Friday, November 12, 2021

Evening Headlines

Bloomberg:         

Wall Street Journal: 
Newsmax: 
Apex World News:
Zero Hedge: 
TheGatewayPundit.com:
International Business Times:

Weekly Scoreboard*


S&P 500 4,682.0 -.4%*


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The Weekly Wrap by Briefing.com. 

Indices
  • DJIA 36,126.17 -.8%
  • NASDAQ 15,862.82 -.9%
  • Russell 2000 2,411.98 -1.2%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 81.3 -1.6%
  • Goldman 50 Most Shorted 344.10 -2.9%
  • Wilshire 5000 48,619.2 -.05%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 3,048.90 -.7%
  • Russell 1000 Value 1,641.38 -.1%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 758.16 -.12%
  • MSCI Cyclicals-Defensives Spread 1,455.50 -.99%
  • NYSE Technology 4,579.28 +.07%
  • Transports 16,733.88 -.8%
  • Utilities 908.63 -1.2%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 80.40 -.50%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 51.9 +1.9%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,493.20 -.25%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 919.03 +.04%
Sentiment/Internals
  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 487,377 +.21%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 9 -206
  • Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -39.6 +2.3%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 419,293 -1.0%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,121,461 -1.1%
  • Total Put/Call .73 -6.4%
  • OEX Put/Call 3.28 +5.0%
  • ISE Sentiment 153.0 +56.0 points
  • NYSE Arms 1.31 -23.9
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 3,150.0 -143.0 points
  • Bloomberg Financial Conditions Index + Bubbles 4.62 +1.1%
  • Volatility(VIX) 16.3 -.8%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 48.8 -.4%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 6.5 +6.2%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 9.0 +1.2%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 13,753.01 -2.5%
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $4.567 Trillion +.3%
  • ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows +1.313 Million
  • AAII % Bulls 48.0 +15.7%
  • AAII % Bears 24.0 -7.7%
Futures Spot Prices
  • CRB Index 237.46 +1.7%
  • Crude Oil 80.9 -.5%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 231.67 +.21%
  • Natural Gas 4.80 -14.9%
  • Heating Oil 240.89 -1.6% 
  • Newcastle Coal 147.5 (1,000/metric ton) -2.8% 
  • Gold 1,864.30 +2.5%
  • Silver 25.30 +4.8%
  • S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 483.13 +2.1%
  • Copper 445.40 +2.5%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 488.0 USD/Metric Tonne -1.0%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 89.15 USD/Metric Tonne -2.9%
  • Lumber 622.3 -5.3%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,341.07 +3.2%
  • US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 685.0 USD/Short Ton unch.
Economy
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast +8.2% -.2 percentage point
  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate +4.9% +.3 percentage point
  • Bloomberg US Recession Probability Next 12 Months 15.0% unch.
  • NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index +6.6 -10.7%
  • US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 80.4 -60.0%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 218.66 +.65%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 10.7 +12.5 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -47.3 +14.0 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -27.0 -1.8 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 100.0% chance of no change, 0.0% chance of rate hike on 12/15
  • US Dollar Index 95.1 +.9%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,735.18 +.2%
  • Bitcoin/USD 63,785 +1.5%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 134.43 -.64%
  • Yield Curve 106.0 +1.0 basis point
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 1.58% +13.0 basis points
  • Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $8.537 Trillion +.2%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 15.0 +3.8%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 132.90 -1.8%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 121.0 +5.0 basis points
  • China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 52.8 +7.8%
  • Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 236.37 -.9%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 41.1 -1.3%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 19.1 +.22%
  • Russia Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 94.94 +16.8%
  • China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 33.63 +1.45%
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.73% +18.0 basis points
  • TED Spread 11.0 +2.5 basis point
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 24.0 +4.0 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -22.0 +.5 basis point
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 51.12 +3.2%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 301.0 +1.2%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 56.5 +2.8%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 178.68 +1.4%
  • MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 64.5 -.25 basis point
  • Markit CMBX BBB-6 73.0 +.75 basis point
  • M2 Money Supply YoY % Change 12.8 -.4 percentage point
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,153.3 -2.2%
  • Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 278,000 -2.5%
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.6% -.1 percentage point
  • Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 37.8 +2.8% 
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 2.98% -11.0 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 658,100 +5.5%
  • Langer Consumer Comfort 50.3 +1.1 points
  • Weekly Retail Sales +15.6% -.1 percentage point
  • OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change from 2019 -1.4% +13.7 percentage points 
  • Nationwide Gas $3.42/gallon +.02/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 2,844 +4.8%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 3,232.37 -1.6%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 22.5 unch.
  • Container Ships Anchored 1,018 +1.3%
  • Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 131.95 -3.3%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 268,526 -1.2%
  • TSA Total Travelers 1-Year Ago Same Weekday 866,679 +25.6% 
  • US Covid-19:  155 infections/100K people(last 7 days total) +2/100K people
  • US Covid-19:  29% of Jan. 7th,2021 peak unch.
Best Performing Style
  • Mid-Cap Growth +.4%
Worst Performing Style
  • Small-Cap Growth -1.3%
Leading Sectors
  • Video Gaming +7.1%
  • Steel +4.4%
  • Alt Energy +4.0%
  • Homebuilding +3.5%
  • Construction +2.7%
Lagging Sectors
  • Education -2.5%
  • Biotech -2.8%
  • Airlines -4.4%
  • Oil Service -5.0%
  • Gambling -6.5%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (48)
  • XPOF, APLS, VLTA, BLNK, VUZI, AGFY, RBLX, SWIM, TLRY, TTD, CUE, HYFM, DASH, ABNB, MP, U, VIVO, DFH, ASPN, RADI, ATOM, RYAN, GPRO, INDI, LFG, ASH, RIOT, REAL, ENVA, GRWG, SQSP, NMRK, RPRX, ZIP, GO, CHPT, MARA, ICHR, LH, MU, ESTC, HT, APG, SWK, TNGX, WHR, CONE and WDC
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (10)
  • MASS, MCW, TTCF, BMBL, BEEM, PATH, CELH, SYNH, IOVA and JAMF
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change

Stocks Rising into Afternoon on Stable Long-Term Rates, Diminished China Debt Bubble Bursting Fears, Technical Buying, Tech/Homebuilding Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:

  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 16.4 -7.4%
  • Bloomberg Global Risk On/Risk Off Index 3,148.0 +175.0 points
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 134.38 -.21%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.0 +.9%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 48.7 -3.9%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 151.0  +31.0 points
  • Total Put/Call .72 -2.7%
  • NYSE Arms 1.35 +95.7%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 51.1 -.7%
  • US Energy High-Yield OAS 378.03 -1.8%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 56.70 -.4%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 121.0 +2.0 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 88.5 -1.1%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 178.68 -.6%
  • China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 33.6 +1.5%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 24.0 +1.5 basis points
  • TED Spread 11.0 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -21.75 -.25 basis point
  • MBS  5/10 Treasury Spread  64.0 +.25 basis point
  • IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 73.0 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 57.64 -.34%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .05% unch.
  • Yield Curve 103.0 unch.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 89.15 USD/Metric Tonne -.4%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 10.7 -8.5 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -47.3 +2.8 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -27.0 -3.8 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.76 +5.0 basis points
  • 95.0% chance of no change at Jan. 26th meeting, 80.3% chance of no change at March 16th meeting
US Covid-19:
  • 155 new infections/100K people(last 7 days total) -7/100K people
  • 29% of Jan. 7th, 2021 peak(highest daily avg. new infections) -2.0 percentage points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +101 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +63 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -16 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/consumer discretionary/industrial/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades:  Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure:  Moved to 100% Net Long

Bear Radar

Style Underperformer:

  • Small-Cap Value -.2%
Sector Underperformers:
  • 1) Airlines -2.7% 2) Oil Service -1.6% 3) Energy -.7%
Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume: 
  • EYE, DOCS, AGC, SEAH, LAZR, ALHC, TTCF, CELH, BEEM, BMBL, MCW, SYNH, HPE, GAN, IOVA, JAMF and FXLV
Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
  • 1) BLNK 2) WEN 3) BGFV 4) MMM 5) TSN
Stocks With Most Negative News Mentions:
  • 1) AFIB 2) TISI 3) FXLV 4) CPNG 5) RIDE
Charts:

Bull Radar

Style Outperformer:

  • Large-Cap Growth +1.1%
Sector Outperformers:
  • 1) Internet +1.7% 2) Homebuilding +1.4% 3) Software +1.2%
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
  • XPOF, XMTR, ARRY, BLNK, SPB, MQ, APLS, FTCI, ASTR, WRBY, VLTA, MAX, TTD, RBLX, AGFY, SHLS, DASH, VUZI, MP, ATOM, HYFM, U, QDEL, SMAR, CRCT, CUE, POSH, PDSB, ABNB, ETSY, DFH, SWIM, SMRT, EBS, RYAN, GPRO, PDSB, RYAN, ESMT, GO, HUMA, SDGR, DSKE, ASH, RADI, FLO, NMRK, SITM, ENVA, ACVA, HOOD, DOCU, VIVO, CHPT, TLRY, ICHR, NE, REAL, MU, EXTR, LH, FB, OPEN, HT, MARA, WDC, SEMR, LZ, SQSP, CXW, AGTI, DNB, PYPL, NFLX, FA, GM, ATVI and SAIL
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
  • 1) PPC 2) RGS 3) FIS 4) REI 5) MMM
Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions:
  • 1) XAIR 2) WRBY 3) XPOF 4) BLNK 5) MRAM