Monday, June 08, 2015

Stocks Declining into Final Hour on Greek Debt Deal Worries, Rising Eurozone/Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Oil Drop, Tranport/Tech Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.41 +8.44%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 146.77 +.65%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.70 +.83%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 64.99 +2.33%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 98.0 +1.03%
  • Total Put/Call .98 -4.85%
  • NYSE Arms 1.11 +37.17% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 68.14 +1.91%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,170.0 +.66%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 79.06 +2.46%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 23.39 +.88%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 62.84 +1.81%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 315.52 +2.75%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 120.21 +.08%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 25.5 +.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 26.50 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -17.75 +1.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% unch.
  • Yield Curve 170.0 +2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $64.34/Metric Tonne -.17%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -44.60 +3.3 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 6.20 +.2 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -17.60 +3.9 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.88 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -22 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -225 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -45 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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