Weekly Scoreboard*

Indices

• S&P 500 2,059.83 -1.52%

• DJIA 17,770.3 -1.34%

• NASDAQ 4,772.86 -2.77%

• Russell 2000 1,129.11 -1.53%

• S&P 500 High Beta 30.57 -1.89%

• Goldman 50 Most Shorted 105.21 -2.24% 

• Wilshire 5000 21,266.90 -1.33%

• Russell 1000 Growth 990.83 -1.95%

• Russell 1000 Value 989.87 -1.02%

• S&P 500 Consumer Staples 534.64 +.57%

• Solactive US Cyclical 132.33 -1.86%

• Morgan Stanley Technology 1,035.78 -2.28%

• Transports 7,864.38 -2.75%

• Utilities 651.54 +1.97%

• Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 81.94 -2.62%

• MSCI Emerging Markets 34.39 -.68%

• HFRX Equity Hedge 1,127.19 -.03%

• HFRX Equity Market Neutral 990.40 -.33%

Sentiment/Internals

• NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 249,302 +.87%

• Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 161.0 +63

• Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 28.57 -32.15%

• CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 334,175 +15.57%

• CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,714,186 -4.95%

• Total Put/Call 1.17 +18.19%

• OEX Put/Call .73 -63.5%

• ISE Sentiment 59.0 -43.56%

• NYSE Arms 1.0 +11.82%

• Volatility(VIX) 16.57 +28.29%

• S&P 500 Implied Correlation 57.36 +6.62%

• G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 10.98 -2.14%

• Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 10.37 -2.72%

• Smart Money Flow Index 19,134.63 -.39%

• ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.709 Trillion +.38%

• ICI US Equity Weekly Net New Cash Flow -$3.245 Billion

• AAII % Bulls 27.4 -18.1%

• AAII % Bears 28.6 +19.6%

Futures Spot Prices

• CRB Index 184.61 +2.76%

• Crude Oil 46.06 +5.1%

• Reformulated Gasoline 158.48 +3.24%

• Natural Gas 2.16 +1.17%

• Heating Oil 137.79 +5.09%

• Gold 1,294.40 +4.79%

• Bloomberg Base Metals Index 151.16 +1.41%

• Copper 227.50 +.44%

• US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 218.33 USD/Ton unch.

• China Iron Ore Spot 66.24 USD/Ton -.14%

• Lumber 294.70 +4.76%

• UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,132.94 +3.03%

Economy

• Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast +1.8% +140.0 basis points
• ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate +4.5% +100.0 basis points

• Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index -.3653 +5.46%

• S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 123.10 -.19%

• Citi US Economic Surprise Index -31.20 -6.1 points

• Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -13.0 +4.2 points

• Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 16.7 +.7 point

• Fed Fund Futures imply 88.0% chance of no change, 12.0% chance of 25 basis point hike on 6/15

• US Dollar Index 93.09 -2.13%
• MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,524.87 +.69%

• Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 127.69 -2.58%

• Yield Curve 105.0-2.0 basis points

• 10-Year US Treasury Yield 1.82% -7.0 basis points

• Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $4.435 Trillion -.35%

• U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 21.51 +3.91%

• Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 330.0 -2.09%

• Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 24.97 -5.50%

• Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 54.31 -3.22%
  

• Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 127.19 -2.77%
  

• Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 68.50 -2.83%

• Iraq Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 983.32 -1.62% 

• Russia Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 246.22 -.76%

• iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 126.96 -.12%

• 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.71% +6.0 basis points

• TED Spread 42.5 +1.5 basis points

• 2-Year Swap Spread 14.0 +.5 basis point

• 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -22.50 +.5 basis point

• N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 78.19 +5.9%

• America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 1,050.0 +1.17%

• European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 89.76 +9.68%
  

• Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 283.60 +.08%
  

• CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread to Swaps 155.0 -7.5 basis points
  

• M1 Money Supply $3.145 Trillion -1.02%

• Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,109.50 -.1%

• 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 256,000 -4,500

• Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.6% unch.

• Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 3.66% +7.0 basis points

• Weekly Mortgage Applications 505.40 -4.06%

• Bloomberg Consumer Comfort 43.4 +.5 point

• Weekly Retail Sales +.80% unch.

• Nationwide Gas $2.20/gallon +.08/gallon

• Baltic Dry Index 710.0 +3.2%

• China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 632.36 -3.11%

• Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 32.50 -13.3%

• Rail Freight Carloads 261,347 +.78%

Best Performing Style

• Mid-Cap Value -.4%

Worst Performing Style

• Small-Cap Growth -2.5%

Leading Sectors

• Gold & Silver +12.8%

• Tobacco +4.0%

• Steel +2.6%

• Defense +1.3%

• Utilities +1.0%

Lagging Sectors

• Homebuilders -46% 

• Gaming -4.8%

• Computer Hardware -4.9%

• I-Banks -5.7%

• Biotech -7.0%

Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (25)

• TPUB, DWA, TXTR, BEAT, STJ, SRPT, OSK, CUDA, NANO, NTGR, FCN, BSX, HLS, TRU, ETH, EXAM, CXP, CYNO, CASH, NYLD/A, TEN, SANM, CRUS, OPB and CHTR

Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (19)

• AME, XLNX, FLIR, BWLD, BGG, JBT, HAWK, ABT, BYD, VAC, GLW, SAM, IPGP, DPZ, OSIS, HSII, INFN, PRLB, GNC,

Weekly Charts

ETFs

• High-Volume Gainers

• High-Volume Losers

Stocks

• High-Volume Gainers

• High-Volume Losers

*5-Day Change

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on Global Growth Fears, Earnings Outlook Worries, Yen Strength, Tech/Biotech Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:

• Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  

• Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  

• Volume: Slightly Above Average

• Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
  

Equity Investor Angst:

• Volatility(VIX) 16.83 +10.38%

• Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 127.67 -.42%

• Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.37 +.19%

• S&P 500 Implied Correlation 58.67 +6.73%

• ISE Sentiment Index 58.0 -45.79%

• Total Put/Call 1.17 +18.18%

• NYSE Arms 1.08 -1.27% 

Credit Investor Angst:

• North American Investment Grade CDS Index 78.04 +2.14%
  

• America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,050.0 -2.75%

• European Financial Sector CDS Index 89.76 +4.84%

• Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 24.97 -4.62%

• Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 54.31 -4.42%

• Emerging Market CDS Index 284.0 +2.43%
  

• iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 126.96 -.27%

• 2-Year Swap Spread 14.0 +.75 basis point

• TED Spread 42.50 +3.0 basis points

• 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -22.25 +.25 basis point
  

Economic Gauges:

• Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 73.59 +.36%
• 3-Month T-Bill Yield .20% -2.0 basis points
  

• Yield Curve 105.0 unch.
  

• China Import Iron Ore Spot $66.24/Metric Tonne +5.31%

• Citi US Economic Surprise Index -31.40 -2.4 points

• Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -13.0 -2.7 points

• Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 16.70 -.1 point

• 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.72% -1.0 basis point
  
• 24.3% chance of Fed rate hike at July 27 meeting, 41.0% chance at September 21 meeting

Overseas Futures:

• Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -741 open in Japan 
• China A50 Futures: Indicating -42 open in China

• DAX Futures: Indicating +29 open in Germany

Portfolio: 

• Slightly Higher: On gains in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  

• Disclosed Trades: None

• Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

Bear Radar

Style Underperformer:

• Small-Cap Growth -1.3%

Sector Underperformers:

• 1) Computer Hardware -4.1% 2) Hospitals -3.3% 3) Semis -2.7%

Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume:

• MDCA, EPAY, MOH, TBPH, SRCL, GLNG, WRE, SYNA, STJ, TMUSP, PRLB, TYPE, CPHD, ALR, STX, ATHN, DGLD, WDC, GVA, BRX, ABT, UN, MCO, ELLI, NPTN, ALGN, ATR, EFII, COHR, EMN, WCIC, THRM, GVA, AMC, CUZ, BSFT, NSR, CAVM, SEE, MCO, ATHN, ECHO, SMCI, USCR, MSCC, USCR, CSH, SWKS, IPHI, ATRC, ELLI, GILD, TBI and HRC

Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:

• 1) SMH 2) XLV 3) XME 4) GILD 5) EWJ

Stocks With Most Negative News Mentions:

• 1) SRCL 2) SYNA 3) WDC 4) MOH 5) EPAY

Charts:

• ETFs Falling on Unusual Volume
• Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume

Bull Radar

Style Outperformer: 

• Mid-Cap Value -.8%

Sector Outperformers:

• 1) Gold & Silver +5.2% 2) Internet +2.0% 3) Steel +1.5% 

Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume: 

• EHTH, PKY, BGS, CIMO, SKYW, HMSY, SCSS, LOGM, MNST, EXPE, AMZN, NLNK, BIDU, NWL, CBM, FET, NOV and P

Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity: 

• 1) GNW 2) SYNA 3) SPXS 4) OCN 5) S

Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions: 

• 1) BIDU 2) BGS 3) AMZN 4) EXPE 5) MNST

Charts:

• ETFs Rising on Unusual Volume
• Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume