Thursday, August 30, 2012

Thursday Watch


Night Trading

  • Asian equity indices are -1.25% to -.50% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 151.50 -.5 basis point.
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign CDS Index 127.50 +.75 basis point.
  • FTSE-100 futures -.37%.
  • S&P 500 futures -.40%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.31%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate
  • (CIEN)/-.02
  • (TD)/1.84
  • (ESL)/1.11
  • (OVTI)/.22
  • (ZUMZ)/.13
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST

  • Personal Income for July is estimated to rise +.3% versus a +.5% gain in June.
  • Personal Spending for July is estimated to rise +.5% versus unch. in June.
  • The PCE Core for July is estimated to rise +.1% versus a +.2% gain in June.
  • Initial Jobless Claims are estimated to fall to 370K versus 372K the prior week.
  • Continuing Claims are estimated to fall to 3307K versus 3317K prior.

11:00 am EST

  • The Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity Index for August is estimated to fall to 3.0 versus 5.0 in July.

Upcoming Splits

  • None of note

Other Potential Market Movers

  • The Italian 10Y Bond auction, Germany Unemployment Rate, Japan PMI data, ICSC Chain Store Sales report for August, 7Y T-Note auction, weekly Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index and the weekly EIA natural gas inventory report could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are lower, weighed down by commodity and technology shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing modestly lower. The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.

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