Friday, June 23, 2017

Stocks Reversing Higher into Afternoon on Less European/Emerging Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Oil Bounce, Index Rebalancing, Tech/Metals & Mining Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 9.94 -5.15%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 130.04 +.38%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.40 -1.6%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 34.31 -3.16%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 135.0 +35.0%
  • Total Put/Call .92 +16.46%
  • NYSE Arms .96 +.9%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 60.71 -1.91%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 493.0 +1.78%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 52.90 -3.42%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 6.08 -12.83%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 19.24 +.26%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 197.97 -1.49%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 139.34 -.07%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 20.0 +.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 33.5 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -30.0 -.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.75 +.33%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .96% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 81.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $56.75/Metric Tonne +.39%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -74.60 -1.5 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 4.70 -13.8 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 10.9 +.3 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.71 +1.0 basis point
  • 24.3% chance of Fed rate hike at Sept. 20 meeting, 27.5% chance at Nov. 1 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +10 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -4 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -11 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech/tech/retail sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 100% Net Long

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