Thursday, February 23, 2012

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on More Financial/Tech Sector Optimism, Better US Economic Data, Short-Covering, Investor Performance Angst

Broad Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • VIX 17.27 -5.06%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 118.0 +24.21%
  • Total Put/Call 1.02 +14.61%
  • NYSE Arms 1.09 +13.13%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 96.59 -1.51%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 184.17 +.41%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 350.23 -.10%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 251.40 -.37%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 30.0 +.5 bp
  • TED Spread 40.50 -.5 bp
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -71.0 -2.5 bps
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .09% +1 bp
  • Yield Curve 168.0 -3 bps
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $138.70/Metric Tonne +2.06%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 58.30 -1.5 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.31 +1 bp
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -10 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +9 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my Biotech, Medical, Retail and Tech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered all of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges and some of my (EEM) short, then added them back
  • Market Exposure: 75% Net Long

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