Monday, June 26, 2023

Bear Radar

Style Underperformer:

  • Large-Cap Growth -.9%
Sector Underperformers:
  • 1) Pharma -1.2% 2) Software -1.0% 3) Internet -1.0%
Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume: 
  • WEST, PFE, CVAC, KMX, PAX, MARA, SUPN, WKC, CCL, CUK, MRCY, AKRO, INTA and BMEA
Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
  • 1) CGC 2) TOL 3) BB 4) FGEN 5) WBA
Stocks With Most Negative News Mentions:
  • 1) TSLA 2) IEP 3) CCL 4) PLYA 5) WKC
Charts:

Bull Radar

Style Outperformer:

  • Mid-Cap Value +.9%
Sector Outperformers:
  • Oil Service +2.4% 2) Regional Banks +2.1% 3) REITs +2.0%
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
  • SLRN, SLG, ENFN, CABA, IONQ, ATEC, OPCH and VICR
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
  • 1) OPCH 2) WW 3) SLG 4) TOL 5) APLD
Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions:
  • 1) MLTX 2) ORIC 3) INVE 4) SLRN 5) APLD

Tomorrow's Earnings/Economic Releases of Note; Market Movers

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate 

Before the Open:
  • (KFY)/1.00
  • (SCHN)/.64
  • (SNX)/2.55
  • (WBA)/1.07
After the Close: 
  • (AVAV)/1.01
  • (JEF)/.27
Economic Releases   
8:30 am EST
  • Durable Goods Orders for May is estimated to fall -.8% versus a +1.1% gain in April.
  • Durables Ex Transports for May is estimated unch. versus a -.3% decline in April.
  • Cap Goods Orders Non-Defense Ex-Air for May is estimated to rise +.1% versus a +1.3% gain in April.
9:00 am EST
  • The FHFA House Price Index MoM for April is estimated to rise +.5% versus a +.6% gain in March. 
  • The S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City MoM SA for April is estimated to rise +.35% versus a +.45% gain in March.

10:00 am EST

  • New Home Sales for May is estimated to fall to 675K versus 683K in April. 
  • Conference Board Consumer Confidence for June is estimated to rise to 103.9 versus 102.3 in May.
  • The Richmond Fed Manufacturing Activity Index for June is estimated to rise to -12 versus -15 in May.

10:30 am EST

  • The Dallas Fed Services Activity Index for June.

Upcoming Splits 

  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Italy Business Confidence Index,  5Y T-Note auction, weekly US retail sales reports, (SNOW) investor day and the (DAL) investor day could also impact global trading tomorrow.
US Equity Market Hours
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST

Mid-Day Market Internals

NYSE Composite Index:

  • NYSE Volume Running -20.0% Below 100-Day Average 
  • Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 8.7 -1.2
  • 5 Sectors Declining, 6 Sectors Rising
  • 69.9% of Issues Advancing, 27.3% Declining
  • 51 New 52-Week Highs, 21 New Lows
  • 46.8%(+2.2%) of Issues Above 200-day Moving Average
  • Average 14-Day RSI 52.0 -4.0
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 59.6 -2.7%
  • Russell 1000: Growth/Value 17,487.2 -.32%
  • 1-Day Vix 8.8 -22.7%
  • Vix 14.2 +5.5% 
  • Total Put/Call .79 -9.2%
  • TRIN/Arms 1.19 -27.9%

Sunday, June 25, 2023

Monday Watch

Night Trading

  • Asian indices are -.5% to +.25% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 116.75 +2.5 basis points.
  • China Sovereign CDS 60.25 +2.0 basis points.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 108.8 USD/Metric Tonne -.4%.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 44.2 +.01%.
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 61.8 +.7%.
  • Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .22 -8.0 basis points. 
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 16.0 +.16%. 
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures +.22%.
  • S&P 500 futures +.14%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.16%.

BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly lower, weighed down by financial and technology shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly higher and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing mixed.  The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the week.

Saturday, June 24, 2023

Today's Headlines

Bloomberg:

Zero Hedge:
MarketWatch.com:
TheGatewayPundit.com:
Twitter:
OpenVAERS:
SKirsch.com: