Friday, June 30, 2017

Market Week in Review

  • S&P 500 2,429.26 -.31%*
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The Weekly Wrap by Briefing.com.

*5-Day Change

Weekly Scoreboard*

Indices
  • S&P 500 2,429.26 -.31%
  • DJIA 21,395.0 -.01%
  • NASDAQ 6,159.73 -1.66%
  • Russell 2000 1,419.33 +.38%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 37.24 +1.81%
  • Goldman 50 Most Shorted 134.48 +.43%
  • Wilshire 5000 25,198.80 -.25%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 1,195.783 -1.12%
  • Russell 1000 Value 1,142.42 +.53%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 568.09 -.89%
  • Vanda Cyclicals-Defensives 1.3076 +.48%
  • Morgan Stanley Technology 1,471.17 -2.43%
  • Transports 9,584.99 +2.12%
  • Utilities 708.61 -2.23%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 99.01 +2.56%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 41.41 +.04%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,200.16 +.29%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 994.42 +.36%
Sentiment/Internals
  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 293,243 +.43%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 142 +60
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 60.47 +31.94%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 328,764 -8.42%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,118,015 -2.70%
  • Total Put/Call 1.09 +14.74%
  • OEX Put/Call .62 -80.32%
  • ISE Sentiment 99.0 -10.0%
  • NYSE Arms 1.17 -3.77%
  • Volatility(VIX) 10.78 +7.58%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 35.02 +2.40%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.63 +5.22%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 7.78 +4.49%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 19,600.07 -1.24%
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.622 Trillion +.16%
  • ICI US Equity Weekly Net New Cash Flow -$3.504 Billion
  • AAII % Bulls 29.7 -9.0%
  • AAII % Bears 26.9 -7.1%
Futures Spot Prices
  • CRB Index 174.22 +3.25%
  • Crude Oil 45.91 +5.56%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 151.27 +4.58%
  • Natural Gas 3.0 +2.09%
  • Heating Oil 147.47 +6.38%
  • Gold 1,242.50 -1.22%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 178.63 +2.27%
  • Copper 270.0 +2.38%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 261.67 USD/Ton unch.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 64.95 USD/Ton +14.45%
  • Lumber 365.80 +1.40%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,063.43  +3.51%
Economy
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast +2.2 -20.0 basis points
  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate +3.0% -40.0 basis points
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index .0734 -4.4% 
  • US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 170.34 +75.1%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 138.22 +.17%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -72.60 +2.0 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 30.3 +25.6 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 12.50 +1.6 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 88.0% chance of no change 12.0% chance of 25 basis point hike on 7/26
  • US Dollar Index 95.73 -1.58%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,599.56 +.39%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 133.90 +2.90%
  • Yield Curve 91.0 +8.0 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.29% +14.0 basis points
  • Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $4.424 Trillion -.26%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 21.83 -.18%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 371.0 -5.41%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 6.78 +12.3%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 21.45 +11.07%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 55.05 +3.71%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 68.95 +3.79%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 52.46 +.77%
  • Russia Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 169.71 -.81%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 139.62 +.21%
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.75% +4.0 basis points
  • TED Spread 29.0 -5.0 basis points
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 23.0 +3.0 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -27.25 +2.75 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 60.69 +.5%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 464.0 -7.25%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 52.80 -1.13%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 201.55 +1.63%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread to Swaps 146.50 +.5 basis point
  • M1 Money Supply $3.468 Trillion -.29%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 973.60 -.6%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 242,250 -2,500
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.4% unch.
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 3.88% -2.0 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 417.40 -6.24%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort 48.60 -.8 point
  • Weekly Retail Sales +2.4% -10.0 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $2.28/gallon -.07/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 920.0 +5.75%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 851.26 +.68%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 25.0 unch.
  • Rail Freight Carloads 281,190 +1.59%
Best Performing Style
  •  Large-Cap Value +.2%
Worst Performing Style
  •  Large-Cap Growth -1.5%
Leading Sectors
  • Steel +4.6%
  • Banks +4.2%
  • Hospitals +3.6%
  • Construction +2.7%
  • Retail +2.7%
Lagging Sectors
  • Gold & Silver -3.1% 
  • Biotech -3.1%
  • Disk Drives -3.4%
  • Gaming -4.3%
  • Semis -4.9%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (37)
  • MGEN, PTLA, SNCR, CARA, SPNC, FMAO, STRL, AVAV, POWI, OSUR, PVAC, LNTH, CAR, STOR, MPO, KEG, SD, IESC, SPLS, FOXF, DSKE, UPL, SNC, IBTX, PFBC, PLSE, ASIX, NSA, WLDN, PRFT, NTLA, OLN, INSW, MLP, BGCP, TRUP and QCP
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (21)
  • NRZ, ASMB, EVI, MYOK, CTLT, CAVM, WHF, ARR, DOC, COR, COHR, BBBY, ARNC, HSTM, RARX, AMSWA, OVID, SGEN, DPLO, GOV and ALDR
Weekly Charts
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Better Economic Data, Earnings Optimism, Oil Gain, Homebuilding/Transport Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 10.99 -3.93%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 133.95 +.04%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.78 +1.30%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 34.83 -.88%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 106.0 +17.8%
  • Total Put/Call 1.09 +10.10%
  • NYSE Arms 1.15 +85.43%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 60.89 -.29%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 464.0 +.08%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 52.79 +.48%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 6.78 +11.33%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 21.48 +8.57%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 201.93 -.19%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 139.62 +.06%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 23.0 +1.25 basis points
  • TED Spread 28.75 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -27.25 +.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.98 +.06%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.01% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 92.0 +2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $64.95/Metric Tonne +.37%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -72.60 +3.8 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 30.30 +6.3 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 10.10 +2.4 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.74 unch.
  • 29.6% chance of Fed rate hike at Sept. 20 meeting, 31.1% chance at Nov. 1 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +72 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -103 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +50 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/medical/retail sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges and some of my (EEM) short
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long