Friday, June 02, 2017

Weekly Scoreboard*

Indices
  • S&P 500 2,438.45 +.93%
  • DJIA 21,210.50 +.57%
  • NASDAQ 6,300.60 +1.51%
  • Russell 2000 1,408.13 +1.83%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 36.84 -.03%
  • Goldman 50 Most Shorted 129.30 +.85%
  • Wilshire 5000 25,258.10 +1.06%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 1,213.44 +1.49%
  • Russell 1000 Value 1,133.60 +.43%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 586.09 +1.26%
  • Vanda Cyclicals-Defensives 1.3242 +.59%
  • Morgan Stanley Technology 1,504.98 +1.73%
  • Transports 9,259.32 +2.18%
  • Utilities 732.08 +1.59%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 97.94 -2.01%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 41.57 +.24%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,188.36 -.24%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 988.31 -.11%
Sentiment/Internals
  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 291,570 +.43%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 844 +168
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 40.0 -23.33%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 372,989 +13.4%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,211,099 -5.39%
  • Total Put/Call .77 -14.44%
  • OEX Put/Call 3.75 +1,722.7%
  • ISE Sentiment 85.0 -38.97%
  • NYSE Arms 1.70 +31.42%
  • Volatility(VIX) 9.80 -.91%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 38.85 +1.07%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.51 -1.57%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.12 +1.0%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 19,636.18 +.79%
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.654 Trillion +.19%
  • ICI US Equity Weekly Net New Cash Flow -$2.312 Billion
  • AAII % Bulls 26.9 -18.1%
  • AAII % Bears 31.5 +5.1%
Futures Spot Prices
  • CRB Index 177.96 -1.76%
  • Crude Oil 47.65 -2.22%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 157.51 -1.54%
  • Natural Gas 3.0 -5.92%
  • Heating Oil 148.26 -4.20%
  • Gold 1,280.20 +1.95%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 170.59 -2.08%
  • Copper 257.60 -.66%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 266.67 USD/Ton unch.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 57.79 USD/Ton -.21%
  • Lumber 353.70 +.34%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,037.88 -3.09%
Economy
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast +3.4 -70.0 basis points
  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate +4.6% -50.0 basis points
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index .0443 -19.45% 
  • US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 121.14 +15.69%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 137.05 +.15%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -40.90 -4.7 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 43.60 -12.4 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 10.70 -10.0 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 0.0% chance of no change 100.0% chance of 25 basis point hike on 6/14
  • US Dollar Index 96.73 -.67%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,602.09 +.25%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 130.07 +.03%
  • Yield Curve 88.0 -7.0 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.16% -8.0 basis points
  • Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $4.420 Trillion -.27%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 21.77 +1.22%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 393.0 -.06%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 8.12 -6.51%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 19.11 -.55%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 43.47 +2.11%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 66.14 +1.39%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 54.85 -2.53%
  • Russia Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 151.19 +1.84%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 138.66 +.05%
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.82% -1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 24.75 -3.0 basis points
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 22.5 -1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -31.25 +4.0 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 60.03 -3.27%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 376.0 +1.44%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 70.35 +5.60%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 191.67 -.71%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread to Swaps 145.0 -.5 basis point
  • M1 Money Supply $3.539 Trillion +.57%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 993.70 +.6%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 238,000 +2,750
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.4% unch.
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 3.94% -1.0 basis point
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 402.20 -3.36%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort 51.20 +.3 point
  • Weekly Retail Sales +1.9% unch.
  • Nationwide Gas $2.38/gallon +.01/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 850.0 -7.41%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 840.09 -.73%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 25.0 +11.11%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 281,539 +2.45%
Best Performing Style
  •  Small-Cap Growth +2.4%
Worst Performing Style
  •  Large-Cap Value +.4%
Leading Sectors
  • Gaming +6.1%
  • Networking +3.8%
  • Papers +3.1%
  • Medical Equipment +2.6%
  • Computer Hardware +2.5%
Lagging Sectors
  • Steel -1.3% 
  • Banks -1.5%
  • Energy -1.8%
  • Hospitals -2.1%
  • Coal -7.5%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (20)
  • NERV, DECK, ATW, PANW, JILL, XTLY, CIEN, PSTG, RYAM, LABL, AMPH, GCO, CFCO, CMCO, BOX, CCN, TIME, APPF, NTNX and VEEV
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (7)
  • HRTX, WMS, FBK, SPLK, ZOES, AMBA and NTLA
Weekly Charts
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Less European/Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Technical Buying, Short-Covering, Homebuilding/Biotech Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 9.83 -.61%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 130.05 -.22%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.12 -1.46%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 38.98 -5.07%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 85.0 +11.84%
  • Total Put/Call .78 -22.0%
  • NYSE Arms 1.74 +57.10%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 60.03 -3.27%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 376.0 +.89%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 70.35 +.67%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 8.12 -2.46%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 19.10 -.80%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 191.71 -.97%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 138.66 +.01%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 22.5 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 24.75 +1.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -31.25 +2.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 73.36 +.21%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .97% unch.
  • Yield Curve 88.0 -4.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $57.79/Metric Tonne -.21%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -40.90 -4.8 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 43.60 +.1 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 10.70 -.3 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.82 -2.0 basis points
  • 93.5% chance of Fed rate hike at July 26 meeting, 95.2% chance at Sept. 20 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -12 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -22 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +20 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/medical/biotech sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

Bear Radar

Style Underperformer:
  • Large-Cap Growth +.6%
Sector Underperformers:
  • 1) Oil Service -1.1% 2) Hospitals -1.0% 3) Energy -.6%
Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume: 
  • PF, RH, ZUMZ, TGNA, GOGO and RRC
Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
  • 1) RH 2) SWN 3) SIRI 4) VMW 5) GIS
Stocks With Most Negative News Mentions:
  • 1) RH 2) ZUMZ 3) ADP 4) PAHC 5) WLL
Charts:

Bull Radar

Style Outperformer:
  • Small-Cap Growth +1.3%
Sector Outperformers:
  • 1) Airlines +1.6% 2) Homebuilders +1.5% 3) Biotech +1.3%
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
  • XBIT, LULU, IXYS, AVGO, PK, CZR, COO, WDAY, VSAT, NVMI, CACQ, DBVT, IRTC, PICO, EXPO, FWONK, CEVA, ICPT, AMC, PHI, TGTX, VNQI, UMH, GLOB, FNF, GOOS and AMC
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
  • 1) LYB 2) PX 3) AVGO 4) WDAY 5) FDX
Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions:
  • 1) SGYP 2) LULU 3) GOOS 4) DAL 5) AVGO
Charts: