Thursday, May 05, 2022

Bull Radar

Style Outperformer:

  • Large-Cap Value -2.7%
Sector Outperformers:
  • 1) Education -.7% 2) Shipping -1.5% 3) Utilities -1.5%
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
  • ICPT, UDMY, LPG, EPAM, TREE, VSTO, WCC, BKNG, ALB, OGN, SBRA, MNTV, BAND, K, TRIP, NVST and TWTR
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
  • 1) QUAD 2) BKI 3) LPI 4) W 5) TMF
Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions:
  • 1) AXGN 2) ALB 3) WCC 4) BKNG 5) K

Mid-Day Market Internals

NYSE Composite Index:

  • Volume Running +11.0% Above 100-Day Average 
  • 11 Sectors Declining, 0 Sectors Rising
  • 9.7% of Issues Advancing, 87.7% Declining
  • 49 New 52-Week Highs, 262 New Lows
  • 31.9% of Issues Above 200-day Moving Average
  • Average 14-Day RSI 40.2% 
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 4,039.0 -414.0 points
  • Russell 1000: Growth/Value 15,426 -2.0%
  • Vix 31.7 +41.6%
  • Total Put/Call 1.09 +4.8%
  • TRIN/Arms 2.68 +445.80%

Wednesday, May 04, 2022

Thursday Watch

Night Trading 

  • Asian equity indices are +.5% to +1.0% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 120.5 -2.5 basis points. 
  • China Sovereign CDS  75.25 -3.25 basis points.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 52.9 -.07%. 
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 4,449.0 -5.0 points.
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 27.2 +.8%.
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures n/a.
  • S&P 500 futures -.17%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.15%. 
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate 
 
Before the Open: 
  • (ADT)/.11
  • (APD)/2.37
  • (BUD)/.62
  • (APTV)/.61
  • (MT)/3.06
  • (AAWW)/2.57
  • (BDX)/2.95
  • (BERY)/1.79
  • (CCJ)/-.01
  • (CAH)/1.52
  • (CTXS)/1.17
  • (COP)/3.22
  • (DDOG)/.11
  • (D)/1.17
  • (DKNG)/-1.20
  • (HBI)/.28
  • (ICE)/1.42
  • (K)/.93
  • (PZZA)/.94
  • (PH)/4.65
  • (PENN)/.45
  • (PWR)/1.25
  • (RCL)/-4.48
  • (SHOP)/.67
  • (SWI)/.22
  • (TRMB)/.67
  • (VSTO)/1.80
  • (W)/-1.53
  • (ZTS)/1.22
After the Close:
  • (Y)/15.90
  • (MDRX)/.19
  • (BILL)/-.16
  • (SQ)/.20
  • (NET)/.00
  • (CGNX)/.39
  • (ED)/1.48
  • (DASH)/-.04
  • (EOG)/3.69
  • (ILMN)/.89
  • (PODD)/.24
  • (LYV)/-.77
  • (MTZ)/-.11
  • (MCK)/6.04
  • (MELI)/1.41
  • (MNST)/.61
  • (NWSA)/.15
  • (SHAK)/-.23
  • (OLED)/1.02
  • (YELP)/.34
  • (ZG)/.27
Economic Releases
7:30 am EST
  • Challenger Job Cuts YoY for April.
8:30 am EST
  • Non-Farm Productivity for 1Q is estimated to fall -5.3% versus a +6.6% gain in 4Q.
  • Unit Labor Costs for 1Q is estimated to rise +10.0% versus a +.9% gain in 1Q.
  • Initial Jobless Claims for last week are estimated at 180K versus 180K the prior week.
  • Continuing Claims are estimated to fall to 1400K versus 1408K prior.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Bank of England rate decision, German Factory Orders and the weekly EIA natural gas inventory report could also impact global trading today.
US Equity Market Hours
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are modestly higher, boosted by financial and technology shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher. The Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the day.

Bear Radar

Style Underperformer:

  • Mid-Cap Growth -.4%
Sector Underperformers:
  • 1) Gambling -4.4% 2) Steel -1.9% 3) Airlines -1.9%
Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume: 
  • FRPT, CZR, FRSH, UBER, IDXX, BGFV, SWKS, ALKT, PTLO, HLF, AKAM, SPR, BFAM, WK, SPT, RRR, DENN, KYMR, LL, EAT, RVLV, BCOR, ANDE, LYFT and TUP
Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
  • 1) IGT 2) SWKS 3) FIS 4) TRIP 5) THO
Stocks With Most Negative News Mentions:
  • 1) LYFT 2) CLVS 3) RVLV 4) AMRX 5) JHG
Charts:

Bull Radar

Style Outperformer:

  • Large-Cap Value +.3%
Sector Outperformers:
  • 1) Disk Drives +2.7% 2) Oil Service +2.1% 3) Restaurants +1.8%
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
  • TMDX, SMCI, LTHM, ATEN, CHGG, GNRC, SCI, DK, IMXI, SBUX, LITE, PAYC, OMI, ACHC, MASI, AYX, FRGE, EVER, EXPI, ALB, EXR, CWH, GRBK, MWA, ABNB, AMD and WING
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
  • 1) CL 2) NOG 3) LYV 4) WTI 5) EMB
Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions:
  • 1) LTHM 2) SMCI 3) SUP 4) TMDX 5) GNRC

Mid-Day Market Internals

NYSE Composite Index:

  • Volume Running -7.2% Below 100-Day Average 
  • 5 Sectors Declining, 6 Sectors Rising
  • 34.8% of Issues Advancing, 61.0% Declining
  • 31 New 52-Week Highs, 269 New Lows
  • 30.1% of Issues Above 200-day Moving Average
  • Average 14-Day RSI 38.1% 
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 4,198.0 +8.0 points
  • Russell 1000: Growth/Value 15,487 -1.1%
  • Vix 28.7 -1.9%
  • Total Put/Call .97 -6.7%
  • TRIN/Arms .91 +30.0%