Monday, June 29, 2015

Stocks Falling Substantially into Final Hour on Greek Debt Deal Fears, Soaring Eurozone/Emerging Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, China Bubble-Bursting Worries, Financial/Tech Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 18.38 +31.10%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 143.85 -.47%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.08 +3.89%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 64.52 +6.22%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 90.0 +13.92%
  • Total Put/Call 1.40 +32.08%
  • NYSE Arms 1.44 +84.64% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 71.590 +5.96%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,125.0 +2.09%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 90.92 +18.5%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 27.86 +25.61%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 60.64 +4.33%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 312.72 +2.92%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 120.86 unch.
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 25.25 +2.0 basis points
  • TED Spread 28.25 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -21.75 -1.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .00% unch.
  • Yield Curve 169.0 -8.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $61.29/Metric Tonne -1.16%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -29.10 +1.5 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 1.90 -5.5 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -20.90 -.1 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.89 -5.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +56 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -183 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -73 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts 
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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