S&P 500 5,132.7 +.6% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- DJIA 38,670.5 +1.2%
- NASDAQ 16,159.4 +1.6%
- Russell 2000 2,034.0 +1.8%
- NYSE FANG+ 10,046.0 +1.8%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 165.4 +7.9%
- Wilshire 5000 51,036.4 +.73%
- Russell 1000 Growth 3,339.5 +1.2%
- Russell 1000 Value 1,703.1 +.02%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 810.3 +.4%
- Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Pair Index 141.5 -1.3%
- NYSE Technology 4,682.2 +1.3%
- Transports 15,364.5 +1.3%
- Utilities 911.6 +3.1%
- Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 103.89 -.6%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 42.3 +2.8%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 209.4 +.62%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 109.2 +.16%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 493,953 +.8%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 8.5 -11.5%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 114 +344
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -33.0 +6.7%
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 264,836 -8.8%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,765,266 -1.9%
- Total Put/Call .93 -6.0%
- OEX Put/Call .68 -14.4%
- ISE Sentiment 110.0 -10.0 points
- NYSE Arms 1.80 +36.7%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 66.8 +.3%
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .94 -10.0 basis points
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index .83 +3.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 13.7 -8.2%
- DJIA Intraday % Swing .75 +11.9%
- CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 18.0 +.7%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.45 -2.1%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 7.05 +.4%
- Smart Money Flow Index 17,417.6 -.09%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 62.0 +2.5
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $6.001 Trillion +.4%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$2.299 Million
- AAII % Bulls 38.5 +19.9%
- AAII % Bears 32.5 -4.1%
- CNN Fear & Greed Index 40.0 (FEAR) -3.0
Futures Spot Prices
- CRB Index 284.75 -4.3%
- Crude Oil 78.10/bbl. -6.3%
- Reformulated Gasoline 255.1 -6.7%
- Natural Gas 2.16 +32.0%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 30.5 euros/megawatt-hour +4.0%
- Heating Oil 244.0 -4.0%
- Newcastle Coal 145.5 (1,000/metric ton) +7.1%
- Gold 2,299.7 -1.6%
- Silver 26.43 -2.8%
- S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 464.8 -1.9%
- Copper 455.5 -.4%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 382.0 USD/Metric Tonne -1.0%
- China Iron Ore Spot 117.7 USD/Metric Tonne +.7
%
- CME Lumber 538.0 +5.0%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,505.3 -.37%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 302.5 USD/Short Ton +.8%
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow 2Q Forecast +3.3% -60.0 basis points
- ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate (graph)
- US Recession Within 3 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 23.8% +1.2 percentage points
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 1.99 +27.6%
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 85.0 +56.5%
- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(400 of 500 reporting) +4.3% +.9 percentage point
- S&P
500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 252.88 +2.21: Growth
Rate +14.4% +1.1 percentage points, P/E 20.1 -.1
- S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 12.92% +8.0 basis points
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(7 of 10 reporting) +37.2% -5.2 percentage points
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 324.58 +9.22: Growth Rate +35.1% +3.8 percentage points, P/E 30.9 +.3
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index -7.3 -22.4 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 27.2 -1.5 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 32.0 -6.3 points
- Fed
Fund Futures imply 8.4%(-2.4 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis
point cut to 5.0-5.25%, 91.6%(+2.7 percentage points) chance of no
change, 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 5.5-5.75% on 6/12
- US Dollar Index 105.04 -.09%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,719.11 +.19%
- Bitcoin/USD 61,834.8 -2.8%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 179.50 -2.6%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) -31.0 -2.25 basis points
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.50% -17.0 basis points
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $7.326 Trillion -.55%
- Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $7.013 Billion +2.5%
- Federal Reserve's Bank Term Funding Program $124.117 Billion -1.1%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 42.3 +2.4%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 189.6 +1.0%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 132.0 -3.0 basis points
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 25.5 +1.0%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 65.2 -8.7%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 139.0 -8.6%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 130.9 -2.9%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 34.6 -9.7%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.6 +.9%
- China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 96.13 +5.4%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +5.5% unch.
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +3.7% unch.
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +2.2% unch.
- CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +5.0% unch.
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +2.74% unch.: CPI YoY +3.50% +1.0 basis point
- 1-Year TIPS Spread 2.27% -18.0 basis points
- Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread 7.75 basis points -1.0 basis point
- 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -7.5 unch.
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -3.5 +1.25 basis points
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 50.4 -3.1%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 124.0 +.4%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 289.0 +3.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 60.8 -3.6%
- Deutsche Bank Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 186.4 -1.6%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 165.1 -6.1%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 144.0 -4.0 basis points
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 761.0 -9.0 basis points
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .57 unch.
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change -.3% unch.
- Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,320.6B +.8%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 210,000 -1.6%
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 50.9 -1.7%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 7.44% -12.0 basis points
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 192,100 -2.3%
- Weekly Retail Sales +5.20% +10.0 basis points
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY n/a
- Box Office Weekly Gross $112.9M n/a
- Nationwide Gas $3.67/gallon +.01/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 1,774.4 +3.1%
- Drewry World Container Freight Index $2,725.5/40 ft Box +.74%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,193.6 +.6%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 40.0 unch.
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 48.9 -6.4%
- Rail Freight Carloads 261,888 +1.7%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,642,085 +23.6%
Best Performing Style
- Small-Cap Value +2.1%
Worst Performing Style
- Mid-Cap Growth -.2%
Leading Sectors
- Education +7.0%
- Alt Energy +6.5%
- Social Media +6.1%
- Biotech +6.0%
- Digital Health +5.1%
Lagging Sectors
- Disk Drives -1.8%
- Gold & Silver -3.0%
- Oil Service -3.9%
- Restaurants -4.1%
- Energy -4.4%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (78)
- TWST,
TNDM, MODV, OSPN, VIR, ATGE, MTZ, AMGN, TDW, GME, PCTY, TILE, CSTL,
ACA, OLED, FOXF, XHR, MELI, LYV, ALCC, FYBR, SPXC, ELVN, SEM, ELVN,
AAPL, GTLS, BFAM, GMAB, SIGA, CIVI, ITRI, BJRI, BBAR, W, ANET, NVT,
LLYVK, DLR, RH, PAM, YPF, FLNC, MSI, KROS, RGA, FTAI, CVNA, BLDR, EDU,
ACEL, SLN, ASPN, KBH, BEP, FSLR, CPT, TCOM, NTES, CRS, GGAL, BMA, TXRH,
APTV, BOWL, XPO, CNXC, GVA, CNXC, CVLT, ASAI, BKNG, WK, AGRO and TTMI
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (26)
- MGA,
DKNG, ILMN, PWP, VREX, TWI, FRSH, FLR, USM, TRMB, TD, IR, CGON, HIMS,
AAON, BILL, FTNT, TDS, PTVE, TRUP, EXPE, XPOF, OTEX, NET, OMI and SPT
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change
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