Friday, June 04, 2021

Evening Headlines

Bloomberg:      
Wall Street Journal:
CNBC:
IG:
MarketWatch.com:          
Fox News:
Newsmax:
Zero Hedge:
TheGatewayPundit.com:

Weekly Scoreboard*


S&P 500 4,229.64 +.49%*


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The Weekly Wrap by Briefing.com. 

Indices
  • DJIA 34,739.88 +.66%
  • NASDAQ 13,810.64 +.47%
  • Russell 2000 2,284.15 +.45%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 78.02 +.96%
  • Goldman 50 Most Shorted 330.77 +4.4%
  • Wilshire 5000 44,069.83 +.46%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 2,581.55 +.41%
  • Russell 1000 Value 1,595.41 +.42%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 732.55 +.89%
  • MSCI Cyclicals-Defensives Spread 1,411.88 -.63%
  • NYSE Technology 3,960.29 +1.4%
  • Transports 15,440.0 -1.8%
  • Utilities 901.14 +1.1%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 75.09 +.25%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 55.99 +2.4%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,423.04 +.13%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 948.10 +.04%
Sentiment/Internals
  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 476,243 +.24%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 409 -183
  • Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -38.2 -2.2%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 475,490 -.10%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,426,045 -1.3%
  • Total Put/Call .87 +19.4%
  • OEX Put/Call 2.07 +1.8%
  • ISE Sentiment 106.0 -9.0 points
  • NYSE Arms 1.40 +44.0
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 3,545.0 +11.0 points
  • Bloomberg Financial Conditions Index + Bubbles 3.32 -1.0% 
  • Volatility(VIX) 16.4 -1.7%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 50.81 +4.2%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 6.16 -1.8%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.98 -1.9%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 14,44.23 -.51%
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $4.609 Trillion +.07%
  • ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows +2.965 Million
  • AAII % Bulls 44.1 +21.2%
  • AAII % Bears 19.8 -25.0%
Futures Spot Prices
  • CRB Index 210.29 +2.1%
  • Crude Oil 69.51 +3.8%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 220.88 +2.4%
  • Natural Gas 3.10 +5.0%
  • Heating Oil 211.82 +2.8%
  • Gold 1,891.50 -.71%
  • Silver 27.77 -.58%
  • S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 458.65 -3.3%
  • Copper 452.25 -3.0%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 507.0 USD/Metric Tonne +.4%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 200.0 USD/Metric Tonne +5.8%
  • Lumber 1,284.20 -2.7%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,292.14 +3.2%
  • US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 362.0 USD/Short Ton n/a
Economy
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast +10.3% +1.0 percentage point
  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate +20.0% -3.5 percentage points
  • Bloomberg US Recession Probability Next 12 Months 10.0% unch.
  • NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index +10.79 -4.43%
  • US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 103.4 +357.1%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 198.3 +.73%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 10.5 +6.1 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 146.0 -8.7 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 59.6 +5.6 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 93.0% chance of no change, 7.0% chance of rate hike on 6/16
  • US Dollar Index 90.15 +.14%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,753.33 +.07%
  • Bitcoin/USD 37,135.0 +2.3%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 137.70 -.51%
  • Yield Curve 146.0 -1.0 basis point
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 1.56% -3.0 basis points
  • Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $7.896 Trillion +.4%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 9.46 -.05%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 126.05 -8.7%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 109.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 36.8 -.84%
  • Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 163.77 -4.7%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 45.09 -.02%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 18.52 +.64%
  • Russia Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 92.82 +1.1%
  • China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KCCB) 39.11 -.48%
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.42% -3.0 basis points
  • TED Spread 11.5 -1.25 basis points
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 7.75 -.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -2.0 -.75 basis point
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 50.17 -.76%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 303.0 -4.49%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 57.76 -1.9%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 157.33 -1.84%
  • MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 65.75 +1.75 basis points
  • Markit CMBX BBB-6 73.75 +2.0 basis points
  • M2 Money Supply YoY % Change 18.0 unch.
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,185.50 -.3%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 428,000 -6.7%
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 2.7% +10.0 basis points
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 2.99% +4.0 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 665,900 -4.0%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort 55.6 +1.8 points
  • Weekly Retail Sales +13.1% -10.0 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $3.05/gallon +.01/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 2,472 -8.0%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 2,296.36 n/a
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 20.0 unch.
  • Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 196.07 +.13%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 286,921 +.13%
Best Performing Style
  • Small-Cap Value +1.2%
Worst Performing Style
  • Small-Cap Growth -.4%
Leading Sectors
  • Oil Service +11.7%
  • Energy +5.7%
  • Steel +3.3%
  • REITs +3.1%
  • Alt Energy +3.1%
Lagging Sectors
  • Restaurants -1.8%
  • Medical Equipment -1.9%
  • Gaming -2.6%
  • Homebuilding -3.2%
  • Airlines -3.4%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (16)
  • TRGP, ENV, UPST, ASAN, ODP, PDAC, AMCX, SYNA, CRNC, BIIB, ATHA, PCT, PSAC, NESR, NVDA and CIEN
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (7)
  • CRWD, QDEL, BKE, ORIC, ARCB, MGNX and PD
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change

Stocks Surging into Afternoon on Diminished Fed Taper Fears, Economic Optimism, Dollar Weakness, Tech/Biotech Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:

  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 16.3 -9.4%
  • Bloomberg Global Risk On/Risk Off Index 3,535.0 +72.0 points
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 137.69 -.41%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.0 -.6%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 49.9 -1.6%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 105.0  -38.0 points
  • Total Put/Call .85 +28.8%
  • NYSE Arms .99 +4.2%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 50.22 -1.1%
  • US Energy High-Yield OAS 421.23 +.58%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 57.73 -.98%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 109.0 +1.0 basis point
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 84.76 -2.87%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 157.33 -2.1%
  • China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KCCB) 39.11 -.36%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 7.75 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 11.5 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -2.0 +.5 basis point
  • MBS  5/10 Treasury Spread  66.0 +1.25 basis points
  • IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 73.75 +1.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 61.72 +.60%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% unch.
  • Yield Curve 146.0 +2.0 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 200.0 USD/Metric Tonne +2.1%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 10.5 -2.8 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 146.0 -6.3 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 59.60 +.1 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.42 -3.0 basis points
  • 93.0% chance of no change at Sept. 22nd meeting, 93.0% chance of no change at Nov. 3rd meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +203 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -1 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +11 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/industrial/biotech/commodity/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long