Sunday, June 10, 2007

Weekly Outlook

Click here for The Week Ahead by Reuters

Click here for Stocks in Focus for Monday by MarketWatch

There are some economic reports of note and a few significant corporate earnings reports scheduled for release this week.

Economic reports for the week include:

Mon. – None of note

Tues. – Monthly Budget Statement, IDB/TIPP Economic Optimism, weekly retail sales report

Wed. – Weekly MBA Mortgage Applications, Import Price Index, Advance Retail Sales, Business Inventories, Fed’s Beige Book, weekly EIA energy inventory report

Thur. – Producer Price Index, Initial Jobless Claims, Mortgage Delinquencies

Fri. – Consumer Price Index, Empire Manufacturing, Current Account Balance, Net Long-term TIC Flows, Industrial Production, Capacity Utilization, Univ. of Mich. Consumer Confidence

Some of the more noteworthy companies that release quarterly earnings this week are:

Mon. – Comverse Technology(CMVT), JOS A Bank Clothiers(JOSB), Take-Two(TTWO)

Tues. – Finisar Corp.(FNSR), Lehman Brothers(LEH), Sapient Corp.(SAPE)

Wed. – Doral Financial(DRL)

Thur. – Adobe Systems(ADBE), Bear Stearns(BSC), Del Monte(DLM), Forrester Research(FORR), Freddie Mac(FRE), Goldman Sachs(GS), John Wiley(JW/A), Pier 1 Imports(PIR)

Fri. – AES Corp.(AES), Carnival Corp.(CCL), Computer Sciences(CSC), Fannie Mae(FNM), Fleetwood Enterprises(FLE), Fossil Inc.(FOSL), Intl Rectifier(IRF), Winnebago Industries(WGO)

Other events that have market-moving potential this week include:

Mon. – JPMorgan Basics & Industrials Conference, Goldman Sachs Global Healthcare Conference, Bear Stearns Tech/Communications/Internet Conference, (TXN) Mid-quarter Conference Call, Fed’s Pinalto speaking, Fed’s Moskow speaking

Tue. – JPMorgan Basics & Industrials Conference, Goldman Sachs Global Healthcare Conference, Bear Stearns Tech/Communications/Internet Conference

Wed.Needham Biotech/Medical Tech Conference, Merrill Lynch Global Transport Conference, Thomas Weisel Alternative Energy Conference, Goldman Sachs Global Healthcare Conference

Thur. – BOJ Policy Meeting, Merrill Lynch Global Transport Conference, Bank of America Homebuilding Conference, Goldman Sachs Global Healthcare Conference, Needham Biotech/Medical Tech Conference, Thomas Weisel Alternative Energy Conference, RBC Global Mining/Materials Conference, (SYMC) Analyst Meeting, (MAT) Analyst Meeting, (GD) Analyst Meeting

Fri. – BOJ Policy Meeting

BOTTOM LINE: I expect US stocks to finish the week modestly higher on buyout speculation, lower energy prices, lower long-term rates, bargain hunting, investment manager performance anxiety, better-than-expected I-banking earnings reports and short-covering. My trading indicators are giving mostly bullish signals and the Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the week.

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