Thursday, April 26, 2012

Today's Headlines


Bloomberg:
  • Merkel Steps Up Defense of Budget Agenda, Targets Excessive Debt. Chancellor Angel Merkel stepped up her budget-cutting message in the face of rising criticism of Germany’s focus on austerity, saying that excessive debt robs states of their ability to make independent decisions. Referring to euro-area countries shouldered with too much debt, Merkel told supporters in the northern German state of Schleswig-Holstein that certain nations had themselves brought on austerity by spending more than they raised in revenue. Too much debt “harms countries’ ability to make their own decisions, so that they’re more and more dependent on the markets, and have to step up savings and make harsher cuts,” Merkel told a campaign rally today in Flensburg on the Danish border. Schleswig-Holstein holds an election on May 6. Merkel stressed her defense of consolidating budgets as the best way to resolve the two-year-old debt crisis even as the focus in Europe shifts away from austerity to promoting economic growth.
  • Spain Yields at 6% Show Bank, Economy Risk: Euro Credit. As Spain’s recession undermines efforts to cut the deficit, the risk of bank losses is keeping 10-year yields at almost 6 percent as investors speculate the government will be forced to bail out the financial system. The nation’s 10-year borrowing costs have climbed about 70 basis points this year as Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy struggles to convince investors he can control public finances amid soaring unemployment and a contracting economy. Banks threaten to disrupt the premier’s efforts as bad loans reach the highest levels in almost two decades. “Spain is likely to need support in both the banking and government sectors,” said Jamie Stuttard, head of international bond portfolio management at Fidelity Investments, which has $1.2 trillion of assets. “Government bond market developments hold the key.”
  • Anti-Euro Le Pen's Gain Spooks Overseas French Investors. Pierre Mouton, a fund manager at Notz Stucki & Cie. in Geneva, looks at the rise of anti- European, anti-austerity parties across the border in France with concern. It may keep him out of the country’s stock market. “We’re cautious on French stocks,” Mouton, whose firm manages $7.5 billion and has been reducing its holdings in France, said in an interview. “If the new president breaks under pressure from these groups, stocks will suffer. We prefer not to take that risk.”
  • Oil Rises to One-Week High. “The dollar is down, which is helping most of the commodities,” said Phil Flynn, an analyst at futures brokerage PFGBest in Chicago. Crude oil for June delivery rose 32 cents, or 0.3 percent, to $104.44 a barrel at 12:37 p.m. on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Futures touched $104.92, the highest level since April 17. Prices are up 5.7 percent this year. Brent oil for June settlement increased 45 cents, or 0.4 percent, to $119.57 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange.
  • Consumer Comfort in U.S. Falls by the Most in More Than a Year. Consumer confidence in the U.S. dropped last week by the most in more than a year as perceptions of personal finances and the buying climate dimmed. The Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index fell to minus 35.8 in the period to April 22 from minus 31.4 the previous week, the biggest decline since March 2011. A gauge of the buying climate decreased to a two-month low, and a measure of household financial wherewithal fell by the most since September.
  • Pending Sales of U.S. Existing Home Increased 4.1% in March. Signed contracts to buy U.S. homes rose more than forecast in March as low interest rates drew buyers back into the market. The index of pending home purchases rose 4.1 percent to 101.4, the highest level since April 2010, after a 0.4 percent gain in February that was revised from a previously estimated 0.5 percent drop, the National Association of Realtors reported today in Washington. The median forecast of 43 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News called for a 1 percent rise in the measure, which tracks contracts on previously owned homes.
  • Gold Climbs on Jobless Claims. Gold rose the most in two weeks on speculation that the Federal Reserve may increase stimulus measures to bolster the U.S. economy after more Americans than forecast filed applications for unemployment benefits last week. “The job market is softening, and the Federal Reserve may be forced to look at some form of easing,” James Cordier, portfolio manager at OptionSellers.com in Tampa, Florida, said in a telephone interview. “Investors have started pricing that in.” Gold futures for June delivery rose 0.7 percent to $1,653.80 an ounce at 9:33 a.m. on the Comex in New York. A close at that price would mark the biggest gain for a most- active contract since April 12. Before today, the precious metal gained 4.8 percent this year.
  • Providence Said Selling Hulu Stake at $2 Billion Value. Hulu.com owners Walt Disney Co. (DIS), Comcast Corp. (CMCSA) and News Corp. (NWSA) are close to buying out Providence Equity Partners Inc.’s stake at a price that values the company at $2 billion, said two people with knowledge of the matter. Providence is selling its 10 percent share in Hulu for $200 million after investing $100 million when the venture began in 2007, according to the people, who weren’t authorized to talk publicly.
  • Fed Sells CDOs From AIG Rescue to Barclays(BCS), Deutsche Bank(DB). The Federal Reserve Bank of New York said it sold $7.5 billion of collateralized debt obligations linked to commercial mortgages to Barclays Plc and Deutsche Bank AG. The joint winning bid “represents good value for the public and significantly exceeds the original price” the central bank paid for the assets, New York Fed President William C. Dudley said today in a statement on the regional bank’s website.
  • Banks Likely to Cut Pay, Staff, Boston Consulting Says. Investment banks, faced with a weak industry outlook, probably will reduce the amount of revenue set aside for pay and should cut 20 percent to 30 percent of managers, according to Boston Consulting Group Inc.
Wall Street Journal:
  • Sympathy for the Devils May Be Running Short at Goldman(GS). A few years ago, Mick Jagger was asked why the Rolling Stones were about to embark on one of their gray-haired, past-their-prime tours with big beer-company sponsorships and pricey tickets. "Is it about the money?" the questioner said. Without missing a beat, Mr. Jagger replied: "It's always been about the money."
  • Appetite Is Back for AIG Bonds. Two bundles of bonds that once helped sicken American International Group Inc.(AIG) now have Wall Street salivating.
  • FDA Plans ID-Tag System to Detect Faulty Devices. The Food and Drug Administration is devising a new system for detecting malfunctions in medical devices that will tap medical and billing records from hospitals and insurance companies. The system is designed to catch malfunctioning devices like the St. Jude Medical Inc. heart defibrillator wires recently linked to at least 20 deaths. The agency wants to assign a new bar-code-like identification number to medical devices. It would use that number to search large databases of records that could include veterans' and other hospitals, as well as large insurance companies.
CNBC.com:
Business Insider:
Zero Hedge:

Wall Street Pit:

Telegraph:

  • China's Property Boom Has Peaked, Forever. Here is some food for thought, if you are a China "take-over-the-world" bull. I have just been listening to a talk on the Chinese housing market by Xianfang Ren, Beijing analyst for IHS Global Insight. Land sales make up 30pc of total tax revenue for the central government and 70pc for local government. (For those of us who watched the Irish state balloon on the back of property taxes – when they had a fat budget surplus – this has a familiar ring.) Construction makes up 10pc of total jobs, and a further 20pc indirectly in cement, steel, metallurgy etc. The government is building 36m homes for the poor, but that will start to run down in two years or so. Residential investment typically peaks at 8pc to 9pc of GDP for emerging nations during their catch-up growth spurts. It is already 12pc in China. Japan’s ratio peaked in 1973, long before the property price bubble burst. China has almost certainly peaked too on this crucial measure.
  • Europeans Will Never Accept a Federal Banking System. The latest crackpot idea for shoring up Europe's monetary union, much discussed at last week's spring meeting of the International Monetary Fund and now widely promoted by eurocrats, is the establishment of a federal banking system, with a single framework for regulation, bailouts, deposit insurance, supervision and resolution.

Europa:

  • EU Sues Italy Over Rules on Energy Performance of Buildings. Buildings are responsible for around 40% of energy consumption and 36% of the CO2 emissions in the European Union. The European legislation aims to achieve a significant reduction in the energy consumption of buildings, thus helping to combat climate change and strengthen the EU’s energy security. Large energy savings will also enable households to drastically reduce their bills. It is therefore essential that Member States fully apply this legislation.

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