S&P 500 5,277.5 +.2% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- DJIA 38,686.3 -.97%
- NASDAQ 16,735.0 -.01%
- Russell 2000 2,070.1 +1.1%
- NYSE FANG+ 10,322.1 -.89%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 169.5 +4.6%
- Wilshire 5000 52,354.3 +.14%
- Russell 1000 Growth 3,440.3 -.4%
- Russell 1000 Value 1,737.96 +.7%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 824.2 +.33%
- Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index 234.7 -1.2%
- NYSE Technology 4,795.06 -1.8%
- Transports 15,238.3 +1.5%
- Utilities 946.4 +2.4%
- Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 108.46 +.49%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 41.7 -2.7%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 211.17 +.09%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 110.9 -.16%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 500,216 -.04%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 3.3 -56.0%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 41 -202
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -28.1 -5.4%
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 219,300 +8.0%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,784,152 -.2%
- Total Put/Call .96 -3.0%
- OEX Put/Call 1.19 -4.2%
- ISE Sentiment 130.0 -20.0 points
- NYSE Arms .85 -26.7%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 66.5 +1.5%
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .82 -16.0 basis points
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index .98 -2.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 12.9 +1.2%
- DJIA Intraday % Swing .82 +59.4%
- CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 12.5 -9.7%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 6.84 +.59%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 6.9 +2.2%
- Smart Money Flow Index 17,060.3 -3.7%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 92.2 -2.3
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $3.636 Trillion -40.0%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows +$7.255 Million
- AAII % Bulls 39.0 -17.0%
- AAII % Bears 26.7 +1.5%
- CNN Fear & Greed Index 42.0 (FEAR) -9.0
Futures Spot Prices
- CRB Index 290.16 -.76%
- Crude Oil 77.08/bbl. -.06%
- Reformulated Gasoline 242.60 -1.98%
- Natural Gas 2.59 -3.1%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 34.2 euros/megawatt-hour +.7%
- Heating Oil 236.6 -2.2%
- Newcastle Coal 140.3 (1,000/metric ton) +2.0%
- Gold 2,321.9 -.4%
- Silver 30.2 +.11%
- S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 490.4 -.43%
- Copper 460.70 -3.5%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 381.0 USD/Metric Tonne +.53%
- China Iron Ore Spot 113.6 USD/Metric Tonne -4.6
%
- CME Lumber 508.0 -4.6%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,498.4 -1.5%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 295.0 USD/Short Ton -.8%
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow 2Q Forecast +2.7% -80.0 basis points
- ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate (graph)
- US Recession Within 3 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 23.9% +.1 percentage point
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.21 +31.6%
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 102.5 +71.7%
- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(490 of 500 reporting) +7.8% +2.5 percentage points
- S&P
500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 257.63 +1.83: Growth
Rate +13.0% -1.7 percentage points, P/E 20.2 -.5
- S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 12.88% -2.0 basis points
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(9 of 10 reporting) +52.9% +15.7 percentage points
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 329.75 +2.39: Growth Rate +23.0% -13.2 percentage points, P/E 30.9 -.9
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index -7.6 +3.3 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 27.5 +1.5 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 15.3 -4.5 points
- Fed
Fund Futures imply 0.0%(unch.) chance of -25.0 basis point cut to
5.0-5.25%, 98.7%(-.4 percentage point) chance of no change, 1.3%(+.4 percentage point) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 5.5-5.75% on 6/12
- US Dollar Index 104.68 -.38%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,726.0 -.32%
- Bitcoin/USD 67,294.5 -2.0%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 186.5 +.26%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) -38.5 +2.25 basis points
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.51% +4.0 basis points
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $7.248 Trillion -.21%
- Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $6.669 Billion +1.5%
- Federal Reserve's Bank Term Funding Program $108.249 Billion -.69%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 41.2 +.7%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 190.89 -.57%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 131.0 unch.
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 23.6 -2.8%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 62.5 +2.7%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 142.8 -3.3%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 126.5 +.6%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 35.2 +1.1%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.7 -.5%
- China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 101.5 -1.5%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +5.5% unch.
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +3.7% unch.
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +2.2% unch.
- CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +5.1% unch.
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +2.69% -5.0 basis points: CPI YoY +3.36% -3.0 basis points
- 1-Year TIPS Spread 1.94% -6.0 basis points
- Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread 7.75 basis points -1.75 basis points
- 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -9.5 -.25 basis point
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -1.75 +1.0 basis point
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 50.2 +1.8%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 111.0 -1.8%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 266.0 -36.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 58.96 +.67%
- Deutsche Bank Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 164.4 -1.1%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 162.87 -.43%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 143.0 +3.0 basis points
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 732.0 -1.0 basis point
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .57 -2.0 basis points
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change +.6% +90.0 basis points
- Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,279.8B +.1%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 222,500 +1.1%
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 50.3 -1.4%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 7.35% +2.0 basis points
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 190,300 -5.8%
- Weekly Retail Sales +6.0% +10.0 basis points
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY n/a
- Box Office Weekly Gross $129.5M +.36%
- Nationwide Gas $3.56/gallon -.04/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 1,801.0 +.28%
- Drewry World Container Freight Index $4,226.5/40 ft Box +3.79%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,495.98 +7.69%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 40.0 -11.1%
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 61.2 -5.8%
- Rail Freight Carloads 267,488 +2.6%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,652,394 +9.2%
Best Performing Style
- Small-Cap Value +.7%
Worst Performing Style
- Mid-Cap Growth -2.4%
Leading Sectors
- Alt Energy +4.6%
- Telecom +4.5%
- Retail +4.2%
- Networking +2.0%
- Oil Service +1.8%
Lagging Sectors
- Steel -2.3%
- Computer Services -4.1%
- Cybersecurity -4.5%
- Internet -4.9%
- Software -6.6%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (12)
- GPS, PENN, AMBA, CZR, USM, AMSC, VFC, ZIM, RARE, JWN, GDEN and COCO
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (21)
- TRMD, TIMB, GTLB, SNOW, NTNX, IMVT, CLS, COHR, PSTG, AMED, IOT, OWL, VRT, DDOG, PAYC, VEEV, MRVL, S, PHR, DELL and MDB
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change
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