S&P 500 5,221.0 +1.7% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- DJIA 39,529.7 +2.1%
- NASDAQ 16,341.5 +1.1%
- Russell 2000 2,057.9 +1.0%
- NYSE FANG+ 10,133.9 +.81%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 163.7 -2.2%
- Wilshire 5000 51,949.1 +1.7%
- Russell 1000 Growth 3,388.15 +1.5%
- Russell 1000 Value 1,740.0 +2.0%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 828.3 +2.1%
- Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index 239.24 -1.0%
- NYSE Technology 4,720.3 +.7%
- Transports 15,554.5 +1.34%
- Utilities 943.8 +3.2%
- Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 107.1 +3.1%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 42.4 +.2%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 210.7 +.59%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 109.7 +.39%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 500,922 +1.4%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 8.3 -3.2%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 616 +502
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -32.5 +1.5%
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 265,461 +.24%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,794,542 +1.7%
- Total Put/Call .89 -5.3%
- OEX Put/Call 1.09 +29.0%
- ISE Sentiment 140.0 +30.0 points
- NYSE Arms 1.20 -15.0%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 65.5 -1.95%
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index 1.13 +19.0 basis points
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index 1.05 +22.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 12.6 -5.7%
- DJIA Intraday % Swing .44 -41.5%
- CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 16.2 -9.0%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.13 -4.3%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 6.87 -2.4%
- Smart Money Flow Index 17,567.6 +1.5%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 91.6 +29.4
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $6.032 Trillion +.5%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$2.744 Million
- AAII % Bulls 40.8 +6.0%
- AAII % Bears 23.8 -26.8%
- CNN Fear & Greed Index 47.0 (Neutral) +7.0
Futures Spot Prices
- CRB Index 289.47 +1.8%
- Crude Oil 78.40/bbl. +.42%
- Reformulated Gasoline 250.26 -2.0%
- Natural Gas 2.26 +5.1%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 30.0 euros/megawatt-hour -.1%
- Heating Oil 243.5 -.3%
- Newcastle Coal 142.0 (1,000/metric ton) -2.4%
- Gold 2,365.7 +2.9%
- Silver 28.24 +6.3%
- S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 472.2 +.25%
- Copper 465.6 +2.0%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 380.0 USD/Metric Tonne -.5%
- China Iron Ore Spot 115.4 USD/Metric Tonne -3.6
%
- CME Lumber 534.5 -.83%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,519.6 +2.5%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 302.5 USD/Short Ton unch.
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow 2Q Forecast +4.2% +90.0 basis points
- ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate (graph)
- US Recession Within 3 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 25.2% +1.4 percentage points
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 1.74 +6.8%
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 62.9 +42.8%
- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(459 of 500 reporting) +5.5% +1.2 percentage points
- S&P
500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 255.30 +2.42: Growth
Rate +14.4% unch., P/E 20.4 +.3
- S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 12.90% -2.0 basis points
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(7 of 10 reporting) +37.2% unch.
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 326.10 +1.52: Growth Rate +35.7% +.6 percentage point, P/E 31.1 +.2
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index -18.5 -11.1 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 24.2 -3.0 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 26.5 -5.5 points
- Fed
Fund Futures imply 3.5%(-4.9 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis
point cut to 5.0-5.25%, 96.5%(+4.9 percentage points) chance of no
change, 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 5.5-5.75% on 6/12
- US Dollar Index 105.3 +.2%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,723.9 -.05%
- Bitcoin/USD 60,568.5 -5.0%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 183.1 +2.0%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) -36.75 -5.75 basis points
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.50% unch.
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $7.318 Trillion -.12%
- Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $6.200 Billion -11.6%
- Federal Reserve's Bank Term Funding Program $112.663 Billion -9.2%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 42.4 +.1%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 199.48 +5.0%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 134.0 +2.0 basis points
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 25.44 -.22%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 64.0 -1.1%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 140.26 +.57%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 129.8 -.9%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 34.77 +1.1%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.6 unch.
- China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 96.13 -.03%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +5.5% unch.
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +3.7% unch.
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +2.2% unch.
- CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +5.0% unch.
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +2.74% unch.: CPI YoY +3.50% unch.
- 1-Year TIPS Spread 2.20% -7.0 basis points
- Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread 8.5 basis points +.75 basis point
- 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -8.75 -1.25 basis points
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -3.75 -.25 basis point
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 50.5 +.37%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 130.0 +3.7%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 294.0 +5.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 59.95 -1.4%
- Deutsche Bank Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 179.0 -4.2%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 162.8 -1.1%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 143.0 -1.0 basis point
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 746.0 -15.0 basis points
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .58 +1.0 basis point
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change -.3% unch.
- Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,329.0B +.6%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 215,000 +2.3%
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 50.6 -.8%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 7.37% -7.0 basis points
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 197,100 +2.6%
- Weekly Retail Sales +5.40% +20.0 basis points
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY n/a
- Box Office Weekly Gross $112.9M n/a
- Nationwide Gas $3.64/gallon -.03/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 2,166.7 +22.1%
- Drewry World Container Freight Index $3,158.6/40 ft Box +15.9%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,237.8 +3.7%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 45.0 +12.5%
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 54.4 +11.4%
- Rail Freight Carloads 249,696 -4.7%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,786,520 +28.1%
Best Performing Style
- Mid-Cap Value +2.1%
Worst Performing Style
- Small-Cap Value +.9%
Leading Sectors
- Shipping +7.7%
- Telecom +6.5%
- Gold & Silver +6.2%
- Disk Drives +3.4%
- Utilities +3.2%
Lagging Sectors
- Steel -.1%
- Biotech -1.0%
- Social Media -1.1%
- Digital Health -1.9%
- Alt Energy -2.6%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (36)
- ITOS,
SG, CDNA, GRPN, OUST, GEN, ACIC, GH, MTUS, NTRA, HROW, BLFS, HRB, CARG,
ZIM, BROS, FOUR, ONTO, DOCN, ANET, MRVI, VERX, COLD, MRC, RBA, G, FVRR,
ARM, CRH, TSM, AY, CHTR, CAVA, ROAD, WAT, A and WRBY
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (17)
- RWAY, FTRE, SYNA, IIIV, SHOP, PODD, TREX, U, EVH, AKAM, ARLO, COLL, PGNY, FROG, SVV, IOVA and OKLO
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change
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