6 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -58.8 +12.0 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 49.6 +.7 point
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 6.1%(-.6 percentage point) chance of -25.0 basis point cut to 3.25-3.5%, 93.9%(+.6 percentage point) chance of no change, 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 3.75-4.0% on 6/17
  • US Dollar Index 97.88 -.3%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,885.3 +1.0%
  • Bitcoin/USD 80,212.7 +1.6%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 210.4 +.3%
  • Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.75 unch.
  • Yield Curve(2s/10s) 46.75 -2.5 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.36% -2.0 basis points
  • Japan 30-Year Yield 3.74% -1.0 basis point
  • Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $6.662 Trillion +.2%
  • Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $6.439 Billion +6.4%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 39.2 +2.5%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 188.5 -2.5%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 72.0 -10.0 basis points
  • UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 18.8 -4.8%
  • China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 41.8 -5.1%
  • Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 117.7 -6.5%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 63.5 -6.5%
  • Dubai Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 77.6 -6.6%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 25.3 -11.0%
  • China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.23 +.5%
  • China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 113.61 +.6%
  • Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +3.7% unch.
  • Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +1.7% unch.
  • US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +2.7% unch.
  • CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +3.1% unch.
  • Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +3.28% unch.: CPI YoY +3.56% unch.
  • 1-Year TIPS Spread 2.97 -27.0 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.46 -3.0 basis points
  • Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread 9.5 +8.25 basis points
  • 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -16.25 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap .75 +.75 basis point
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 53.0 -2.0% 
  • BofA Private Credit Proxy Index 75.9 -3.0%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 154.0 +47.9%
  • High-Yield Tech Sector OAS Index 469.0 -4.2% 
  • Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 227.0 +9.0
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 59.3 -3.1%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 155.2 -2.3%
  • MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 112.0 -2.0 basis points
  • Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 579.0 -1.0 basis point
  • Avg. Auto ABS OAS .51 unch.
  • M2 Money Supply YoY % Change +4.6% unch.
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,430.3B +.5%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 203,250 -2.2%
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
  • Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 55.0 -.2%
  • Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.42% +7.0 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 285,300 -4.4%
  • Weekly Retail Sales +7.3% +20.0 basis points
  • OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY +9.0% -5.0 percentage points
  • Box Office Weekly Gross $200.7M +61.3%
  • Nationwide Gas $4.55/gallon +.16/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 3,034.0 +13.0%
  • Drewry World Container Freight Index $2,285.6/40 ft Box +3.1%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,2.8 +.7%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 250.0 +4.2%
  • Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 125.0 -3.3%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 283,724 +.7%
  • TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,701,890 +32.3% 
  • US Morning Consult Daily Consume Sentiment Index 89.7 -.1 point
  • Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Approval Tacking Poll 42.0% -1.0 percentage point
Best Performing Style
  • Large-Cap Growth +2.8%
Worst Performing Style
  • Mid-Cap Growth +.8%
Leading Sectors
  • Computer Hardware +15.3%
  • Semis +10.6%
  • Airlines +10.5%
  • Cyber Security +9.1%
  • Gold & Silver +8.5%
Lagging Sectors
  • Medical Equipment -2.7%
  • Restaurants -3.0%
  • Utilities -3.4%
  • Oil Service -3.9%
  • Energy -4.9%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (108)
  • INOD, FLNC, RKLB, VCX, MRAM, FROG, PTCT, AMN, DXYZ, MXL, AKAM, FLY, MBUU, LUNR, WSC, CALY, PGNY, RDW, ASYS, AD, GRPN, BKSY, SYNA, MNST, TXRH, NSIT, INTC, RVI, MRNA, NVAX, MBX, MU, VOYG, POET, CSIQ, DBX, QURE, AMBQ, PENG, SNDK, NAMS, DELL, WLDN, LASR, URGN, RKT, CVSA, ASTS, CPAY, KOP, GEN, AVPT, AMD, FCEL, TECX, XYZ, QUIK, QCOM, TILE, BILL, MAGN, VPG, OFRM, XIFR, CLPT, WRBY, PDFS, PRKS, GTX, AAON, FDUS, AXTI, LOGI, MKSI, WOLF, SANM, CLPT, AIP, GRND, JKS, FTNT, PUBM, FLEX, SNDA, STM, CEVA, MIRM, ROAD, MNR, GOLD, TPB, GFS, PRMB, CYTK, WMG, CYRX, RELY, RRX, ALB, SCSC, DRD, CON, SMCI, MIDD and SITM
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (58)
  • MCK, GMAB, AFRM, COKE, KVYO, GLIBK, VCEL, VST, INSM, GCT, TTD, MAIN, TMDX, CELH, MDLN, WHR, QNST, BBUC, ZTS, ZLAB, GMED, AAOI, TXG, ICFI, G, SYM, PAHC, ESE, OMDA, AGO, LPTH, CAPR, NTRA, EMBJ, ONT, OSK, MSI, XNDU, CRNX, CRWV, VREX, MELI, FLR, PRAA, TNDM, TOST, ASIX, CAI, HRTG, REAL, HUBS, KODK, AMPH, NET, AORT, FIGS and TSSI
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change



Stocks Rising into Afternoon on Mideast War Resolution Hopes, Earnings Outlook Optimism, Lower Long-Term Rates, Tech/Commodity Sector Strength

Overseas Futures:

  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +850 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -33 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +100 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/industrial/consumer discretionary/energy sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 100% Net Long

Monday's Earnings/Economic Releases of Note; Market Movers

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate 

Before the Open:
  • (B)/.81
  • (CRCL)/.19
  • (DOLE)/.34
  • (FOXA)/.98
  • (MOS)/.24 
After the Close: 
  • (ACM)/1.55
  • (ASTS)/-.24
  • (HIMS)/.03 
Economic Releases 

10:00 am EST

  • Existing Home Sales for April is estimated to rise to 4.05M versus 3.98M in March.  

Upcoming Splits

  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The 3Y T-Note auction, BofA Merrill Lynch Metals/Mining/Steel Conference, Needham TMT Conference, (DIOD) annual meeting, (MKSI) annual meeting, (FORM) investor day and the BofA Healthcare Conference could also impact global trading on Monday.
US Equity Market Hours
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST

Thursday, May 07, 2026

Friday Watch

Around X:

  • @Business  
  • @ZeroHedge
  • @CNBC
  • @TheTranscript 
  • $RKLB: +5% AH.
  • Block CFO: "We delivered another strong quarter, as year-over-year gross profit growth accelerated to 27% and Adjusted Operating Income margin reached an all time high of 25%". $XYZ: +10% AH.
  • Cloudflare CEO @eastdakota: "We had a very strong start to 2026" $NET: -14% AH. 
  • Expedia CEO: "Our first quarter results marked a strong start to the year, as we delivered double-digit bookings and revenue growth and drove meaningful margin expansion despite a dynamic macroeconomic environment". $EXPE: -7%AH. 
  • Akamai Technologies CEO: "...today, we are very pleased to announce that a leading frontier model provider has committed to $1.8 billion over seven years for CIS, further validating our position as a key infrastructure provider in the AI economy. $AKAM: 23% AH
  • @MarioNawful  
  • @Cernovich
  • @MJTruthUltra
  • @RenzTom 
  • SSRIs are among the most dangerous and useless drugs ever created. I was talked into using them in my early 20s with absolutely no real discussion of the dangers. I was on them for over 20 years before realizing how bad they are and quitting. I have not taken them for several years and still have side effects that are likely permanent (thankfully different from this lady's but still unpleasant). The FDA is complicit in ensuring pharma and doctors do not provide true informed consent. (video)
  • @ValerieAnne1970
  • BIG FOOD IS QUIETLY BUYING UP YOUR “HEALTHY” FAVORITES — AND CHANGING THEM BEHIND YOUR BACK. You thought you were choosing better with those “clean,” grain-free, organic, gut-healthy brands? Think again. The same giants pushing ultra-processed junk are snapping them up... then slowly swapping real ingredients for cheaper crap while keeping the “healthy” packaging. Here’s the latest hit list (2026):
  • @TPV_John
  • @matttttt187
  • @ChildrensHD
  • @bennyjohnson
  • @NicHulscher
  • @DowdEdward
  • @BitcoinSapiens
  • @OcrazioCornPop
  • @StephenMoore
  • @FFT1776
Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -1.5% to -.5% on average. 
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 72.0 -.5 basis point. 
  • China Sovereign CDS 41.75 unch.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 110.3 USD/Metric Tonne -.4%. 
  • Crude Oil 96.40/bbl. +1.7% 
  • Gold 4,719.6 USD/t oz. +.2%. 
  • Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.72 -.09%.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 35.54 -.04%.
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 117.4 -.9%
  • US 10-Year Yield 4.39% unch.
  • Japan 30-Year Yield 3.75% unch. 
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 20.7 +.5%.
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures -.87%. 
  • S&P 500 futures +.08%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.13%.
Morning Preview Links

BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are modestly lower, weighed down by consumer discretionary and technology shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly higher and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing mixed.  The Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the day.