Friday, May 05, 2017

Weekly Scoreboard*

Indices
  • S&P 500 2,399.29 +.63%
  • DJIA 21,006.94 +.32%
  • NASDAQ 6,100.75 +.88%
  • Russell 2000 1,396.99 -.25%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 37.22 +.40%
  • Goldman 50 Most Shorted 127.37 +1.02%
  • Wilshire 5000 24,865.51 +.52%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 1,178.56 +.87%
  • Russell 1000 Value 1,131.25 +.30%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 567.04 +.09%
  • Vanda Cyclicals-Defensives 1.3347 +.96%
  • Morgan Stanley Technology 1,446.10 +1.51%
  • Transports 9,189.97 +1.01%
  • Utilities 703.02 -.19%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 103.17 +3.49%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 40.06 -.04%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,196.26 +.09%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 1,004.88 +.15%
Sentiment/Internals
  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 288,148 +.11%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 334 -298
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 56.7 +16.89%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 411,822 -7.2%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,188,272 +1.24%
  • Total Put/Call .99 +3.13%
  • OEX Put/Call 3.80 -41.98%
  • ISE Sentiment 97.0 +34.72%
  • NYSE Arms .67 -43.22%
  • Volatility(VIX) 10.57 -2.31%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 42.07 -2.5%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.93 -2.46%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.49 -1.39%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 19,262.07 +.28%
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.644 Trillion +.06%
  • ICI US Equity Weekly Net New Cash Flow -$6.498 Billion
  • AAII % Bulls 38.1 unch.
  • AAII % Bears 30.0 -5.6%
Futures Spot Prices
  • CRB Index 177.92 -2.09%
  • Crude Oil 46.22 -6.03%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 150.46 -2.29%
  • Natural Gas 3.26 -.09%
  • Heating Oil 143.66 -4.37%
  • Gold 1,226.90 -3.56%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 171.26 -2.38%
  • Copper 252.85 -2.43%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 258.33 USD/Ton unch.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 61.73 USD/Ton -10.28%
  • Lumber 388.80 +2.37%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,084.20 +1.03%
Economy
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast +4.2% +400.0 basis points
  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate +5.4% -50.0 basis points
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index .1259 +.72% 
  • US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 301.88 +34.3%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 135.71 +.35%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -18.20 -13.4 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 68.20 +2.2 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 33.90 -5.6 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 0.0% chance of no change 100.0% chance of 25 basis point hike on 6/14
  • US Dollar Index 98.65 -.40%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,581.54 +.06%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 129.44 +2.02%
  • Yield Curve 104.0 +1.0 basis point
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.35+5.0 basis points
  • Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $4.432 Trillion +.02%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 24.31 -2.05%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 394.0 -.06%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 7.42 -19.08%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 21.0 -5.68%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 46.88 +5.4%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 67.0 -.31%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 58.32 +1.96%
  • Russia Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 155.66 +1.41%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 137.34 +.13%
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.87% -6.0 basis points
  • TED Spread 29.5 -7.75 basis points
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 29.25 -2.0 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -30.25 -3.5 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 62.25 -2.64%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 388.0 +4.14%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 68.89 -7.15%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 193.95 -.78%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread to Swaps 144.50 +.5 basis point
  • M1 Money Supply $3.424 Trillion -.2%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 992.60 +1.3%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 243,000 +750
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.4% unch.
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 4.02% -1.0 basis point
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 405.80 -.1%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort 50.90 +.1 point
  • Weekly Retail Sales +2.0% +10.0 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $2.36/gallon -.04/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,004.0 -11.5%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 818.61 -.05%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 32.50 -7.14%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 269,354 +4.46%
Best Performing Style
  •  Mid-Cap Growth +.9%
Worst Performing Style
  •  Small-Cap Value -.5%
Leading Sectors
  • Hospitals +4.7%
  • Social Media +3.4%
  • Coal +2.8%
  • Airlines +2.5%
  • Restaurants +2.5%
Lagging Sectors
  • Agriculture -1.7% 
  • Telecom -3.0%
  • Gold & Silver -3.4%
  • Oil Tankers -3.5%
  • Steel -3.7%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (37)
  • ANGI, EHTH, XENT, MOH, CHGG, VWR, MYGN, ATSG, ALGN, IAC, FORM, SNCR, CRCM, HY, FEYE, NYT, COWN, AAN, TRUP, PBI, TVTY, OB, LPLA, CVLT, TRMB, SQ, HLS, USNA, DATA, WD, LNTH, AIMC, TXRH, HUBS, GSHT, IPGP and LNGG
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (52)
  • QCP, CBF, RDUS, CSL, SPR, AZPN, AMG, VRSK, AGNC, TROX, EGHT, BSFT, SNI, BGFV, NSP, MCRN, XOG, HTA, APC, FLT, DISCA, NANO, MCY, THS, IIVI, BG, AKAM, OSTK, BOJA, LL, MASI, HTGC, MWA, MDP, SYF, ENTL, FDP, HSKA, PBPB, VIAB, ATHN, COMM, IPHI, TIME, AMAG, VRTV, TWLO, AMD, PDFS, MEDP and MTRX
Weekly Charts
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change

Stocks Slightly Higher into Afternoon on Economic Optimism, Oil Gain, Short-Covering, Commodity/Telecom Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: About Even
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 10.29 -1.63%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 129.29 +.25%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.51 +.71%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 41.63 -3.7%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 90.0 +38.5%
  • Total Put/Call .97 +6.59%
  • NYSE Arms .65 -34.06%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 62.93 +.18%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 384.0 +1.26%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 68.98 -1.64%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 7.87 +.45%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 21.04 -1.6%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 195.09 -1.36%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 137.34 +.13%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 29.0 unch.
  • TED Spread 29.25 -1.75 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -30.25 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.19 +.26%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .88% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 104.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $61.73/Metric Tonne -5.32%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -18.20 +1.9 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 68.20 -.6 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 33.9 +1.5 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.87 +1.0 basis point
  • 91.5% chance of Fed rate hike at July 26 meeting, 95.4% chance at Sept. 20 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +250 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -4 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +73 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my medical/tech/retail sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 75% Net Long

Bear Radar

Style Underperformer:
  • Large-Cap Growth +.2%
Sector Underperformers:
  • 1) Biotech -1.1% 2) Computer Services -.8% 3) Banks -.3%
Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume: 
  • REV, MB, AL, FLR, ROCK, TREX, PBYI, UBNT, RP, DV, OSUR, ALDR, ACET, FPRX, JUNO and ROCK
Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
  • 1) ILG 2) HST 3) FTR 4) SHAK 5) SM
Stocks With Most Negative News Mentions:
  • 1) BCOV 2) PBYI 3) NVIV 4) NCMI 5) FLR
Charts: